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Geopolitics

Yoon Power Grab — South Korea’s Lesson In How A Democracy Preserves Itself

South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol shocked and enraged the country on Tuesday by declaring martial law and suspending civil liberties. The power grab quickly unraveled following democratic outcry, with lawmakers and citizens calling for the discredited leader to resign.

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Economy Future Geopolitics

What Unites Biden And Trump? An “Obsession” With Blocking China’s Access To AI

Before leaving office, the Biden administration yesterday imposed its toughest sanctions yet to deny China access to AI chips. This long-standing policy will undoubtedly continue under Donald Trump, a rare point of continuity.

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Geopolitics

A Dark Sign In Europe: The France-Germany Duo Is Weaker Than It’s Ever Been

Having long been the driving force of the European Union, France and Germany are facing multiple crises simultaneously, threatening the balance of their relationship. It couldn’t have come at a worse time.

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Geopolitics

Inside Turkey’s Key Role In The Syrian Opposition Assault On Aleppo

Almost everyone agrees on the Turkish role in the sudden reigniting of the Syrian civil war, a scenario that evokes a sense of déjà vu for those who remember how the region was shaken up in the mid-1970s from Damascus.

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Geopolitics

Syria’s Civil War Reignites — And Panic Spreads All Across The Middle East

The Syrian rebels’ surprise offensive allowed them to capture Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, in just three days. Already in crisis since Oct. 7, 2023, the Middle East is now facing a whole new level of turmoil.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Autonomous Weapons Are Here — What Now For War’s Rules Of Engagement?

How autonomous and semi-autonomous technology will operate in the future is up in the air, and the U.S. government will have to decide what limitations to place on its development and use. Those decisions may come sooner rather than later…

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Geopolitics

Israel To Syria To Iran, When Silence And Evil Become One And The Same

Since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack, use of the term “evil” has increased. The more heinous and public the murder, the more the evil of the murderer would be revealed and “the world” would be pushed to intervene. Yet in both Syria and Gaza, that world has been satisfied with symbolic responses.

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Geopolitics Ideas

UN, Multilateralism, Dialogue: These Are (Still) The Key Words To Peace In Our World

Multilateral diplomacy may seem to be exhausted today as wars and violence proliferate unchecked, but nobody should think its time is past and expect to see peace in the world.

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Geopolitics

Iran? Syria? Trump? The Next Twists On Netanyahu’s War Path After Lebanon Ceasefire

The Israeli Prime Minister has been clear: The ceasefire in Lebanon will allow him to focus on Iran and on Syria, through which Hezbollah’s weapons are transported. But the underlying factors are Iran’s nuclear program and Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Ideas special series Trump And The World

Is Trump A Fascist? German Historians Provide A Closer Look

Opponents and former supporters are issuing urgent warnings about Donald Trump, saying he is a fascist. But is he really a new Mussolini or Hitler? What should we be looking for in the months to come? Christian Staas of Germany’s Die Zeit asks historians on both sides of the Atlantic.

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Geopolitics

Ortega’s Power Grab: Why Trump Is A Glimmer Of Hope For Nicaragua’s Opposition

As Nicaragua’s weakened opponents expend themselves in jail or exile or in rivalries, communist strongman Daniel Ortega has amended the constitution yet again, to lock himself and his family into perpetual power. Could Donald Trump’s reelection become a miraculous glitch in his plans?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

France’s Weak Attempt To Justify Its Reversal On Netanyahu Arrest Warrant

France caused a stir by declaring that the Israeli leader enjoyed “immunity” from the ICC arrest warrant. It’s a legal statement, but also a highly political one, as Israel has threatened to remove France from the Lebanese Ceasefire Monitoring Committee. Human rights activists are appalled.

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Geopolitics

The Israel-Hezbollah Truce Will Only Hold If There’s A Deal Beyond Lebanon — That Means Iran

One might think that the rush to announce the completion of the deal refers to its preemptive failure with each party blaming the other for this failure. But there are many moving parts in the negotiations, like there are in the region.

