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Geopolitics

Why Rwanda May Force The World To Remember DRC’s “Forgotten War”

The war in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo has been going on for decades, with ups and downs. An offensive by a Rwandan-backed armed group threatens to degenerate into a regional war. A forgotten war while the world looks away.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Countdown To Ramadan, A New Deadline Turns The War In Gaza Even Darker

As the war in Gaza hits a critical juncture, the approaching Ramadan deadline adds urgency to international efforts, with Israel’s threat of an offensive on Rafah escalating tensions and raising the stakes for peace negotiations.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Ukraine Invasion, Navalny, Nukes In Space: What Will Wake Up Republicans To Putin Threat?

Space may be the true battleground of the future, which explains Washington’s growing concerns over Russia’s alleged plans for deploying anti-satellite weapons. Yet what if not even this can push Trump and his Republican allies to support Kyiv?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky, Berlin-To-Paris — And Europe’s Unlikely “Merci” To Trump

It’s what we call lighting a counter-fire. At a time when U.S. support for Ukraine is under threat, Europe is coming together. But can it fill the void that may be left by Washington?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Estonia’s Fears Of A Russian Invasion Are All Too Real

With Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas suddenly appearing on Moscow’s wanted list, both the past and present offer plenty of evidence that the small Baltic nation — with 40% Russian speakers — could be the next neighbor after Ukraine in the Kremlin’s crosshairs.

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Geopolitics

What Indonesia’s Election Means For Democracy — And The U.S.-China Duel

Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto is expected to win Indonesia’s presidential election, on Feb. 14. Yet concerns about democracy are on the rise, as the nation carefully balances ties with Beijing and Washington.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Gaza — Why The West Keeps Letting Israel Do Whatever It Wants

The West’s passive response to Israel’s actions in Gaza is increasingly difficult to maintain in front of the looming humanitarian crisis in Rafah. The lip service of “deep concern” doesn’t bother Netanyahu at all.

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Geopolitics

Trump Has A Big Mouth, And Europe Should Believe Every Word He Says

Donald Trump’s recent campaign remarks have escalated concerns in Europe as he questioned the credibility of NATO’s collective defense and went as far as encouraging Russia to act freely.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

With Ukraine In Need, Republicans Join Trump On The Wrong Side Of History

With the rejection of the aid plan for Ukraine, Eastern Europe fears that Trump’s isolationist policy will mark the end of U.S. protection from the Putin regime. News from Ukraine of President Volodymyr Zelensky replacing his head of armed forces, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, together with the difficult situation on the battlefield, are generating a lot of tension in Ukraine — and in the wider Europe.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

For Netanyahu, The Price For A Truce Is Still Higher Than The War’s Cost For Israel

The gap between the positions of the two parties revealed itself to be too wide Wednesday, though talks are continuing in Cairo. When will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu no longer be able to justify leaving the hostages in Gaza, and the damage of Israel losing its own allies?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Will Biden v. Trump Be All About Ukraine? It’s Already Begun

With U.S. elections slated for November, support to Ukraine is becoming a divisive electoral issue. Wednesday’s vote in the U.S. Senate over Ukraine aid will be telling, but it won’t end there.

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Geopolitics

Senegal’s “Constitutional Coup” — Is Democracy In Africa A Lost Cause?

President Macky Sall’s decision to suspend the February 25 presidential election has plunged Senegal into chaos. It’s also grim news for those seeking institutional reform across Africa, where Dakar was long seen as a democratic model.

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Geopolitics

About Those Arcs Of History, From Belfast To Gaza

Conflicts over religion, identity and territory can last years, decades and longer.The current war in Gaza looks like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will never be resolved. The arrival of Michelle O’Neill to head the government of Northern Ireland offers a tiny, distant glimmer of hope for the future.

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Israel-Palestine War

Biden’s Sanctions On Israeli Settlers Send A Double Message

By sanctioning violent settlers in the West Bank, U.S. President Biden aims to reassure voters unhappy with his support for Israel, and to push Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to accept a ceasefire agreement.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A New Ceasefire Deal In Gaza Will Be Hard — Making It Last Is Basically Impossible

As the Israel-Hamas war continues unabated, the U.S., Egypt and Qatar are pushing to quickly reach an agreement. Will internal divisions be overcome? But even if a deal is struck, the war is far from over.

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Geopolitics

Here’s How The U.S. And Iran Could Slip Into A War That Neither One Wants

The death of three U.S. soldiers has raised the stakes in a low-simmering, but constant escalation between Washington and Tehran that could explode from the shadows of the war in Gaza — even if by pure accident.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Charges Against The UN In Gaza Are Grave — But The West’s Response Is All Wrong

Israel has accused 12 employees the UN agency for Palestinian refugees UNWRA, of participating in the Oct. 7 attack. The United States and other countries have suspended their funding, which risks worsening the ongoing tragedy for the two million Palestinians in Gaza.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russian Plane Crash, Dead Ukrainians? When Narratives Collide In The Fog Of War

Ukraine and Russia are blaming each other for the Russian military plane crash. It will be hard to get at the truth of the accident, as either party is unlikely to release information, which is another weapon in their war.

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Geopolitics

Africa Has The Whole World Knocking — What’s An Old Colonist Like France To Do?

As Russia and China weave more intricate and long-lasting relations within the African continent, former colonizing powers like France need to step up their game in order to maintain their influence and connections.

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Israel-Palestine War

Khan Younis Is Surrounded — Is This Gaza’s Decisive Battle Or Prelude To Ceasefire?

