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Geopolitics In The News War in Ukraine

Russian Bear Or Paper Tiger? Putin Is The Ultimate Stress Test For NATO

From drones over Poland to jets in Estonian airspace, Moscow is testing Europe’s nerves as Ukraine’s deep strikes rattle Russia. But the escalation could backfire, bringing Europeans closer together instead of driving them apart.

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In The News

After Trump’s Threats And Deadlines, Putin Isn’t Blinking

Despite promises of Patriot missiles and steep tariffs, Trump’s latest overtures give Russia time to press its offensive—and the Moscow stock market is celebrating.

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In The News Russia-Ukraine War The Endless War

Russian Census: When The Kremlin Hides Birth And Death Statistics

As official data vanishes from Russian state reports, independent experts warn that losses from Putin’s war in Ukraine are becoming too large to hide.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Is Russia An Existential Threat? German Leaders Can’t Have It Both Ways

Chancellor Merz and Foreign Minister Wadephul warn of direct threats from Moscow on the lives of people in Germany, and yet hesitate to back their words with the kind of support Ukraine urgently needs to avoid that Putin goes further.

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In The News

Putin In A Corner: How Zelensky Came Back After The White House Debacle

By challenging Putin to face-to-face talks in Istanbul, Ukraine’s president has reshaped the diplomatic game and forced Moscow into a high-stakes dilemma.

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This Happened

The Fall Of A Statue To The Opening Of The Met — On This Day In History February 20

The fall of a dictator’s statue, the opening of a world-renowned museum and the debut of a legendary ballet.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Putin Talked To Trump: Is Ukraine Now In The Hands Of Europe?

Donald Trump spoke with Vladimir Putin for 90 minutes and announced “immediate” negotiations on Ukraine. But will Ukraine be a topic of discussion or an active participant in these talks? Will Europe have a seat at the table? And what security guarantees will remain for a Ukraine left diminished by the outcome?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Putin Suddenly Looks So Vulnerable

While Russia had to negotiate with former Syrian rebels for the withdrawal of around 500 Russian soldiers trapped in Damascus, Vladimir Putin remained silent on the crushing defeat he suffered in Syria. Instead, he has threatened the West, as if to show he is not weakened by the fall of his ally Assad.

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This Happened

A Release From Exile To An Iconic Movie Release — On This Day In History December 19

The release from exile of a Nobel Peace Prize laureate, the election of an Asian country’s first female leader and the opening of one of the highest-grossing movies of all-time.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Simple Message In Russian General’s Assassination: Ukraine Will Not Give Up

The unprecedented assassination of the head of the Russian army’s chemical weapons division is an act of war that is hard for Ukraine’s allies to defend. Still, Ukrainians can’t be faulted for fighting for the nation’s very existence, especially as the West shows signs of slowing down its support.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Sudden Ukraine War Escalation Is The Real Start To Trump’s Presidency

Russia is expanding its nuclear doctrine and intensifying strikes on Ukraine, including Thursday’s unprecedented launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile. This is an apparent response to new U.S. authorization of use of its weapons in attacks on Russian territory. All can be traced to the radical White House transition underway.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

The U.S. Election Result That Putin Is Truly Hoping For: A Tie

With the U.S. elections on the brink, and polls extra tight in swing states, the Kremlin is lapping it up. Rather than outwardly pulling for a Trump victory, however, Wacław Radziwinowicz argues that Moscow is above all, hoping for the high level of chaos that would come with a hung election.

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Russia-Ukraine War

What If Putin’s Nuclear Saber-Rattling Was Just A Big Bluff?

What should we make of Vladimir Putin’s “new rules” regarding what constitutes a nuclear aggressor and how Moscow might retaliate? A closer look, especially after another recent failed launch test of the Sarmat missile system, shows the Soviet legacy increasingly appears to be a rusting shell of its former self.

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LGBTQ Plus Society

“They Might Kill Me Next” — To Be Trans In Georgia After The Abramidze Stabbing

After the killing of Georgia’s best-known trans woman Kesaria Abramidze, and a harsh new anti-LGBTQ law, Holod spoke with another well-known Georgia-based trans woman, Sofi Beridze, about homophobia in the country, as well as her birthplace, Moscow.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

So Trump Doesn’t Care If Ukraine Wins The War — But What Does Winning Even Mean?

