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Ideas In The News

Concentration Of Power: The Supreme Error Of Iran’s Constitution

Iran’s post-revolutionary constitution concentrated all the power in the hands of the country’s supreme leader — a mistake that is still costing Iranians today.

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In The News

Multiple New Signs That Israel Is Set To Resume Airstrikes On Iran

Experts suspect Israel is planning another round of precision strikes on Iran, targeting key military sites and hoping to maim the Tehran regime enough to make it incapable of suppressing a “decisive” revolt against it. Even Tuesday’s Israeli strike in Qatar was ultimately a message to Iran.

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Geopolitics In The News

Iran Nuclear Talks: Why Tehran Has Always Preferred War

War with Israel and the United States may harm Iran and its infrastructures. But for the regime, it’s a chance to distract opinion from its economic failures and to quell dissent.

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Future Ideas In The News

If Iran’s Regime Falls, Is There A Way To Avoid Total Chaos?

There is a pervasive fear among Iranians, which the Tehran regime does nothing to abate, that chaos could follow the fall of the Islamic Republic. But Iranians should know that opting for superficial reforms or a republic similar to this regime will simply perpetuate its oppression, corruption and ineptitude.

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In The News Society Women Worldwide

Tehran To Islamabad, When An Islamic Patriarchy Fuels Femicide

In Muslim-majority societies, discriminatory laws, cultural traditions, and religious justifications conspire to make the murder of women an accepted norm rather than a societal tragedy.

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Geopolitics In The News Migrant Lives Society

Chaos And Cruelty As Iran Forces Thousands Of Afghans Back Across The Border

Iran is reportedly deporting thousands of Afghans — including many legal residents — claiming it can no longer afford to host millions of migrants. Witnesses describe chaotic expulsions marked by beatings and last-minute extortion at the border.

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Geopolitics In The News

Even If Iran’s Regime Is Weaker Than Ever, The West Chooses Appeasement

There are growing signs of deepening instability and decline within the Iranian regime. This makes the West’s ongoing efforts to reach a deal with Tehran incomprehensible to any Iranian yearning for a free country.

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Geopolitics Israel The Endless War

Have No Illusions, Israel And Iran Are Both Getting Ready For Another Round Of War

The so-called 12-day war ended in a June ceasefire. But it really just returned the Israel-Iran war to the shadows, with both sides now preparing for the direct conflict to start again.

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Geopolitics In The News Syria Crisis

Syria’s Outburst Of Violence May Be The Start Of A New Iran-Israel Proxy War

With Israel and Iran’s shadow war spilling into Syria, the new government in Damascus has warned that “foreign actors” aim to plunge the country into a cycle of instability and chaos.

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Geopolitics In The News Israel The Endless War Trump And The World

How Iran Reactivated The “Axis Of Resistance” With A Secret Baghdad Summit

The Islamic Republic of Iran recently sent Ismail Qaani, the Revolutionary guards general who keeps ‘resurrecting’ after being reported as killed or maimed, to Baghdad to discuss rearming its proxy militias. This appears to be Tehran’s first act of regional interference since Israeli strikes in June.

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Geopolitics In The News

To Save The Regime, Iran’s Islamist Rulers Are Latching On To Persian Nationalism

Tehran’s revolutionary regime is suddenly turning to Iranian nationalism hoping to rustle up public support for itself as it faces Israeli and U.S. threats. But who in Iran could believe it now, when everything it has done for years has shown its contempt for the very notion of historical roots and national interests.

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Geopolitics In The News

Iran’s Greatest Miscalculation: Playing The North Korea Card

Iran’s revolutionary regime imagined it could assure its survival by becoming an armed bunker like North Korea, ready to shoot if threatened. They seemed to forget that, for its location and resources, Iran is too important for the world to tolerate a “crazy” regime threatening vital oil routes.

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Geopolitics In The News Israel The Endless War

What If The Israel-Iran Ceasefire Is Just A Setup To Finish Off The Tehran Regime For Good?

The ceasefire agreed on between Israel and the Tehran regime is not an end to hostilities but likely a “breather” for both sides who insist they have unfinished business with one another. But Israel’s recent battering of Iranian sites, war matériel and senior cadres may have left the ayatollahs with “none of the cards.”

