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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Nobody Can Guess Anymore How Far Netanyahu Will Go

Initially presented as “limited,” Israeli operations have escalated sharply in Lebanon, and the Israeli Prime Minister has called on the country’s citizens to rise up against Hezbollah. What is Benjamin Netanyahu’s aim in this war?

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Geopolitics

Tiananmen Square: A Foreign Journey To The Forbidden Heart Of China

As the People’s Republic of China turns 75, journalist Jens Mühling attempts to visit Tiananmen Square, where the country’s great dramas have always taken place.

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Geopolitics Ideas

From Spain, Why I’m So Happy That Mexico Snubbed Our King

When Mexico’s new president, Claudia Sheinbaum, chose not to invite King Felipe VI to her inauguration, Spain could have reacted differently. It could have taken the opportunity to evaluate its colonial past and apologize to the native peoples of the Americas. But imperial nostalgia and a conflictual relationship with diversity are leaving Spain in the past.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

“We Call Him The Unknown Patient” — Inside Lebanon’s Only Hospital Burn Unit

As Israel’s air strikes on Lebanon intensify, following the unprecedented exploding pagers attack, the severely injured get care inside Geitawi General Hospital that aims to salvage their forever altered lives.

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Geopolitics Ideas Israel-Palestine War

Netanyahu Is Killing Us To Set Us Free? Logic, Grief And Resistance In Beirut

Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly urged the Lebanese to turn on Hezbollah, as he drops bombs that kill thousands of civilians. But every citizen knows what an occupier looks like.

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Geopolitics

How Smaller Nations Can Profit From Superpowers Fighting Over Supremacy

It’s called Active Non-Alignment. The end of a bipolar world and of Western supremacy has created a more fluid, and threatening, geopolitical map. For smaller powers, especially in Latin America, this is the time to “get the best deal” for themselves with the superpowers.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky Wants More Weapons — But Is Ready For A Softer Definition Of “Victory”

The Ukrainian president has begun a tour of Europe to present his “victory plan,” designed to reverse the balance of power with Russia before negotiating. It’s almost like asking for war and peace at the same time.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Israel Counts On Foreign Support — From Friends And Enemies Alike

Israel’s aggression over the past few months, no matter how successful, is ultimately a sign of its weakness. Yet it is able to achieve its goals from the support it receives from a number of players inside and outside the region, whether they realize it or not. That even, paradoxically, includes Iran.

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Economy Geopolitics

What The Chinese Stock Market Says About Xi Jinping’s Thirst For Power

The Shanghai stock market soared following the announcement of an economic recovery plan, but then ran out of steam. It’s a symbol of the Chinese people’s wavering confidence amid mounting crises and Xi Jinping’s grab for absolute power.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Blyzniuky, A Dormant Ukrainian Village Revived By Flood Of Donbas Refugees

Since the war broke out in Ukraine more than two years ago, the village of Blyzniuky has welcomed many people displaced by the conflict. Now five times larger than before the invasion, the village is working to integrate its new residents through work opportunities, psychological support and activities for children.

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Geopolitics

After A Bloody Decade Of Houthi Theocracy, Maybe A New Way Out For Yemen

The Houthis took control of Yemen’s capital Sanaa a decade ago in a religious coup masquerading as a revolution. Yet the Houthis have begun to speak more openly and boldly about their vision for the future of Yemen — and in doing so, may have planted the seeds of their defeat, exiled Yemeni journalist Afrah Nasser writes.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The 12-Month Fiasco Of Middle East Diplomacy Has Just Gotten Worse

When Emmanuel Macron called for an embargo on arms supplies to Israel, he was aiming at the United States, following the failure of the attempted ceasefire in Lebanon. Paris even speaks of ‘duplicity’ by Washington and Israel. It’s just the latest example of the failure of diplomacy in the face of the “logic of war.”

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Geopolitics

“Dehumanize Thy Enemy” — The Method Driving Israel’s Mass Killing Of Civilians

It’s clearer than ever that Israel — backed by a number of militarily and economically powerful countries that claim to abide by international law and human rights — continues to destroy these laws and standards that are based on the equality of all human beings.

