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Geopolitics Ideas

Arafat To Nasrallah: The 1982 Lebanon History Lesson That Israel Forgot Again

Israel is on the hunt in Lebanon one more time, with apparent early successes. But it has again ignored the fact that something always rises from the ashes.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Gaza And Beyond: Why The Middle East Will Be A War Zone For Years To Come

Benjamin Netanyahu escaped the growing calls to stop the war in Gaza and bring the hostages back, by launching another war on Hezbollah. It’s a taste of what’s to come.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Nobody Can Guess Anymore How Far Netanyahu Will Go

Initially presented as “limited,” Israeli operations have escalated sharply in Lebanon, and the Israeli Prime Minister has called on the country’s citizens to rise up against Hezbollah. What is Benjamin Netanyahu’s aim in this war?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

“We Call Him The Unknown Patient” — Inside Lebanon’s Only Hospital Burn Unit

As Israel’s air strikes on Lebanon intensify, following the unprecedented exploding pagers attack, the severely injured get care inside Geitawi General Hospital that aims to salvage their forever altered lives.

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Geopolitics Ideas Israel-Palestine War

Netanyahu Is Killing Us To Set Us Free? Logic, Grief And Resistance In Beirut

Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly urged the Lebanese to turn on Hezbollah, as he drops bombs that kill thousands of civilians. But every citizen knows what an occupier looks like.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Israel Counts On Foreign Support — From Friends And Enemies Alike

Israel’s aggression over the past few months, no matter how successful, is ultimately a sign of its weakness. Yet it is able to achieve its goals from the support it receives from a number of players inside and outside the region, whether they realize it or not. That even, paradoxically, includes Iran.

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Israel-Palestine War Society

Alone Again — How Germany Turned Its Back On Jews After October 7

An increasingly positive era of post-Holocaust Jewish life in Germany ended one year ago — the sense of progress and confidence gave way to a new, age-old fear, writes Sascha Chaimowicz in Die Zeit.

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Geopolitics

When I Met Nasrallah — My 25 Years Of Internal Conflict About Hezbollah

When Israel killed Hassan Nasrallah in an airstrike on a stronghold in Beirut, journalist Khaled Dawoud recalled his meeting with the head of Hezbollah more than two decades ago, and gauges how his death marks the end of an era of confrontation with Israel.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran’s Other Problem: Hezbollah Rank And File Are Turning Against It

Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei vowed on Friday that the country’s regional allies would “not back down” against Israel. Yet neither criticism of Tehran has been growing among Hezbollah supporters since the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah.

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Geopolitics

The Middle East Is Ablaze — Where Are The Arab Leaders?

Arab countries remain largely missing in action as the region goes up in flames. Those that have recognized Israel are keeping a low profile, the Saudis are talking about a Palestinian state, but they are not averse to crushing the pro-Iranian forces and targeting Tehran. And yet a regional war would upset the current balance.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #101— Unleashed

October 7 – October 13, 2024

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Israel-Palestine War

Israel Targets Hashem Safieddine, Frontrunner To Be New Hezbollah Chief

Israel has targeted Hashem Safieddine, the younger cousin of slain Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah, in an overnight air strike early Friday. Believed to be the heir apparent, Safieddine rose through the ranks and positions within the organizational structure. He also has very strong ties, and family connections, with hardliners in Iran.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Israeli Counter Strikes Could Trigger The Demise Of Iran’s Regime

Was it the “Mother of Miscalculations?” Tehran’s decision to launch a second missile attack on Israel demonstrates its weakness at home and abroad. The Iranian regime may soon face the consequences, as a possible series of events could be triggered by a reprisal from the better-equipped Israeli military.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Netanyahu Caught The Whole Middle East Off Guard — With Help From The Pentagon

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu laid out a careful plot to push and ultimately shatter the long-established “rules of engagement” in the Middle East. It caught everyone, from Iran to Hezbollah to the White House, by surprise. The aim is to remake the whole region to revolve around Israel.

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Geopolitics

By Firing Missiles At Israel, Iran May Have Just Doomed Its Own Nuclear Program

Iran decided on Tuesday to respond to the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Israel’s offensive in Lebanon, at the risk of Israel’s merciless retaliation. At stake is Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel has long wanted to destroy.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Yes, Nasrallah Hit Makes The U.S. And Iran Look Weak — But This Won’t End Well For Israel

As Israel celebrates the death of Hezbollah’s leader, Washington and Tehran both suddenly seem powerless, looking like spectators of an unraveling tragedy that is beyond their control. Yet, given its demographics and geography, Israel desperately needs allies.

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Israel-Palestine War

How Hezbollah Shuts Down Debate In Lebanon

The call in Lebanon to “postpone politics” is driven by a narration of the war as a religious, and not a political, event: that’s the root of Hezbollah’s ideology.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah: Eternal Enemy, Political Realist, Violent End

Israel has killed Hassan Nasrallah, longtime charismatic head of Lebanese militant organization Hezbollah. His recent leadership had been marked by a new kind of realism in the face of the balance of power, and served as a complement to Hezbollah supporters’ knee-jerk celebrations even when they are defeated.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #100— Escalation

September 30 – October 6, 2024

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

As War Reaches Beirut, Hezbollah Deserves Part Of The Blame For Lebanese Suffering

Nearly a year into the war in Gaza, the people of Lebanon are paying a price for both a failing of Hezbollah security, and more broadly for a support war so ambiguous that it’s impossible to understand its cause, purpose, or if anything has been achieved.

