Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky, Berlin-To-Paris — And Europe’s Unlikely “Merci” To Trump

It’s what we call lighting a counter-fire. At a time when U.S. support for Ukraine is under threat, Europe is coming together. But can it fill the void that may be left by Washington?

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Estonia’s Fears Of A Russian Invasion Are All Too Real

With Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas suddenly appearing on Moscow’s wanted list, both the past and present offer plenty of evidence that the small Baltic nation — with 40% Russian speakers — could be the next neighbor after Ukraine in the Kremlin’s crosshairs.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Palestine As “The Great Arab Cause”: What’s Changed Since October 7

When Arab countries started normalizing relations with Israel, they did so disregarding the fate of Palestinians. It was a terrible error of judgment, and worse. Yet while the Palestinian cause remains a cornerstone of political legitimacy in the Arab world, few reasonable solutions are being brought forward, and radicalization continues to gain ground among the masses.

Categories
Geopolitics

What Indonesia’s Election Means For Democracy — And The U.S.-China Duel

Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto is expected to win Indonesia’s presidential election, on Feb. 14. Yet concerns about democracy are on the rise, as the nation carefully balances ties with Beijing and Washington.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

How The Baltics Are Building New Defense Forces Against A Russian Invasion

With Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas put on Russia’s Most Wanted list, Tallinn is drawing up clear plans on how it intends to secure its border with Russia — an idea it shares with Latvia and Lithuania. But the three small countries don’t have the territorial or strategic depth to absorb an attack the way Ukraine did, which is why they ultimately rely on NATO.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Gaza — Why The West Keeps Letting Israel Do Whatever It Wants

The West’s passive response to Israel’s actions in Gaza is increasingly difficult to maintain in front of the looming humanitarian crisis in Rafah. The lip service of “deep concern” doesn’t bother Netanyahu at all.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The Rafah Invasion And That Old Yitzhak Rabin Dream: “Gaza Sunk Into The Sea”

Israel’s invasion of Rafah has brought the war on Gaza to its most delicate point. And Netanyahu’s right-wing government may fulfill the wish of former center-left Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin “to find that Gaza has sunk into the sea”.

Categories
Geopolitics

Indonesian Elections: The Dark Reality Behind Subianto’s “Cute Grandpa” Memes

Prabowo Subianto’s campaign team has heavily promoted him as a baby-faced cute grandpa on the internet, overshadowing the former army general’s dark authoritarian past and potential intent to dismantle Indonesia’s fragile democratic system.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Is A New Frontline In The Ukraine-Russia War Opening — In Sudan?

A video is fueling speculation about Ukrainian military activities in Africa that appears to show the capture of Wagner mercenaries in Sudan. Kyiv is cooperating with the army in the African nation in the fight against the RSF militia supported by Wagner — in a sort of proxy war far from home.

Categories
Geopolitics

Trump Has A Big Mouth, And Europe Should Believe Every Word He Says

Donald Trump’s recent campaign remarks have escalated concerns in Europe as he questioned the credibility of NATO’s collective defense and went as far as encouraging Russia to act freely.

Categories
Geopolitics

Maduro Makes A Mockery Of Democracy — And Latin America’s Left Goes Along For The Ride

With a sham court ruling, Venezuela’s President Maduro has paved the way for his unchallenged reelection as president this year, regardless of U.S. sanctions. This is happening as Latin America’s leftist governments, notably Brazil, watch in silence.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

“Nothing About Ukraine Without Ukraine” — The New Geopolitics Since Russia’s Invasion

Vibrations originating at one point on the globe rapidly extend to its farthest corners due to the effects of globalization and information connectivity. Having repelled Moscow’s war, Ukraine symbolizes the significant shifts in the global balance of power and influence.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

With Ukraine In Need, Republicans Join Trump On The Wrong Side Of History

With the rejection of the aid plan for Ukraine, Eastern Europe fears that Trump’s isolationist policy will mark the end of U.S. protection from the Putin regime. News from Ukraine of President Volodymyr Zelensky replacing his head of armed forces, General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, together with the difficult situation on the battlefield, are generating a lot of tension in Ukraine — and in the wider Europe.

