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This Happened

U.S. Mob Insurrection To French Saint — On This Day In History January 6

A wartime tragedy, a shocking insurrection and the birth of a legendary heroine.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics In The News Israel-Palestine War Russia-Ukraine War special series Trump And The World War in Ukraine

Trump’s Return: Predictions And Paradoxes For 2025

With the unpredictable Donald Trump returning to the White House in January, what will global politics be like in 2025? In addition to major issues like the war in Ukraine, the conflicts in the Middle East and China, there’s another nagging question: What about Europe?

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Geopolitics

Would The Army Also Ditch The Regime In Iran? An Assad Scenario Is Spooking Tehran

Iranian officials are still wondering how its dear ally Bashar al-Assad fell so fast, and why his military was lost before the rebellion even started.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Israel’s Long Game In Gaza May Be The Return Of Jewish Settlers

The radical far-right in Israel’s government is demanding to build settlements in the Gaza Strip. Israel’s army is creating the conditions for this.

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Geopolitics

Syria’s New Rulers Are Trying To Cozy Up To Trump — By Going Soft On Israel

The new governor of the Damascus region has articulated a surprisingly soft stance on Israel’s aggressive action in both Syria and Gaza in hope that this would lead to U.S. recognition of the new regime.

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Geopolitics

How The Kurdish Question Has Come To A Make-Or-Break Moment

Stunning reports of positive exchanges between the long imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) and the Turkish government, coupled with the collapse of the Syrian regime, are reshaping the dynamics for the Kurds scattered across the Middle East. But beware of betrayal.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Year Voters Lost Faith In Incumbents — And Democracy

Looking back, 2024 was a year of momentous elections around the world. The results, from country to country, show overall that the global health of democracy remains precarious when some of those who win elections do not seem to believe in the political system which brought them to power.

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Geopolitics

Ever More, Iran’s Regime Is A House Of Cards

Israel’s decimation of Iran’s proxies in Gaza and Lebanon, and now events in Syria, have shown the Tehran regime is far weaker than it had wanted the world and its neighbors to believe. The Supreme Leader is now scrambling to rationalize it all, as the Islamic Republic clings to power.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Simple Message In Russian General’s Assassination: Ukraine Will Not Give Up

The unprecedented assassination of the head of the Russian army’s chemical weapons division is an act of war that is hard for Ukraine’s allies to defend. Still, Ukrainians can’t be faulted for fighting for the nation’s very existence, especially as the West shows signs of slowing down its support.

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

Everything Is Negotiable In Trump’s New World — And He Means *Everything

Donald Trump’s second term as U.S. president will undoubtedly bring about a transformation in geopolitics and the world economy. With a businessman rather than a politician in the White House, the country will take a more transactional approach based on negotiations.

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Geopolitics

Syria, The Middle East’s Unfortunate Battleground

Taking advantage of the fall of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Turkey, the United States and Israel separately carried out airstrikes on targets in different areas of the country, each with its own agenda. The reclaiming Syria’s sovereignty will be one of the most important and complex challenges facing the country’s new rulers.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Trump Boasts “Peace Through Strength” On Ukraine — But What’s His Actual Leverage?

The key question is whether any peace agreement will satisfy the U.S. president, or if he will push for real security guarantees for Kyiv. The question is what Trump will do if Russia or Ukraine (or both) refuse to negotiate on U.S. terms and are not intimidated by the threats of the American leader.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Populists Around The World Mirror Trump’s Comeback Formula Of Social Media Revenge

The impacts of the impending Trump presidency, and its unscrupulous use of social media platforms, are already being felt internationally. Trump’s unprecedented comeback is becoming the playbook for how to capitalize on dissatisfaction and regain power.

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Economy Future Geopolitics

What Unites Biden And Trump? An “Obsession” With Blocking China’s Access To AI

Before leaving office, the Biden administration yesterday imposed its toughest sanctions yet to deny China access to AI chips. This long-standing policy will undoubtedly continue under Donald Trump, a rare point of continuity.

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Geopolitics

Netanyahu’s Real Motive For Lebanon Ceasefire? To Keep Free Hand In Gaza

Israel and Lebanon have reached a U.S. and France-brokered ceasefire agreement. It’s an intricate agreement that requires a withdrawal of Israeli forces within 60 days, contingent on Hezbollah retreating north. And it shifts focus, allowing the war in Gaza to continue unabated.

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

State Efficiency? What Elon Musk And Trump Don’t Understand About Government Spending

U.S. President-elect Trump has tasked billionaire businessman Elon Musk with making the government cost-efficient. That may be an admirable objective, but the ideology driving it is wrong-headed… and dangerous.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Rather Than Blame Trump, Mexico Should Look In The Mirror

Will Mexico’s leftist government show pragmatism in dealing with the next U.S. administration or just keep bashing Donald Trump and watch the dismal effects on its economy, asks Mexican political commentator Luis Rubio.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Arab Leaders Welcomed Trump’s Victory — Until They Didn’t

Trump is seen as a “transactional” operator by leaders in the Middle East. But the appointments to all key positions related to the region suggest that Arabs should brace for the worst of all deals.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

No Surrender: Why Joe Biden’s Last-Gasp Support For Ukraine Matters

The U.S. has finally allowed Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range missiles following massive Ukrainian bombings of power infrastructure. Though only two months remain for the Biden administration before the uncertainty of the Trump era begins, the terms of any future negotiations are being fought over now.

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Future

Trump’s Victory Marks New Dawn For Crypto — And A Global Spike In Corruption

With a pro-crypto agenda and substantial backing from industry investors, Donald Trump’s presidency is poised to reshape the landscape of digital currencies, promising a future where Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies thrive under favorable regulations and government support.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

Dictatorship Or Circus? The Free Press Has One Last Chance With Trump — Laughs On Us!