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Geopolitics

Netanyahu’s Real Motive For Lebanon Ceasefire? To Keep Free Hand In Gaza

Israel and Lebanon have reached a U.S. and France-brokered ceasefire agreement. It’s an intricate agreement that requires a withdrawal of Israeli forces within 60 days, contingent on Hezbollah retreating north. And it shifts focus, allowing the war in Gaza to continue unabated.

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Geopolitics Society

TikToks And Resentment: How The Far-Right Conquered Romanians Living Abroad

The “diaspora” of Romanians forced to leave the country in search of work is estimated at 4 million, and far-right parties have figured out how to appeal to them for support. It largely mirrors the rightward shift of the nation’s youth as well.

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

State Efficiency? What Elon Musk And Trump Don’t Understand About Government Spending

U.S. President-elect Trump has tasked billionaire businessman Elon Musk with making the government cost-efficient. That may be an admirable objective, but the ideology driving it is wrong-headed… and dangerous.

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Geopolitics

Romania’s Election Shock — A Glimpse Of Where The Rest Of Europe Stands On Ukraine

The surprise in the first round of the Romanian presidential election came from far-right, pro-Russian candidate Călin Georgescu. How could such a figure emerge seemingly out of nowhere? TikTok certainly played a role, but so did fears of the Ukraine war spreading. It’s a cautionary tale for all of Europe.

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Geopolitics

It’s The Worst Moment In Modern Arab History — And Arabs Deserve Most Of The Blame

The Arab nations and people are facing a general state of failure that includes actions of regimes, societies and political parties, armed militias, national liberation and resistance movements. And while Israel’s genocide in Gaza and Lebanon is abhorrent, Arabs hold most of the responsibility.

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Geopolitics

Taiwan Backs Kyiv, Moscow Recruits Houthis: And If Trump Pulls Back From The World Now?

The main conflicts today are deeply interconnected. A recent example is Taiwan’s former president urging Washington to prioritize arms shipments to Ukraine over Taiwan, arguing that the credibility of American deterrence is at stake. Will Trump make the connections?

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Geopolitics

Turkey Sees Rising Threat Of “Greater Israel” Arriving At Its Borders

Turkey has become increasingly concerned about Israel’s expansionist ambitions, both for peace in the region and the Turkish claims to contested territory, given Israeli officials’ comments about “Greater Israel.”

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Economy Geopolitics

Now Even Elephants Are Fleeing Tunisia

Tunisians are among the largest group of people migrating to Europe due to the lack of decent living conditions in the North African country. But now even animals are being pushed to the brink by the neglect and mismanagement of resources.

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Geopolitics

Hoops And Shells: Lebanon’s National Basketball Team Is Playing For Survival

After recovering from a series of crises in recent years — Lebanon’s economic collapse, the COVID-19 pandemic — the country’s national basketball team is playing qualifiers for the 2025 FIBA Asia Cup to be held in Saudi Arabia. With their country embroiled in the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, the team’s players have infused social importance in their matches.

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Geopolitics Society

Arrest Of Italian-Egyptian Adult Film Star Revives Fears Of Prisoner Abuse In Egypt

Italy is seeking information about the condition of Sharif el-Anain, an Italy-based adult film actor who was arrested in Egypt earlier this month under unclear circumstances. Italians have not forgotten Giulio Regeni, a 28-year-old Italian researcher of labor rights, who died in Egyptian police custody after allegedly being tortured.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Iran: What Khamenei Succession Whispers Reveal About Regime’s Decay

Members of the Tehran regime are cautiously broaching the question of who will be Iran’s next Supreme Leader, but is this of real public concern or a ploy to distract an exasperated population from the country’s dismal socio-economic conditions?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

ICC Arrest Warrants: Netanyahu’s European Travel Days Are Over

The judges of the International Criminal Court (ICC) have issued an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. He says it’s an antisemitic move, and is backed by the U.S., but France and other EU countries have stated they will respect the warrant, meaning the Israeli leader is now unable to visit these regions.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Rather Than Blame Trump, Mexico Should Look In The Mirror

Will Mexico’s leftist government show pragmatism in dealing with the next U.S. administration or just keep bashing Donald Trump and watch the dismal effects on its economy, asks Mexican political commentator Luis Rubio.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Mohammed Deif, Hamas Chief Now Wanted By The ICC — But Is He Still Alive?