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Geopolitics

Trump’s Iran Plot Twist: A Set Up For A “Dirty Deal” With The Ayatollahs?

Many Iranians are angered by Donald Trump’s move to stop Israel’s precision strikes on the Tehran regime. As with Ukraine, he has shown he has little time for national aspirations, and sees the world as a playground for making deals, which often have a hidden business payoff for him and his entourage.

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In The News

Israel-Iran War: Four Points To Help Understand What Happens Next

After a week of unprecedented conflict between sworn enemy states, Israel and Iran may actually be holding back in the coming days, as the White House mulls its options. But surprises are no doubt in store with so much at stake.

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Geopolitics In The News Israel

Tehran, Evacuate! Israel Is Taking Its Ruthless “Dahiya” Doctrine To A Whole New Level

Israel may be giving Tehran a taste of the havoc it wreaked on Gaza and Beirut, as it seeks to crush the very environment that has nurtured and sustained the hostile regime of the Islamic Republic.

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Geopolitics In The News

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Is Clinging To Life — And The Regime May Not Stand Without It

Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps, which Israel has been battering with increasing intensity, were inevitably a prime target after decades of violent subversion often enacted with the aid of that other enemy of the West: Russia. The IRGC may be in its final throes.

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Geopolitics In The News Israel-Palestine War

Report: Hezbollah Is Weaker Than Ever, As Israel And Lebanon Block Iranian Funding

Sources say Hezbollah is in such dire financial shape, as Israel and Lebanon are successfully cutting off funding from Iran, it puts the organization at existential risk.

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Geopolitics

A “Manageable Enemy” — How Iran’s Regime Is Kept Alive By Western Fears And Cynicism

Despite widespread discontent at home, Iran’s regime is likely to survive for the foreseeable future — in part, because Western powers prefer maintaining the regional status quo to the unknown.

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In The News

What If Trump’s Push For Iran Nuclear Talks Was Actually A Set-Up For A Military Strike?

The first thing to remember is that Trump believes that Iran tried to assassinate him. But even if the United States and Iran have opened direct talks about the regime’s nuclear activities, it is unlikely anyone in the administration will take Tehran’s word for anything. Indeed, it may all be a set up for an inevitable U.S. military strike.

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In The News

Regimes And Imperialists: Why Neither Party In Iran-U.S. Talks Is Interested In Diplomacy

Iran’s battered regime had no choice but to talk to the Trump administration on its terms, but few Iranians expect real benefits for themselves from negotiations between a “thug regime” and “rapacious imperialism.”

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Geopolitics

How Does Erdogan Explain Turkey’s Protests? He’s Blaming Greece And Israel

Facing protests over the arrest of Istanbul’s opposition mayor, the Turkish government has found its culprits: Greece and Israel, two obstacles to its ambitions in the eastern Mediterranean.

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Geopolitics

Hezbollah Shifts To A Cyber Attack Strategy — And Puts Lebanon’s Truce At Risk

After suffering losses last year, Lebanon’s Hezbollah militia has transferred its war against Israel from the ground to cyberspace — at the risk of undermining the precarious ceasefire between the two countries.

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Geopolitics

What Is Iran’s Role In Clashes Between The Syrian Government And Assad Loyalists?

While Tehran has denied any involvement in Syria, elements affiliated with the ousted Assad regime in Syria say Iran is helping their fight to topple the government of President Ahmad al-Sharaa.

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Economy Geopolitics

Saudi Arabia Steps (Back) Into Lebanon’s Void After Debacle Of Iran-Hezbollah Axis

The Saudis could regain the political and financial clout they once enjoyed in Lebanon, which was lost for two decades to Hezbollah and its foreign patrons. Could that restore a measure of prosperity to a country brought to its knees by decades of civil war and the unwelcome interventions of Tehran and Damascus.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War special series Trump And The World War in Ukraine

With Trump And Putin Moving Closer, Iran Can No Longer Count On Moscow

With Trump’s return to power, Russia is rapidly moving closer to the United States; Putin has even agreed to mediate talks between Washington and Tehran. But can Iran still trust Russia? Or is it, like Ukraine, just another bargaining chip?

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

After Zelensky, Will Trump Try To Corner A Weakened Iran For A Deal?