Raging bull. Aspiring dictator. Insult comic. Donald Trump has and will always be an impossible subject for the media to cover. With democracy (and the free press) now on the line, what if we embraced the show?

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Future special series Trump And The World

How Trump’s Return Could Turn Into A Huge Opportunity For European Tech

The United States seeks to strengthen its competitive edge over the European Union through broad deregulation. While this poses a genuine risk, it also presents Europe with a chance to step up and fill a void, globally.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #107— What’s He Going To Do?

November 18 – November 24, 2024

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Jordan Is Spooked By Trump’s Return — And What It Means For The Whole Middle East

In his first term, Donald Trump tried to undermine the strategy that Jordan had bet on for more than two decades, to protect itself from the risk of transferring the Palestinians from the occupied West Bank to Jordan. What will a second Trump term mean for the country?

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Tehran Says It’s Not Afraid Of Trump — It Should Be

Iranian officials insist another Trump presidency could never change its policies — including fighting Israel where it can. But given the first Trump administration, Tehran should expect hard times ahead.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War special series Trump And The World

Could Trump’s Win Lead To Israel Annexing The West Bank?

A prominent figure of Israel’s far-right, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich has announced that 2025 will be the year of the West Bank’s annexation. With Donald Trump’s victory, supporters of colonization hope he will back their approach, despite it being contrary to international law.

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Eyes on the U.S. Future Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

Trump, Musk And The New Oligarchy Of Tech-Driven Political Power

With the announcement that Elon Musk will become part of Donald Trump’s administration, the tech billionaire’s influence on the U.S. will keep on growing. From pouring hundreds of millions into Trump’s campaign to bending social media narratives, Musk’s actions underscore the ease with which the techno-oligarchy can buy political sway, writes Natalia Viana of Brazil’s leading investigative platform Agência Pública.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Hubris Of Victory, Everywhere Musk: Reading Tea Leaves On Trump II

The first appointments of Donald Trump’s upcoming administration signal a firm stance on divisive issues like immigration, but the influence of figures like Elon Musk remains uncertain. An analysis of early steps and their implications.

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Israel-Palestine War

Two New Reasons Gaza Peace Is Farther Away Than Ever

Having played a precious though ultimately futile role as mediator, Qatar announced it will step back from Gaza talks as both sides remain uninterested in a ceasefire. And following Trump’s election victory, there’s a notable new appointment to represent Israel in Washington.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

Why Trump’s Victory May Put Warming Iran-Egypt Relations On Ice

Relations between Egypt and Iran have been growing closer. But the return of Donald Trump to the White House could be a setback for the rapprochement, given that Iran is among his top enemies.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War Russia-Ukraine War special series Trump And The World War in Ukraine

Trump’s Win Shakes Global Conflicts: Zelensky On Guard, Netanyahu Gains Ground

The election of Donald Trump has begun affecting global dynamics. In Ukraine, Zelensky fears losing U.S. support and has warned Europe against “suicidal” concessions to Russia. In Israel, Netanyahu stands as the main beneficiary, as Trump’s victory grants him the freedom to pursue his objectives unfettered.

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Geopolitics

Nabih Berri And Donald Trump In A Michigan Café? No Time For Lebanon Ceasefire Jokes

Lebanese House Speaker Nabih Berri has made a notable public quip about Donald Trump signing a pledge to end the violence in Lebanon in a famous café in Dearborn, Michigan. Everyone is trying to read between the lines, even as thousands are dying across Lebanon since Israel launched its offensive.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas special series

Bracing For The Worst: Trump’s Return And The Specter Of Germany, 1933

Americans have reelected Donald Trump despite his clear promises to consolidate power and disregard basic human rights. Snapshot of an election of a declared tyrant by a “suicidal” nation. Echoes of history’s very worst tyrant.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Ideas special series Trump And The World

The Democratic Party Debacle — And The Limits Of Demonization

Donald Trump’s success is also a revelation of the weaknesses of the American left, which is plagued by self-righteousness and the belief that painting your opponent as a threat to democracy is a political agenda. But blackmail is not a strategy.

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This Happened

Asian Typhoon To A Chef’s Birthday — On This Day In History November 8

A devastating typhoon, the election of a controversial U.S. president and a groundbreaking discovery.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #106— Trump’s World

November 11 – November 17, 2024

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Trump, Unchecked: U.S. Foreign Policy With No Adults In The Room

What will Donald Trump’s foreign policy be in his second term? There is no manual for it, but there are a few clues to understand. This isn’t a typical democratic shift: Nothing will be the same, and there will be no guardrails like during his first term.

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Geopolitics Ideas

German “Traffic Light” Coalition: The First Casualty Of Trump’s New World

Following the collapse of Germany’s governing traffic light coalition on Wednesday, Chancellor Olaf Scholz and former Finance Minister Christian Lindner are pointing fingers at each other — hardly a wise move as Donald Trump’s reelection sends a chill through democracies worldwide.

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Eyes on the U.S.

L’Incroyable Comeback, Renovo El Show — 24 International Front Pages On Trump’s Victory

Global media are reacting to the victory of Republican Donald Trump, who will become the 47th U.S. president after a turbulent, defiant and ultimately triumphant campaign against Kamala Harris.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

For Ukrainians, How Trump’s Victory Could Wind Up As A Blessing In Disguise

During his presidential campaign, Donald Trump repeatedly said he could end the Russia-Ukraine war “in a day” if reelected. Now that he has won, some Ukrainian commentators and politicians are hoping that they can use his unpredictability — and vanity — to their advantage.

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