Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

At 75, NATO Faces Existential Questions

As the alliance’s 32 countries celebrate their 75th anniversary at a summit in Washington, uncertainties over the possible reelection of Donald Trump in November, and dark clouds over Europe and France are raising serious questions about NATO’s future.

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas

France In Limbo, Farage Lurking, Biden Staying: Long Live That Mess We Call Democracy

What’s the difference between a nation before a voting booth and a nation before a soccer match? How can we reconcile electoral systems that don’t seem to match the popular will? How do we remember that democracy is about more than just casting your vote?

Categories
Geopolitics In The News

It’s The End Of The World As We Know It, And Xi Feels Fine

China appears well positioned to continue its rise amid the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, the rise of the far right, and the emergence of the Global South. The world order of 1945 has run its course, and it is through crises and tensions that the next one — still uncertain — is taking shape.

Categories
Geopolitics

How Orban’s “Patriots” Could Unite The Far Right Of Europe — With Trump And Putin Too

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban officially announced the creation of a new group in the European Parliament, the “Patriots for Europe” to gather extremist parties that have been sidelined by the establishment. It can also be a bridge to Trump and Putin.

Categories
This Happened

This Happened — June 30: Trump Enters North Korea

Updated June 30, 2024 at 11:45 a.m. Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States, visited North Korea on this day in 2019. Trump and Kim Jong-un met at the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ), specifically at the Joint Security Area (JSA) in the village of Panmunjom. This location is a historic site where previous meetings […]

Categories
Geopolitics

A Far-Right Victory In France Is Simply Europe’s Worst-Case Scenario

France’s European partners fear the outcome of the upcoming snap legislative elections and its consequences for the EU. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has called for the victory of a party “other than Marine Le Pen’s,” a sign of this growing concern.

Categories
Geopolitics

A Tragedy In Four Acts: Palestine, Israel, The U.S. — And Turkey Too

The October 7 attack and Israel’s brutal response have left a trail of devastation, which materializes in very different tragedies for Palestine and Israel, a story of missed opportunity for Turkey — and a tragicomedy of U.S. leadership.

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

What The Return Of Trump Would Mean For Ukraine, And Beyond

As the U.S. presidential election draws closer, independent Russian-language media Vazhnye Istorii spoke with American politics specialists about the possibility of a second Trump term and what it would mean for the Russia-Ukraine war, traditional U.S. allies and China.

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas

Why The Roots Of Resurgent Nationalism Run So Deep — And Wide

From Trump in the U.S., Eurosceptics in the UK, the Catalan independence movement or the growing rejection of immigration in much of the developed world shows that a century after the founding of fascism, the darker instincts of humans are always lurking just below the surface.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why The G7 Has Never Looked So Fragile

As the upcoming French and American elections show, the Western democratic model is being put into question — both externally by revisionist powers, and internally.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

A G7 Plan To Aid Ukraine That Preempts Trump — And Le Pen

The G7 countries meeting in Italy are examining a proposed $50 billion loan to Ukraine, a way of preempting possible future obstacles: Trump in the U.S. and the far-right in France. The wildcard is Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni.

Categories
Geopolitics

Macron’s Bet On Snap Elections Also Comes With Real International Risks

French President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to dissolve Parliament and call special elections caught his international partners by surprise. The stakes are high, especially for Ukraine.

Categories
Geopolitics

Scholz And Macron: Stunning EU Election Defeats At The Heart Of Europe

Olaf Scholz has refused to dissolve Germany’s parliament, even though his coalition suffered a major defeat at the European elections. The Chancellor’s weakened position comes at a bad time for Europe, where the union’s other major power, France, is also in a fragile state.

Categories
Geopolitics

Far Right Surge In Europe: A Prelude To Trump’s Victory?

Can the surge of the far right in Europe pave the way for Donald Trump’s victory in the United States in November? Or will a majority of Americans reject a convicted former president running for office? Though political patterns are hard to detect, young voters play an important role in what comes next, writes political scientist Dominique Moïsi in French business daily Les Echos.

