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Geopolitics

Why China’s Silence On Geopolitics May Be A Sign Of Trouble To Come

China has recently been discreet over major crises, such as Ukraine and Gaza, focusing its attention and energy on its domestic difficulties, particularly economic ones. Convinced that his country is entering a stormy period, President Xi Jinping is strengthening his hold over the nation, but may

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why The Biden-Netanyahu Clash Over Gaza Is Bound To Escalate

U.S. President Joe Biden said this weekend that “Netanyahu is doing Israel more harm than good”: a phrase that speaks volumes about the lack of trust between the two men, especially still without a ceasefire, and humanitarian aid blocked from entering an increasingly desperate Gaza Strip.

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Geopolitics

Hell Or Paradise: What If Haiti Can’t Be Saved?

Haiti’s descent into hell continues, and the international community is at a loss to help the gang-ridden island. An international police force led by Kenya is expected, but when? And will it work?

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

The Biden-Trump Rematch, European Nightmares And Macron’s “Cowardice” Warning

After Super Tuesday, Americans (and the world) are now virtually assured of another Biden-Trump showdown in November. It’s a chilling reminder to Europe that their fate is tied too closely to the whims of U.S. politics.

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Israel-Palestine War

The United Nations And Israel: It’s Complicated

Tensions continue to rise between the UN and Israel, despite the publication of a UN report confirming Hamas’s accusations of sexual violence on October 7. It’s a long history of mistrust which has resurfaced in the current crisis.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russia’s Wiretapping Of German Officers Reveals How Deep European Fractures Run

Beyond the embarrassment for the German military, and Moscow’s exploitation for propaganda purposes, the deeper significance of the intercepted conversations is in how far European unity remains on the war in Ukraine.

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Israel-Palestine War

Outrage, Despair And Politics: Why The Conditions Are Ripe For A Gaza Ceasefire

Israel no longer has any interest in prolonging the destruction — and spreading the condemnation around the world for its “collective punishment” of the people of Gaza.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Putin’s Nuclear Threats: Is This Time Different?

Three days after Emmanuel Macron’s statement on deploying troops to Ukraine, Putin warned that such a move could provoke nuclear war. It’s a serious threat that has regularly resurfaced over the past two years. So far, we’re all still here.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Putin’s Moldova Flex: Why The Time May Be Ripe For Russia To Take Transnistria

The authorities of the pro-Russian breakaway region of Transnistria in Moldava have asked for “protection” from Russia, which has been quick to respond. It is a blatantly “engineered-from-scratch” crisis in a region bordering Ukraine. This tiny territory may be the next place on the world map to watch.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Macron Blindsided His Allies About Sending Troops To Ukraine

The French president’s suggestion that Western troops could be sent to Ukraine, took Western allies by surprise. Yet Macron wanted to send a double message at a key moment — to ally and adversary alike.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Are We Ready For War With Russia? The Unspoken Question The West Must Face

French President Emmanuel Macron crossed a line, at least rhetorically, in saying that the West doesn’t exclude sending troops to help Ukraine defend itself from Russia. Yet it may be time for the Western alliance to acknowledge that they’ve actually entered direct conflict with Moscow long before.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Here’s Why A Gaza Ceasefire “In The Next Few Days” Is A Real Possibility

As the humanitarian situation worsens in Gaza, and the Israeli government still threatens to launch an offensive on the town of Rafah, there is one piece of positive news: negotiations on a possible ceasefire are not stalled. And in recent hours, there are some good reasons to believe that the ceasefire could become a reality.

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Future Geopolitics

When Hackers Are Hacked, A Chinese Spy Story

A document leak from a major hacking company opens the door to the Chinese system of digital espionage and influence, which is part of worldwide system that is changing the nature of geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Two Years On, Europeans Have Lost Faith In A Ukrainian Victory

As the war in Ukraine enters its third year, results of a survey suggest that only one European out of ten thinks that Ukraine will come out of this war with a victory. While their support has not shifted towards Russia, the poll results give an insight into how fatigue is playing in citizens’ minds — and what European governments have to put up with if they want to continue supporting an expensive war.

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Geopolitics

Why Rwanda May Force The World To Remember DRC’s “Forgotten War”

The war in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo has been going on for decades, with ups and downs. An offensive by a Rwandan-backed armed group threatens to degenerate into a regional war. A forgotten war while the world looks away.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Countdown To Ramadan, A New Deadline Turns The War In Gaza Even Darker

As the war in Gaza hits a critical juncture, the approaching Ramadan deadline adds urgency to international efforts, with Israel’s threat of an offensive on Rafah escalating tensions and raising the stakes for peace negotiations.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Ukraine Invasion, Navalny, Nukes In Space: What Will Wake Up Republicans To Putin Threat?

Space may be the true battleground of the future, which explains Washington’s growing concerns over Russia’s alleged plans for deploying anti-satellite weapons. Yet what if not even this can push Trump and his Republican allies to support Kyiv?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky, Berlin-To-Paris — And Europe’s Unlikely “Merci” To Trump

It’s what we call lighting a counter-fire. At a time when U.S. support for Ukraine is under threat, Europe is coming together. But can it fill the void that may be left by Washington?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Estonia’s Fears Of A Russian Invasion Are All Too Real

With Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas suddenly appearing on Moscow’s wanted list, both the past and present offer plenty of evidence that the small Baltic nation — with 40% Russian speakers — could be the next neighbor after Ukraine in the Kremlin’s crosshairs.