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas

Germany To India, A Debunking Of The “People’s Party” Sham Of Right-Wing Populists

As the far-right propagates a simplified and emotionally resonant message, the lack of coordination and a shared vision among the “non-far-right” strengthens the far-right’s illusion of representing the entirety of “the people.”

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

For Netanyahu, The Price For A Truce Is Still Higher Than The War’s Cost For Israel

The gap between the positions of the two parties revealed itself to be too wide Wednesday, though talks are continuing in Cairo. When will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu no longer be able to justify leaving the hostages in Gaza, and the damage of Israel losing its own allies?

Categories
Geopolitics

Our Next Geopolitical Crisis Will Come From Africa — In The Sahel

The next major geopolitical conflict is brewing in the Sahel region, in the north-central stretch of Africa south of the Sahara. Islamists and armed militias are plunging the entire region into chaos, and it is even possible a new jihadist emirate may emerge. Experts are already predicting there will be thousands of new refugees. Their destination: Europe.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Will Biden v. Trump Be All About Ukraine? It’s Already Begun

With U.S. elections slated for November, support to Ukraine is becoming a divisive electoral issue. Wednesday’s vote in the U.S. Senate over Ukraine aid will be telling, but it won’t end there.

Categories
Geopolitics

Senegal’s “Constitutional Coup” — Is Democracy In Africa A Lost Cause?

President Macky Sall’s decision to suspend the February 25 presidential election has plunged Senegal into chaos. It’s also grim news for those seeking institutional reform across Africa, where Dakar was long seen as a democratic model.

Categories
Geopolitics

About Those Arcs Of History, From Belfast To Gaza

Conflicts over religion, identity and territory can last years, decades and longer.The current war in Gaza looks like the Israeli-Palestinian conflict will never be resolved. The arrival of Michelle O’Neill to head the government of Northern Ireland offers a tiny, distant glimmer of hope for the future.

Categories
Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

What The U.S. Got Wrong In The Middle East — With Obama, Trump And Biden All To Blame

Iran’s allies are attacking the West across the region. The Hamas massacre, attacks on U.S. troops and the Houthi targeting of ships are possibly just the beginning. The fact that the Middle East is so unstable today is due to a decision first made by the U.S. a generation ago.

Categories
Geopolitics

How Myanmar’s Military Coup Turned Into A Quagmire Of A Civil War

Three years after a military coup ousted the democratically elected government of Myanmar, the junta’s forces look vulnerable. But quick victory is nowhere in sight.

Categories
Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Why Biden May Be Just As Bad For U.S.-Mexico Trade As Trump

U.S. President Biden has quietly turned his Republican predecessor’s anti-foreign posturing into economic policies that strongly favor domestic manufacturing. Does Mexico, which depends on massive exports to the U.S., have anything to look forward to in the upcoming presidential elections?

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas

How Democracy Slips Into Dictatorship — A Warning From The Turkish Playbook

As nearly half of the world prepares to vote in elections this year, Turkish journalist and author Ece Temelkuran warns, in the Istanbul-based weekly Oksijen, that many countries are following Turkey’s path from democracy to dictatorship.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A New Ceasefire Deal In Gaza Will Be Hard — Making It Last Is Basically Impossible

As the Israel-Hamas war continues unabated, the U.S., Egypt and Qatar are pushing to quickly reach an agreement. Will internal divisions be overcome? But even if a deal is struck, the war is far from over.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

“Israel From The River To The Sea” — Netanyahu’s Threats Foretell His Own Demise

The “day after” the war and after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, a desperate man standing on the edge of his political demise, is the first day of a the two-state solution.

Categories
Geopolitics

Here’s How The U.S. And Iran Could Slip Into A War That Neither One Wants

The death of three U.S. soldiers has raised the stakes in a low-simmering, but constant escalation between Washington and Tehran that could explode from the shadows of the war in Gaza — even if by pure accident.

Categories
Geopolitics

Radicalized Balochs, And The Risk Of An Iran-Pakistan Conflagration

The strikes this month between Iran and Pakistan have brought the Baloch issue back to the forefront. The countries have long accused each other of harboring Baloch militant groups who are fighting for more regional autonomy.