The first presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump was an important reminder that the American election will help determine the fate of Ukraine. It did not take long to see which option was better. So much so the moderators had to ask Trump “Do you want Ukraine to win?”

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

On Kursk’s Front Lines, With The Russian Doctors Volunteering In “Hell”

Fighting in the Kursk Oblast — following Ukraine’s incursion into the region — is not abating, and volunteers from across Russia are coming to help: bringing goods and food, evacuating residents and providing medical assistance. Kommersant correspondent Alexander Chernykh visited a makeshift clinic and observed how volunteer doctors are saving wounded soldiers near the front line.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Rise Of Viktor Orbán, From Europe’s “Weird Uncle” To Trump’s BFF

The Hungarian prime minister has long been known for his conflictual relationship with the European Union. But Viktor Orbán’s recent diplomatic world tour, together with his proximity to Donald Trump, shows that he should not be underestimated.

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Geopolitics

Why Kazakhstan Is Cracking Down On Pro-Russian Separatists

In Kazakhstan, prison sentences are regularly handed down for separatist activity. Yet the defendants in such cases are overwhelmingly “online separatists” — people far removed from politics and activism. Who are they and why does the state consider them such a threat?


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Geopolitics Ideas Russia-Ukraine War

Moscow’s Pro-War “Z” Brigade Finds A Favorite New Target: Ordinary Russians

Disappointed by poor gains over the past three years in Ukraine, Russia’s pro-war Z community is blaming a new scapegoat. Russian writer and historian Ivan Philippov explains why a society that just wants to live and to work is now their main enemy.

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Geopolitics Society

Pariah Swap: Why Kanye West And Russia Need Each Other

The canceled rapper who’s praised Hitler and Putin’s Russia are a perfect match, writes music critic Nikolay Ovchinnikov

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Does France’s Macron Have The Clout To Make Putin Budge On Ukraine?

The French president wants to convince Vladimir Putin to halt military deployment around Ukraine. But some in Moscow believe the Russian president is only interested in negotiating with the U.S. about the wider global balance of power.

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Geopolitics

Georgia, Moldova, North Macedonia: How Russia Tries To Seep Into Europe At The Edges

Europe’s fate is also being played out in countries outside the EU, where East and West are battling for influence. In Georgia on Tuesday, the government bowed to pressure from Moscow, and passed a law on “foreign influence” modeled on a Russia law.

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Geopolitics Ideas Russia-Ukraine War

His Own Personal Jesus: Is Putin’s Piety Just A Ploy For Power?

Geopolitical analysts who view Russia as an unpredictable force tend to understand Moscow’s actions in purely worldly, political terms. German Professor of Theology Hubertus Lutterbach has uncovered a different message hidden in Putin’s religiosity — an implicit threat to his neighbors and the world.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Beggar, Joke, Neo-Nazi: Russian Insults Go Right Over Zelensky’s Head

Compared to the worldwide admiration for Volodymyr Zelensky, authorities in Moscow have systematically tried to demean the Ukrainian leader. Yet even among Russians, that strategy appears to be backfiring.

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Geopolitics

Putin, 72 Hours: The Kremlin Timeline Before, During And After The Theater Attack

As Russia mourns the victims of the worst terrorist attack in the Moscow area in more than two decades, differing narratives about the attack are spreading, as well as questions about why Putin addressed citizens just once in three days and did not acknowledge ISIS as the perpetrators.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Siloviki, The Faceless Power Behind Putin’s Veritable Lifetime Reign

In a quarter of a century under the regime of the former KGB agent, members of the Russian security forces have imposed their growing stronghold on politics and the economy. But the Russian presidential election is also an admission of their weakness with their president failing to build a state strong enough to carry on without them.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Ukrainian Strikes Inside Russia Send A Message: This Is Your War, And It Ain’t Over

Ukrainian drones that struck nine Russian provinces on Tuesday while armed Russian dissident soldiers launched a ground attack against Moscow’s troops in the Bolgorod region, bordering Ukraine. It’s a reminder to the Russian people that the war is on them, and won’t be ending anytime soon.