After suffering its heaviest losses in a single day, the Israeli army continues its hunt for Hamas leaders and troops in Khan Younis, an overcrowded refugee camp in southern Gaza. Even heavier Palestinian civilian casualties are feared, as the war appears to be reaching a moment of truth.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Far Right And Europe: Calling AfD’s Bluff With Cold ‘Brexit’ Showers

The far-right AfD party chief has threatened a “Dexit” referendum, where Germany (Deutschland) leaves the European Union. But just ask the British people what they think about how that turned out. Right wing leaders in Italy and France seem to have understood the message.

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Israel-Palestine War

How The Biden-Netanyahu Standoff Could Sway The Political Destiny Of Each Man

The rising tensions between U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are about different visions of the geopolitics of the Middle East — but the stakes are also personal for each leader.

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Geopolitics

How Saudi Ambitions Are Driving A New Middle East Peace Plan

When the guns fall silent, Saudi Arabia and its ambitious prince want to be the historic peacemaker in the Middle East.

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Economy Geopolitics

A Joint European Defense Force: If Not Now, When?

With the World Economic Forum in Davos going on, French President Macron is launching with urgency the debate on a common defense for European countries, in light of Ukraine, the Middle East — and a possible return of Trump.

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Geopolitics

U.S.-Iran: Here’s How The Escalation Could Spiral Out Of Control

As the situation escalates in the Middle East, the prospect of an all-out war may hinge on whether Iran will cross the Rubicon.

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Geopolitics

Nauru, Maldives: When Tiny Islands Weigh On The Biggest Geopolitical Battle

There is major maneuvering among the small but strategic islands in the South Pacific, with China offering security cooperation, and the United States reopening embassies and reviving dormant cooperation.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The Israel-Hamas War, And The Futility Of Diplomacy

After 100 days of war, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has made it clear that he has no plans to listen to what any other country has to say, including his closest allies. There’s every reason to expect the situation to get worse.

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Geopolitics

Taiwan Elections: A Victory Of The Frontrunner Will Trigger Beijing

Saturday’s election is bound to create tensions, if the favorite, William Lai, candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), wins. Xi Jinping has warned against voting for him. But is it just posturing?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why It Matters That Israel Faces Justice — Even While Gaza Is Burning

Cicero declared that when weapons speak, the law goes mute. So what happens when the law speaks up even as the weapons keep firing? That’s what happening now at the International Court of Justice at the Hague.

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Eyes on the U.S. Israel-Palestine War

Is Israel’s “New Phase” In Gaza Just A Bluff?

Ahead of Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s arrival, Israeli officials declared that the army will shift to a more targeted campaign in Gaza. Benjamin Netanyahu may just be bidding his time.

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Geopolitics

The Stakes In Taiwan’s Election Couldn’t Be Higher

It’s the first big election of 2024, and it may well prove one of the most contested — and significant ones. As these vote on Saturday, Taiwanese citizens will be picking the fate of their identity and democracy.

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Israel-Palestine War

Benjamin Netanyahu’s Legendary Survival Instinct Faces The Ultimate Test

It is rare that a wartime leader doesn’t gain the support of his people. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, instead, has the most dismal popularity ratings in memory. But he is also Israel’s longest-serving leader for a reason. The coming days and weeks will be crucial in deciding his fate, along with that of his troubled nation.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Donald Trump’s Footprint Will Appear Across The World Through 2024 — At Least

It’s early January and already, former U.S. President Donald Trump’s presence can be felt on every current geopolitical situation. With his return in the White House becoming less and less unlikely, leaders are already factoring in what a second Trump era would mean for the world.

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Geopolitics

Escalation Of The Middle East War? It’s Already Begun

Though all-out war has not yet spread, there are a multiplying number of attacks, targeted and otherwise, taking place across borders that has all the makings of a region-wide conflagration.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Killing Hamas Leader In Beirut Was The “Win” Netanyahu Needed — But Carries A Huge Risk

By eliminating Saleh al-Arouri, an important Hamas leader, with a drone strike in Beirut, Israel has taken a risky gamble: that Lebanon’s Hezbollah and its Iranian allies will not go to war over the death on Lebanese territory of a top Hamas figure.

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Geopolitics Ideas

1949 To 2024? Why The Geneva Conventions May Not Survive Gaza And Ukraine

In Ukraine and Gaza alike, international laws on the proper conduct of war, largely established by the post-War Geneva Convention, are being trampled on by all parties, to varying degrees. Civilians are paying the ultimate price for this.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Ukraine To Gaza: How Wars Flourish In A Toothless World Order

In two very different ways, the failure of the United Nations to inhibit aggressive nations is a sign of only more trouble ahead.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Biden Or Trump? Panic Over 2024 U.S. Election Is Spreading Around The World

The 2024 U.S. presidential election is set to have far-reaching implications for the world. But the Republican and Democrat frontrunners, Donald Trump and Joe Biden, both have their own sets of hurdles to jump before then if they hope to secure voters’ support.

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Geopolitics

DRC Elections, Between Huge Potential And Deep Dysfunction

In the Democratic Republic of Congo, some 44 million voters will be choosing between 19 candidates to elect the new president. It’s a massive electoral task in a state that is largely dysfunctional. Where is the world to lend a hand?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The Iran Paradox: Regional Bully, Weak At Home

The recent repression of an old man dancing at a fish market shows how on edge Iran’s regime is domestically, writes Pierre Haski. While Iran may be stepping up its game regionally, its fragile attitude domestically can be a sign of what an irrational actor the mullah regime can be.

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