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Geopolitics

Axis Of Appeasement? Why Iran Is So Bent On Avoiding Israel-Hezbollah Escalation

As the conflict rages on across the Israeli-Lebanese border, Iran, which is Hezbollah’s principal sponsor, appears to be doing all it can to avert a war spreading around the Middle East. It could wind up on Tehran’s doorstep.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Haifa And Beyond — How Hezbollah Will Respond To Israel’s Onslaught

We have entered a new phase of confrontation. The war on the northern front has become a reality and not just threats. Hezbollah may be reeling after the pagers attack and the bombings in southern Lebanon, but it is also set to go on the offensive, taking aim at Israel’s northern coastal city of Haifa.

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Future Geopolitics

Israel’s Pagers Attack Is A “9/11 Moment” For Digital Security

Even if the exploding Hezbollah pagers was not the first supply chain attack, having thousands of remote, hand-held devices raised terrifying questions that hadn’t been widely considered before, marking a potential turning point in the public’s trust in their electronic devices, and in governments’ ability to protect them.

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Geopolitics

Why The U.S. Can’t Stop Israel From Escalating In Lebanon

The upsurge in violence between Israel and Hezbollah in recent days carries the risk of regional conflagration that the United States does not want. But once again, for almost a year now, the Americans have been unable to get their Israeli ally to listen.

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Geopolitics

Perfect Storm For Lebanon War: Hezbollah Disarray, Netanyahu’s Total Victory Delusions

Logic suggests that continuing the fighting on the southern Lebanon front is no more than meeting Netanyahu halfway toward a full-scale war. It also suggests that disrupting this man’s mission requires finding ways to stop the war.

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Geopolitics

An Israel-Hezbollah War Solves Nothing — And Nobody Can Stop It

After a series of Hezbollah pager and walkie-talkie explosions attributed to Israel, Hassan Nasrallah, the movement’s leader, promised to retaliate, while Israel stepped up its air raids. But neither side has a strategic vision beyond the battlefield.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #99 — New War

September 23 – September 29, 2024

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israel Keeps Committing War Crimes — And Isn’t Getting Any Safer

With its unprecedented attacks on pagers and walkie-talkies in Lebanon that again killed innocent victims, Israel now faces the risk of losing the war not just on moral and legal grounds, but also from a strategic perspective.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israel’s Attacks Against Hezbollah Come Amid Signs It Will Launch Full-Scale War In Lebanon

Unprecedented attacks via pagers and walkie-talkies carried by Hezbollah members comes amid a growing consensus in Israel in favor of launching a war across the border into Lebanon. Meanwhile, the U.S. may have given its assent and the Lebanese government appears unable to intervene, with Hezbollah holding all the cards on this side of the border.

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Geopolitics

Here’s What A Wider Middle East War Looks Like — And How It Gets Bigger

Nine dead and nearly 3,000 wounded. The unprecedented attack on the pagers of Hezbollah members is the larger explosion of a war already underway that could consume the whole Middle East.

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Geopolitics Ideas Israel-Palestine War

The Arab Dilemma: Between Criticizing Hamas And Adapting Israel’s Narrative

If there is a real peace project and an Israeli intention to solve the Palestinian tragedy, Hamas would have lost its justification for existence. Not just Hamas, but all the resistance factions.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Theater Of War: How Israel And Hezbollah Orchestrate Attacks That Never Cross The Line

Residents of southern Lebanon believe that their hometowns will remain an open arena for a long-term war between Israel and Hezbollah, even if this has only happened so far in a way that allows both sides to stop short of declaring an all-out war.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #96 — Nasrallah And His Flock

September 2 – September 8, 2024

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Geopolitics

Hezbollah Has Its Own Tunnels — And Civil War Ghosts

Hezbollah’s Imad 4 underground missile facility, which was revealed on Aug. 16, is just another layer of the Lebanese tragedy. For Hazem El-Amin, the footage brings back memories of his experience during the Lebanese Civil War.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israel-Hezbollah: What’s Containing The Shared Temptation To Escalate

Between Hezbollah and Israel, the Sunday morning exchange of attacks looked to be the beginning of the long dreaded regional war. But the sound and fury of Israeli jets and Hezbollah weapons amounted to another round of warfare, but not (yet) total war as major power sponsors in Washington and Tehran try to wind them back.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran, Israel, Hamas: Act II Of A Middle East Tragedy

Almost 10 months after the Oct. 7 attack, the Middle East appears to be on the verge of a second act of tragedy. This new escalation of the conflict could result in regional war on a massive scale.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israeli Assassinations: Did Netanyahu Get Green Light During Washington Visit Last Week?

A series of strikes occurred just days after Netanyahu returned from the United States, which will have difficulty denying a role in the targeting of three capitals in the region in 24 hours, and may spark a much wider war in the Middle East.


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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why All-Out War Between Israel And Hezbollah Has Never Been Closer

Mediation efforts are ongoing to halt the escalation between Israel and Lebanon’s Hezbollah, which could degenerate into all-out war at any moment. But diplomacy seems powerless in the face of the logic of war.

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Geopolitics

Iran In Crisis: What Raisi’s Sudden Death Means For The Middle East

The death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash comes in an already tense context, five weeks after Iran’s confrontation with Israel. The consequences are heavy, both in terms of regional and domestic conflicts.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The Israel-Hamas War Has Turned Into A Trap For Iran’s Regional Ambitions

While the Palestinian cause is important for Iran and the Arab militias it backs, the return of this issue to the forefront may not benefit the resistance camp. And its tactic of strategic patience may not produce the intended results.

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