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Geopolitics

Adré Snapshot: A Rare Glimpse Of The Awful Toll Of The War In Sudan

The war in Sudan has displaced some 10 million people, and 2 million have moved to the already fragile neighboring countries. Yet, as the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East dominate global politics, there are huge gaps in the provision of international aid to these refugees. Rarely has a disaster of this magnitude received so little attention from the international community.

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Geopolitics

Saied Landslide: Tunisian President’s Reelection Cements Strongman Rule

With results in Sunday’s election showed Kais Saied winning the election by a landslide, Tunisia may have definitively returned to dictatorship and closed a chapter on democracy in the Arab world that began a generation ago on the streets of Tunis. Daraj took a pre-election look at what it means for the people who live there.

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Geopolitics

When I Met Nasrallah — My 25 Years Of Internal Conflict About Hezbollah

When Israel killed Hassan Nasrallah in an airstrike on a stronghold in Beirut, journalist Khaled Dawoud recalled his meeting with the head of Hezbollah more than two decades ago, and gauges how his death marks the end of an era of confrontation with Israel.

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Geopolitics Green

Greenwashing To Peacewashing, Azerbaijan Uses COP29 To Scrub Its Global Image

As the host of the next UN climate summit, Azerbaijan is positioning itself as a peacemaker, calling for the end of conflicts that “worsen climate change.” But this stands in stark contrast to the country’s commitment to increase gas and oil production and its record of military aggression against Armenia.

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Geopolitics Ideas Russia-Ukraine War

Russia-Ukraine: Here’s How We Can End This War

Calls for negotiation between Russia and Ukraine are growing louder. But peace would require strong security guarantees for the invaded country.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran’s Other Problem: Hezbollah Rank And File Are Turning Against It

Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei vowed on Friday that the country’s regional allies would “not back down” against Israel. Yet neither criticism of Tehran has been growing among Hezbollah supporters since the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah.

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Geopolitics

The Middle East Is Ablaze — Where Are The Arab Leaders?

Arab countries remain largely missing in action as the region goes up in flames. Those that have recognized Israel are keeping a low profile, the Saudis are talking about a Palestinian state, but they are not averse to crushing the pro-Iranian forces and targeting Tehran. And yet a regional war would upset the current balance.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Israeli Counter Strikes Could Trigger The Demise Of Iran’s Regime

Was it the “Mother of Miscalculations?” Tehran’s decision to launch a second missile attack on Israel demonstrates its weakness at home and abroad. The Iranian regime may soon face the consequences, as a possible series of events could be triggered by a reprisal from the better-equipped Israeli military.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

Whose World? Watching The U.S. Election From Abroad Is More Disturbing Than Ever

This year’s U.S. presidential candidates cannot ignore foreign policy issues, which are usually absent from the campaign; Ukraine and the Middle East are on the agenda. But while American voters will likely choose their next commander-in-chief based on domestic issues, the rest of the world will suffer the consequences.

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Geopolitics

Austro-Hungarian Redux? FPÖ Far-Right Winner Kickl May Join Forces With Orbán

Just like the far-right electoral triumphs in France and Germany earlier this year, Sunday’s electoral victory by the Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) is likely to create political chaos within the country. Will Austria’s new leadership turn to Viktor Orbán’s Hungary and reignite their old alliance?

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Geopolitics

Israel’s “Trial-By-Fire” Tactics In Lebanon May Mean A Far Longer War Than Promised

Israel doesn’t know how far it will push into Lebanon, a great deal will depend on how much resistance they face. All of it adds up to a tragedy-in-the-making for the people of Lebanon.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Netanyahu Caught The Whole Middle East Off Guard — With Help From The Pentagon

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu laid out a careful plot to push and ultimately shatter the long-established “rules of engagement” in the Middle East. It caught everyone, from Iran to Hezbollah to the White House, by surprise. The aim is to remake the whole region to revolve around Israel.

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Geopolitics

By Firing Missiles At Israel, Iran May Have Just Doomed Its Own Nuclear Program

Iran decided on Tuesday to respond to the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Israel’s offensive in Lebanon, at the risk of Israel’s merciless retaliation. At stake is Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel has long wanted to destroy.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Hardliners Pushed Iran Into Attacking Israel — And What Happens Next

A core group of Iranian legislators demanded that Tehran to stop tiptoeing around Israel, and to seek revenge for the deaths of Hamas’ Ismail Haniyeh and Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah. The “war trap” be damned. But now the ball is in the hands of Israel’s own hardline government.