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Russia-Ukraine War

German Dupes, 60s Peaceniks, Tucker Carlson: How To Fight Moscow’s Disinformation Machine

Russians have long waged systematic and effective disinformation campaigns. Roman Vybranovskyi considers “active measures” that have been successful in the past, and what can be done to fight them today, notably in Ukraine.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Report: A Private Army Of Russian Football Fans Is Latest PMC On Ukraine Frontline

With private military companies (PMCs) multiplying in Russia, on the model of the Wagner Group, the billionaire Rotenberg brothers, friends of Putin, are creating their own private army of football fans.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

How The Baltics Are Building New Defense Forces Against A Russian Invasion

With Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas put on Russia’s Most Wanted list, Tallinn is drawing up clear plans on how it intends to secure its border with Russia — an idea it shares with Latvia and Lithuania. But the three small countries don’t have the territorial or strategic depth to absorb an attack the way Ukraine did, which is why they ultimately rely on NATO.

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Future Russia-Ukraine War

Inside Russia’s New System For Blocking The Internet — With Tricks From China And Iran

There have been increasing incidents at the regional level that indicate the Kremlin is developing a system, with elements from Chinese and Iranian censorship, to restrict internet access to build a new higher level of control over information.

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Russia-Ukraine War

“Rossia,” Putin’s Whitewashed HQ For An Epic Non-Campaign For Reelection

Vladimir Putin is not campaigning for the March 17 presidential election, but his message is on display at the vast “Rossia” exhibition in Moscow, which aims “to show Russians their modern Russia, a country they can be proud of.”

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russian Opposition: How Yekaterina Duntsova Can Take On Putin Without An Election

A former journalist and city councilor, Yekaterina Duntsova, 40, has suddenly gained surprising popularity among Russians opposed to Vladimir Putin and its offensive in Ukraine. She explains why barring her from the March presidential election won’t stop her campaign.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russian Plane Crash, Dead Ukrainians? When Narratives Collide In The Fog Of War

Ukraine and Russia are blaming each other for the Russian military plane crash. It will be hard to get at the truth of the accident, as either party is unlikely to release information, which is another weapon in their war.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky At Risk: Russian Propaganda And Domestic Opponents Want Him Out By Spring

Both Russian online trolls and Ukrainians who never liked him will be calling into question Volodymyr Zelensky’s right to hold on to the presidency as his five-year term is set to end in May. But they’ll also be questioning the morality and strategy of his war aims. What should be his response?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

2014-2024: How Putin Destroyed The 21st-Century International Order

Beginning with Russia’s annexation of Crimea, Moscow’s actions against its supposed “brotherly” neighbors have yielded decidedly mixed results. Yet there are certain outcomes of Russian aggression against Ukraine that have weakened the West and the post-Cold War global order.

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Russia-Ukraine War

How Putin Wields Russian Culture As A Weapon — And The Smart Way To Fight Back

Vladimir Putin has tried to tie Russia’s cultural achievements to the nation’s past empire and his modern imperial ambitions — still, it’s a mistake to try to bury the nation’s great art, music and literature, argues Ukrainian publication Ukrainska Pravda.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Battlefield Lessons For Ukraine From The Hamas Attack Against Israel

From preparing for the complexity of urban warfare to addressing technological vulnerabilities and gaining self-reliance in military production, the unfolding crisis in Israel has a number of critical messages for Ukraine.

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Geopolitics Ideas Russia-Ukraine War

Putin & Kim: What Happens When Two Pariahs Have Nothing Left To Lose

North Korea lends its full support to Russia’s war in Ukraine, and will supply ammunition to Moscow, which in return will help Kim Jong-un with his space ambitions. With the whiff of a Cold War alliance, it shows how two regimes that have become so isolated they multiply the risks for the rest of the world.

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Russia-Ukraine War Society

How The Russian Orthodox Church Has Become A Willing Pawn In Putin’s War

Since the start of Russia’s war in Ukraine, the Russian Orthodox Church has fully supported the Kremlin. Priests or members of the church that disagree with this politicization and militarization of the church face heavy consequences such as removal.

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