Tipped to succeed slain leader Yahya Sinwar, Hamas commander Mohammed Deif, has just been targeted by an ICC arrest warrant. Back in July, Israel said Deif had been killed in a strike, but Hamas has insisted that he is alive and well.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Sudden Ukraine War Escalation Is The Real Start To Trump’s Presidency

Russia is expanding its nuclear doctrine and intensifying strikes on Ukraine, including Thursday’s unprecedented launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile. This is an apparent response to new U.S. authorization of use of its weapons in attacks on Russian territory. All can be traced to the radical White House transition underway.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Beyond Hezbollah, Why The “Shia Question” Defines Lebanon’s Fate

The Shia question is an expression of the entire Lebanese question, and requires the good will of all faiths, but also poses the responsibility of what to think and do about Hezbollah.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Arab Leaders Welcomed Trump’s Victory — Until They Didn’t

Trump is seen as a “transactional” operator by leaders in the Middle East. But the appointments to all key positions related to the region suggest that Arabs should brace for the worst of all deals.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Undersea Cables Cut In The Baltic, A Perfect Target For Hybrid Warfare

Two undersea communication cables were severed in the Baltic Sea this weekend, prompting Germany’s defense minister to say that “no one believes” it was an accident. Many suspect a new escalation of hybrid warfare in a sea where Russia is the only country not part of NATO.

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Future Geopolitics

Cyclones To Sabotage, New Threats To The Submarine Cables That Carry The Internet

Forget about the satellites: 99% of global data traffic runs over fiber optic cables on the seabed. Now, climate change and political sabotage might put the infrastructure at risk.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Pianist Tragedy And Redemption, From Warsaw To Southern Lebanon

A video in the summer of 2023 showed Julia Alli playing the piano in her home southern Lebanon. In the fall of 2024, a new video emerges of Israeli soldiers in the ruble of that home and piano. For writer Badia Fahs, the contrast also links to the story of Roman Polanski’s Oscar-winning Holocaust drama The Pianist.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

UN Fades, Trump Returns: The G20 May Be World’s Best Chance To Avoid The Worst

The United Nations suffers from a lack of effectiveness and declining legitimacy due to a failure to reform. The G20 remains the last forum where opposing powers can still talk to one another. But with the return of Donald Trump and his “America First” policy, what comes next is uncertain.

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Geopolitics

A Trump Carrot-And-Stick For Iran? New Nuclear Talks, Crushing Sanctions

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has said he is not out to topple Iran’s revolutionary regime, but his administration may, at the very least, seek intolerable concessions to the West from Tehran, or sink it with sanctions if it refuses.

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Geopolitics Ideas Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

1,000 Days Of War: More Than Ever, Putin’s “Evil Empire” Must Be Vanquished

Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine 1,000 days ago. Since then, many Western nations, scholars and politicians have suggested negotiating for peace with Russia, rather than letting the war go on. But negotiations will not stop Putin’s imperial ambitions.

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Geopolitics

Iran-Lebanon: When Larijani Laughed Amid The Rubble Of Beirut

A photographer captured the seasoned Iranian official Ali Larijani laughing on his visit Thursday to Beirut, fully aware of what laughter means in such a situation. The seasoned Iranian diplomat knows that many Lebanese hold his regime responsible for dragging their country into a bloody, senseless, and destructive war.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

No Surrender: Why Joe Biden’s Last-Gasp Support For Ukraine Matters

The U.S. has finally allowed Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range missiles following massive Ukrainian bombings of power infrastructure. Though only two months remain for the Biden administration before the uncertainty of the Trump era begins, the terms of any future negotiations are being fought over now.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series

Revenge Of “Sh*thole Countries”? What Trump II Means For U.S.-Africa Relations

As Donald Trump prepares for a second term, African nations find themselves at a crossroads. With mixed reactions from leaders across the continent, the implications of his policies raise questions about future U.S.-Africa relations, human rights and climate action.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

In Gaza, Starving Dogs And Cats Are Eating Corpses

The situation in Gaza has become so dire that Palestinians have observed hungry dogs and cats eating dead bodies on the streets — and even digging up buried corpses — and becoming more aggressive toward people.

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