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Geopolitics

PRC At 75: How Xi Jinping Overtook Mao In Accumulation Of Power

As October 1 marks the 75th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, its leader Xi Jinping wields more power than any other past Chinese communist leader — including the country’s actual founder, Mao. Xi now wants to accelerate the rise of Chinese influence around the world.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Bush 2003, Bibi 2024: Return Of The Middle East “Mission Accomplished” Trap

The defeat inflicted on Hezbollah and the weakening of the pro-Iranian axis has shifted the power balance toward Israel, which is continuing its offensive with a ground incursion into southern Lebanon, and dreams of building a “new Middle East.” But we’ve seen this playbook before.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Yes, Nasrallah Hit Makes The U.S. And Iran Look Weak — But This Won’t End Well For Israel

As Israel celebrates the death of Hezbollah’s leader, Washington and Tehran both suddenly seem powerless, looking like spectators of an unraveling tragedy that is beyond their control. Yet, given its demographics and geography, Israel desperately needs allies.

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Geopolitics

Austria Votes Far-Right — Europe’s Nationalistic Wave Is Starting To Look Unstoppable

After Italy and the Netherlands, Austria has also broken a post-War taboo in choosing the far-right party in Parliamentary elections. It is a direct challenge to the European Union’s founding ideals at a moment when global uncertainty requires a strong democratic voice.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Far Will Netanyahu Go?

The Israeli Prime Minister has scored a major victory with the elimination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. But Netanyahu is showing no signs of relenting, continuing the bombing of Lebanon, and also striking Yemen. All with Iran as the ultimate target. Yet can force alone guarantee Israel’s security?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah: Eternal Enemy, Political Realist, Violent End

Israel has killed Hassan Nasrallah, longtime charismatic head of Lebanese militant organization Hezbollah. His recent leadership had been marked by a new kind of realism in the face of the balance of power, and served as a complement to Hezbollah supporters’ knee-jerk celebrations even when they are defeated.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

As War Reaches Beirut, Hezbollah Deserves Part Of The Blame For Lebanese Suffering

Nearly a year into the war in Gaza, the people of Lebanon are paying a price for both a failing of Hezbollah security, and more broadly for a support war so ambiguous that it’s impossible to understand its cause, purpose, or if anything has been achieved.

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Geopolitics

U.S. Policy In The Middle East Is Getting Tough Again — And The Reason Is China

The latest developments in the Middle East are part of longer-term shifts that are pushing to U.S. into a tougher stance in the region.

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Geopolitics

Axis Of Appeasement? Why Iran Is So Bent On Avoiding Israel-Hezbollah Escalation

As the conflict rages on across the Israeli-Lebanese border, Iran, which is Hezbollah’s principal sponsor, appears to be doing all it can to avert a war spreading around the Middle East. It could wind up on Tehran’s doorstep.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Joe Biden’s Diplomatic Legacy: The Good, The Bad, The Never-Had-A-Chance

Joe Biden delivered his final speech to the UN General Assembly, in the form of a message from a wise old man who has seen dark times before. But while he has re-established a predictable presidency, he still appears hesitant on Ukraine and the Middle East, which tarnishes his record.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Haifa And Beyond — How Hezbollah Will Respond To Israel’s Onslaught

We have entered a new phase of confrontation. The war on the northern front has become a reality and not just threats. Hezbollah may be reeling after the pagers attack and the bombings in southern Lebanon, but it is also set to go on the offensive, taking aim at Israel’s northern coastal city of Haifa.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The EU Army? It May Finally Be Time For Europe To Commit To A Joint Military

Russia’s annexation of Crimea, in 2014, warned Europe over a changing geopolitical scenario and the bloc’s vulnerability in terms of security. Now, the war in Ukraine has pushed EU member states to strengthen their defense policies and reopened the debate over the need for a European army.

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Geopolitics Society

Taiwan Clings To Death Penalty, Undermining Claim As Asia’s “Model Democracy”

The country’s Constitutional Court ruled on Sept. 20 in favor of maintaining the death penalty, in line with the position expressed by an overwhelming majority of the population. Yet, capital punishment remains controversial for a country that sees itself as East Asia’s model democracy.

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