Categories
Geopolitics

How A Far-Right Surge In EU Elections Would Paralyze Europe

This week, 360 million voters across the EU will elect 720 Members of the European Parliament. Nationalist and far-right forces are expected to gain ground. At stake is the Europe’s ability to implement its security and competitiveness agenda over the next five years.

Categories
Geopolitics

Mexican Merkel? How Sheinbaum’s Pragmatism Will Work On The World Stage — And In Washington

Can Mexico’s next president, Claudia Sheinbaum, forge a “progressive” foreign policy or must she submit, as Mexican governments generally have, to the dictates of vital trade with the United States and Canada that may yet turn choppy if Trump returns to power?

Categories
Geopolitics

Coupable. Condenado. GUILTY! 17 Front Pages Of Trump, The First Convicted U.S. President

The headlines on front pages from New York to around the world dedicated to Donald Trump becoming the first American President to have been a felon. Here is a selection of newspaper front pages from 15 countries.

Categories
Eyes on the U.S.

The Cognitive Explanation For Why People Will Vote For Trump — Convicted Criminal And All

Psychologists call it “moral decoupling” when people continue to support notable people in politics, media and sports even when they believe these leaders have significant moral failings outside of their professional vocation.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Not Just Bibi: Why MBS Isn’t Biting On Biden’s “Grand Bargain” Either

U.S. President Joe Biden is pushing Saudi Arabia and Israel to sign on to a broad “normalization” deal, which would be a landmark of his first term in the White House. But Israel’s Netanyahu and Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman each have their own calculations standing in the way.

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas

Tahrir Square To UCLA: How Crackdowns On Popular Protests Can Backfire

The context and scale are different, but there are common methods in the suppression of demonstrations in the Arab Spring in 2011 and crackdowns against pro-Palestinian groups on university campuses in the U.S. Will President Biden, like Hosni Mubarak 13 years ago, lose power as a result?

Categories
Geopolitics

Why Macron Is Reminding The World About France’s Nuclear Arsenal

The French president has voiced France’s readiness to “contribute more to the defense of Europe” through its nuclear arsenal. It’s a message fro European allies and for Putin’s Russia — and another reminder of how much hangs on November’s U.S. elections.

Categories
Geopolitics Society

“Our Europe Can Die”: Macron Goes Full Alarmist On Existential Threat To The EU

In an ominous speech in Paris, the French president warned that Europe is in mortal danger. Macron also suggested he may be just the man to save it.

Categories
Geopolitics

U.S.-Egypt: How Relations Could Change With A Trump Return To The White House

Will former U.S. President Donald Trump maintain his “dealmaker” approach towards Egypt in case he finds his way back to the White House?

Categories
Israel-Palestine War

Has The Gaza War Killed The Idea Of The “Progressive Zionist?”

Criticism of Israel in the United States remained a taboo for many decades. But this has begun to change with new generations and Palestinians presenting their cause on a humanitarian basis. It may ultimately make it impossible to reconcile being both a progressive and a Zionist.

Categories
Future Geopolitics

Elon Musk And The Tech Right: Trump’s Indispensable Allies For November

The American billionaire and founder of Tesla and SpaceX is increasingly openly supporting the ideas of the radical right and Donald Trump. Long gone are the days when Silicon Valley voted Democrat: Elon Musk is the embodiment of this openly self-assured “tech right”.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Peak Putin: Mind Games With The World, Escalation In Ukraine

Celebrating his reelection and the 10th anniversary of the annexation of Crimea on Monday, Vladimir Putin showed that he is not backing down. And he signaled that he will redouble his efforts in the invasion of Ukraine as well as his psychological war with the West.

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Future Society

TikTok Ban: Welcome To The United States Of Chinaphobia

Despite the lack of tangible evidence that the Chinese-owned social media platform poses a security risk, the recent vote at the House of Representatives in favor of banning TikTok from the U.S. shows that none of this matters, when it’s China we’re talking about.