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Geopolitics

What Indonesia’s Election Means For Democracy — And The U.S.-China Duel

Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto is expected to win Indonesia’s presidential election, on Feb. 14. Yet concerns about democracy are on the rise, as the nation carefully balances ties with Beijing and Washington.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Gaza — Why The West Keeps Letting Israel Do Whatever It Wants

The West’s passive response to Israel’s actions in Gaza is increasingly difficult to maintain in front of the looming humanitarian crisis in Rafah. The lip service of “deep concern” doesn’t bother Netanyahu at all.

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Geopolitics

Trump Has A Big Mouth, And Europe Should Believe Every Word He Says

Donald Trump’s recent campaign remarks have escalated concerns in Europe as he questioned the credibility of NATO’s collective defense and went as far as encouraging Russia to act freely.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

With Ukraine In Need, Republicans Join Trump On The Wrong Side Of History

With the rejection of the aid plan for Ukraine, Eastern Europe fears that Trump’s isolationist policy will mark the end of U.S. protection from the Putin regime. News from Ukraine of President Volodymyr Zelensky replacing his head of armed forces, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, together with the difficult situation on the battlefield, are generating a lot of tension in Ukraine — and in the wider Europe.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

For Netanyahu, The Price For A Truce Is Still Higher Than The War’s Cost For Israel

The gap between the positions of the two parties revealed itself to be too wide Wednesday, though talks are continuing in Cairo. When will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu no longer be able to justify leaving the hostages in Gaza, and the damage of Israel losing its own allies?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Will Biden v. Trump Be All About Ukraine? It’s Already Begun

With U.S. elections slated for November, support to Ukraine is becoming a divisive electoral issue. Wednesday’s vote in the U.S. Senate over Ukraine aid will be telling, but it won’t end there.

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Geopolitics

Senegal’s “Constitutional Coup” — Is Democracy In Africa A Lost Cause?

President Macky Sall’s decision to suspend the February 25 presidential election has plunged Senegal into chaos. It’s also grim news for those seeking institutional reform across Africa, where Dakar was long seen as a democratic model.

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Geopolitics

About Those Arcs Of History, From Belfast To Gaza

Conflicts over religion, identity and territory can last years, decades and longer.The current war in Gaza looks like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will never be resolved. The arrival of Michelle O’Neill to head the government of Northern Ireland offers a tiny, distant glimmer of hope for the future.

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Israel-Palestine War

Biden’s Sanctions On Israeli Settlers Send A Double Message

By sanctioning violent settlers in the West Bank, U.S. President Biden aims to reassure voters unhappy with his support for Israel, and to push Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu to accept a ceasefire agreement.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A New Ceasefire Deal In Gaza Will Be Hard — Making It Last Is Basically Impossible

As the Israel-Hamas war continues unabated, the U.S., Egypt and Qatar are pushing to quickly reach an agreement. Will internal divisions be overcome? But even if a deal is struck, the war is far from over.

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Geopolitics

Here’s How The U.S. And Iran Could Slip Into A War That Neither One Wants

The death of three U.S. soldiers has raised the stakes in a low-simmering, but constant escalation between Washington and Tehran that could explode from the shadows of the war in Gaza — even if by pure accident.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Charges Against The UN In Gaza Are Grave — But The West’s Response Is All Wrong

Israel has accused 12 employees the UN agency for Palestinian refugees UNWRA, of participating in the Oct. 7 attack. The United States and other countries have suspended their funding, which risks worsening the ongoing tragedy for the two million Palestinians in Gaza.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russian Plane Crash, Dead Ukrainians? When Narratives Collide In The Fog Of War

Ukraine and Russia are blaming each other for the Russian military plane crash. It will be hard to get at the truth of the accident, as either party is unlikely to release information, which is another weapon in their war.

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Geopolitics

Africa Has The Whole World Knocking — What’s An Old Colonist Like France To Do?

As Russia and China weave more intricate and long-lasting relations within the African continent, former colonizing powers like France need to step up their game in order to maintain their influence and connections.

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Israel-Palestine War

Khan Younis Is Surrounded — Is This Gaza’s Decisive Battle Or Prelude To Ceasefire?

After suffering its heaviest losses in a single day, the Israeli army continues its hunt for Hamas leaders and troops in Khan Younis, an overcrowded refugee camp in southern Gaza. Even heavier Palestinian civilian casualties are feared, as the war appears to be reaching a moment of truth.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Far Right And Europe: Calling AfD’s Bluff With Cold ‘Brexit’ Showers

The far-right AfD party chief has threatened a “Dexit” referendum, where Germany (Deutschland) leaves the European Union. But just ask the British people what they think about how that turned out. Right wing leaders in Italy and France seem to have understood the message.

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Israel-Palestine War

How The Biden-Netanyahu Standoff Could Sway The Political Destiny Of Each Man

The rising tensions between U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are about different visions of the geopolitics of the Middle East — but the stakes are also personal for each leader.

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Geopolitics

How Saudi Ambitions Are Driving A New Middle East Peace Plan

When the guns fall silent, Saudi Arabia and its ambitious prince want to be the historic peacemaker in the Middle East.

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Economy Geopolitics

A Joint European Defense Force: If Not Now, When?

With the World Economic Forum in Davos going on, French President Macron is launching with urgency the debate on a common defense for European countries, in light of Ukraine, the Middle East — and a possible return of Trump.

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Geopolitics

U.S.-Iran: Here’s How The Escalation Could Spiral Out Of Control

As the situation escalates in the Middle East, the prospect of an all-out war may hinge on whether Iran will cross the Rubicon.

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Geopolitics

Nauru, Maldives: When Tiny Islands Weigh On The Biggest Geopolitical Battle

There is major maneuvering among the small but strategic islands in the South Pacific, with China offering security cooperation, and the United States reopening embassies and reviving dormant cooperation.

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