Given Donald Trump’s hardline with Volodymyr Zelensky, the U.S president may be even more draconian with Iran, which seems to have an even worse hand than during Trump’s first term.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

How Iran Can Exploit The West’s Divide Over Ukraine

Iran prefers the EU’s discretion and apparent respect for its ideological red lines, in contrast with Donald Trump’s ostentatious and menacing style. So the growing rift between the U.S. and EU over resolving the Ukraine-Russia war may be a welcome chance for Tehran to revive secret contacts it loves so much with an EU in search of diplomatic clout.

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Geopolitics Ideas

How Putin Uses An Old Moscow Tactic Of Exploiting The Palestinian Cause

Around the world, the left and progressive media are serving Russia’s interests against the West when they lambast Israel. Since the Cold War, Russia has exploited and distorted the Palestinian cause to serve its ideals. And Iran is pursuing it on a smaller scale and with its own proxies, as Moscow’s geopolitical tool in the region.

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Geopolitics

How Turkey Is Seizing More Middle East Power — At Iran’s Expense

Regime change in Syria is a big point Turkey has scored against its regional rival the Islamic Republic of Iran, which may soon be pushed out of another crucial sector, trade and transportation in the Caucasus, Shahram Sabzevari writes in Kayhan-London.

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Geopolitics

How Tehran’s Defeats Abroad Are Starting To Boomerang Back To The Home Front

Iranian officials have been unnerved by the Assad regime’s collapse, with one top general admitting the country was “defeated very badly” in Syria. A shaky ceasefire in Gaza follows 15 month of war in which Tehran’s proxy Hamas was decimated. Will unrest in the region spill over to Iran, where problems — both foreign and domestic — are piling up for the regime?

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Eyes on the U.S.

After Biden Appeasement, Iran Braces For Trump’s Wrath — Or Deal

The incoming Trump administration will likely abandon its predecessor’s efforts to persuade the Iranian regime to change its disruptive and violent policies. Yet for ultimate survival, Tehran may be counting on an unexpected factor: Trump’s erratic mindset.

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Geopolitics

Would The Army Also Ditch The Regime In Iran? An Assad Scenario Is Spooking Tehran

Iranian officials are still wondering how its dear ally Bashar al-Assad fell so fast, and why his military was lost before the rebellion even started.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Has A New Middle East Order Already Sealed Tehran’s Fate?

Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Israel are reshaping the Middle East in a possible, bigger deal involving a peace deal in Ukraine. With the regional militias and Syria out of the strategic equation, is the next step removing the Tehran regime?

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Geopolitics

Ever More, Iran’s Regime Is A House Of Cards

Israel’s decimation of Iran’s proxies in Gaza and Lebanon, and now events in Syria, have shown the Tehran regime is far weaker than it had wanted the world and its neighbors to believe. The Supreme Leader is now scrambling to rationalize it all, as the Islamic Republic clings to power.

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Geopolitics

After Assad In Syria, Will Iran’s Regime Be The Next To Fall?

Whatever the official explanations given in Tehran over Bashar al-Assad’s downfall, Iran’s thuggish regime must have noticed that no amount of terror and torture can assure a hated regime’s permanence.

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Geopolitics

Trust Your Neighbors? Why Iran Regime Is So Jittery After Assad’s Fall

While the Islamic Republic of Iran mulls an official response to the fall of its Syrian ally Bashar al-Assad, Iranian politicians are already voicing their anger at the “backstabbing” conduct of two key powers, Turkey and Russia. Could Tehran be the next to get left to fend for itself?

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Geopolitics Ideas

Iran: What Khamenei Succession Whispers Reveal About Regime’s Decay

Members of the Tehran regime are cautiously broaching the question of who will be Iran’s next Supreme Leader, but is this of real public concern or a ploy to distract an exasperated population from the country’s dismal socio-economic conditions?

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Geopolitics

A Trump Carrot-And-Stick For Iran? New Nuclear Talks, Crushing Sanctions

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has said he is not out to topple Iran’s revolutionary regime, but his administration may, at the very least, seek intolerable concessions to the West from Tehran, or sink it with sanctions if it refuses.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Tehran Says It’s Not Afraid Of Trump — It Should Be

Iranian officials insist another Trump presidency could never change its policies — including fighting Israel where it can. But given the first Trump administration, Tehran should expect hard times ahead.

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