Categories
Geopolitics

Why China’s Silence On Geopolitics May Be A Sign Of Trouble To Come

China has recently been discreet over major crises, such as Ukraine and Gaza, focusing its attention and energy on its domestic difficulties, particularly economic ones. Convinced that his country is entering a stormy period, President Xi Jinping is strengthening his hold over the nation, but may

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Orbán-Trump: A Fresh Warning From Hungary On The Risk Of Authoritarianism

A former member of the Hungarian Parliament warns the U.S. about the potential re-election of Donald Trump, which could mirror Hungary’s slide toward authoritarianism under strongman Viktor Orbán, as the two meet in Florida.

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

The Biden-Trump Rematch, European Nightmares And Macron’s “Cowardice” Warning

After Super Tuesday, Americans (and the world) are now virtually assured of another Biden-Trump showdown in November. It’s a chilling reminder to Europe that their fate is tied too closely to the whims of U.S. politics.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Two-Year Mark: What World War I (1916) Teaches Us About The Ukraine War (2024)

There are many analogies between 1916 and 2024, two years into World War I and the War in Ukraine respectively. It offers a clear way to try to understand what may happen next in Ukraine — and the world.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

How The Baltics Are Building New Defense Forces Against A Russian Invasion

With Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas put on Russia’s Most Wanted list, Tallinn is drawing up clear plans on how it intends to secure its border with Russia — an idea it shares with Latvia and Lithuania. But the three small countries don’t have the territorial or strategic depth to absorb an attack the way Ukraine did, which is why they ultimately rely on NATO.

Categories
Ideas Society

Democracy v. Technocracy? What Plato, Orwell And TikTok Say About Our Future

The advent of digital technologies has made us increasingly lonely and isolated. In the virtual world, none of us participate in decision-making, but we all receive one-sided messages that influence our behavior, including our political beliefs. If this is the case, what will the democracy of tomorrow look like?

Categories
Geopolitics

Trump Has A Big Mouth, And Europe Should Believe Every Word He Says

Donald Trump’s recent campaign remarks have escalated concerns in Europe as he questioned the credibility of NATO’s collective defense and went as far as encouraging Russia to act freely.

Categories
Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Why Biden May Be Just As Bad For U.S.-Mexico Trade As Trump

U.S. President Biden has quietly turned his Republican predecessor’s anti-foreign posturing into economic policies that strongly favor domestic manufacturing. Does Mexico, which depends on massive exports to the U.S., have anything to look forward to in the upcoming presidential elections?

Categories
Geopolitics

The Real Message Of Lai’s Victory: Don’t Trust Xi Jinping — Or Donald Trump

By electing William Lai, the Taiwanese people have reaffirmed their desire for sovereignty and independence from China in the face of Chinese threats. And meanwhile, Donald Trump’s comeback could reshuffle the cards again.

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

If Trump Returns — What Europe Must Do Right Now To Prepare

Donald Trump’s comeback at the White House could cause major disruptions for the war in Ukraine, the Middle East and more generally, global security. Europe has to acknowledge this reality, and see in it an opportunity to reaffirm its own place in the world.

Categories
This Happened

This Happened—January 6: Assault On The U.S. Capitol

Updated Jan. 6, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. It was three years ago on this day that supporters of President Donald Trump stormed the U.S. Capitol on this date. What happened at the Capitol on January 6? After the defeat of former U.S. President Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election, a mob of his supporters […]

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Donald Trump’s Footprint Will Appear Across The World Through 2024 — At Least

It’s early January and already, former U.S. President Donald Trump’s presence can be felt on every current geopolitical situation. With his return in the White House becoming less and less unlikely, leaders are already factoring in what a second Trump era would mean for the world.

Categories
Geopolitics Society

A Gen Z Adieu To Two Political Icons And The Toxic Legacy They Left Behind

The list of notable deaths in 2023 includes Henry Kissinger and Silvio Berlusconi, who many believe had already overstayed their public welcome before our writer was even born.

Exit mobile version