Categories
Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Charges Against The UN In Gaza Are Grave — But The West’s Response Is All Wrong

Israel has accused 12 employees the UN agency for Palestinian refugees UNWRA, of participating in the Oct. 7 attack. The United States and other countries have suspended their funding, which risks worsening the ongoing tragedy for the two million Palestinians in Gaza.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russian Opposition: How Yekaterina Duntsova Can Take On Putin Without An Election

A former journalist and city councilor, Yekaterina Duntsova, 40, has suddenly gained surprising popularity among Russians opposed to Vladimir Putin and its offensive in Ukraine. She explains why barring her from the March presidential election won’t stop her campaign.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russian Plane Crash, Dead Ukrainians? When Narratives Collide In The Fog Of War

Ukraine and Russia are blaming each other for the Russian military plane crash. It will be hard to get at the truth of the accident, as either party is unlikely to release information, which is another weapon in their war.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

It’s Not A “Stalemate”: The Ukraine War Is Riding On Even The Smallest Victories

Despite uncertainty over Western delivery of weapons and setbacks on the battlefield, it is crucial for Ukraine to continue fighting each and every battle, writes Viktor Kevlyuk in Livy Bereg, as every conquered inch of terrain can tip the war’s balance.

Categories
Geopolitics

Africa Has The Whole World Knocking — What’s An Old Colonist Like France To Do?

As Russia and China weave more intricate and long-lasting relations within the African continent, former colonizing powers like France need to step up their game in order to maintain their influence and connections.

Categories
Economy Geopolitics

China’s “Belt And Road” 10 Years On: Grandiose Plans, Pure Nationalism, Vague Future

Ambition and ambiguity are the unspoken rules utilized by the participating parties in China’s much touted Belt and Road Initiative, launched 10 years ago, to expand its economic power across the world. But what has actually come of it is not so clear.

Categories
Geopolitics

Who Bombed Us Today? A Weakened Syria Becomes Battlefield For Global Proxy War

Now in its third month, the Israel-Hamas war has led to an increase in Israeli strikes on Iranian posts in Syria. At the same time, the pace of drug smuggling from Syria to Jordan has increased, prompting the latter to launch airstrikes inside Syria.

Categories
Geopolitics

Inside Yemen, Rising Opposition To Houthis’ Red Sea Escalation

Despite their country’s complicated situation on the economic, humanitarian and political levels, war-weary Yemenis are divided over the Houthis’ escalation in the Red Sea. The situation is raising concerns among Yemenis about their future.

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas

The Far Right And Europe: Calling AfD’s Bluff With Cold ‘Brexit’ Showers

The far-right AfD party chief has threatened a “Dexit” referendum, where Germany (Deutschland) leaves the European Union. But just ask the British people what they think about how that turned out. Right wing leaders in Italy and France seem to have understood the message.

Categories
Geopolitics

Venezuela Wants To Impose A Soviet-Style Police State — But Can It Pull It Off?

Latin America’s socialist regimes are following the “Putin model” of policing the population, inspired by Soviet practices, but in the case of oil-rich Venezuela, fortunately, the communist science of repression is not yet watertight.

Categories
Geopolitics Society

What The Saga Of Chinese Influencers In Africa Says About Social Media — And China

What has driven the rise and slow decline of Chinese social media influencers on the African continent? A mix of business, racism and censorship — and short attention spans of all of the above.

Categories
Geopolitics Ideas Society

Divine-Right King Modi: Ram Temple And The Crushing Of Secularism In India

With Monday’s consecration of the controversial new Hindu temple, Ayodhya Ram, Indian Prime Minister Narenra Modi declared that God had “made him the representative of the people of India” to be present at the ceremony. This is a dark watershed in modern India’s attempt to reconcile church and state.

Categories
Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Russia’s Plans For A War Of Attrition Is Starting To Look Like A Bad Idea

Putin has threatened Ukraine with a long war in the hope that Western support will wane and that his troops will eventually outnumber Ukraine’s. But his army has had a few difficult months and arms production can’t keep up. Meanwhile, Western support for Kyiv is holding steady.

Exit mobile version