Venezuela

Maduro's Crimes Don't Make Juan Guaido President Of Venezuela

More than two years after the opposition leader proclaimed himself the country's 'legitimate' leader, the man he was hoping to oust — President Nicolas Maduro — is still very much in charge.

-OpEd-

It's reasonable, here in Latin America, that left-wing politicians — as a way to establish their democratic credibility — would be asked to distance themselves from Venezuela's dictatorial regime. It's notable, here in Peru, both those who have and have not done so.

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How Biden Could Help Solve The Venezuela Conundrum

Unlike his populist predecessor, the U.S. president-elect has an opportunity to engage with the leftist forces within Latin America that can then bring pressure to bear on the Maduro regime.

-Analysis-

BUENOS AIRES — The Venezuelan crisis will be U.S. President-elect Joe Biden's big Latin American challenge. The next four years are more than enough time to push Venezuela toward democratic normalization by involving political actors with whom the regime of President Nicolás Maduro is prepared to talk.

With Donald Trump at the helm, the United States had considerably less credibility in its bid to find a democratic solution for Venezuela. Working against that effort was Trump's particular brand of populism, as well as his alliances with Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro, who openly admires his country's last military dictatorship, and Iván Duque of Colombia, where dozens of rights activists have been murdered just this year.

The Organization of American States (OAS) is another of the actors the Maduro regime won't heed, especially under its present secretary-general, Luis Almagro.

Biden will, however, benefit from the contribution and credibility of former Chilean leader Michelle Bachelet, who has since become the UN's human rights chief. His administration can also work with the European Union, prominent rights organizations, and influential South American political groups such as Brazil's Workers Party (PT), the socialists of Chile, and Uruguay's Broad Front (Frente amplio) — all of them on the left — so that they will intercede and help ease the impasse in Venezuela.

Free elections have become impossible in Venezuela as results cannot be verified.

At the same time, there's one thing to always keep in mind when talking to the Maduro regime: Since 2015, when the Bolivarian movement, founded by the late Hugo Chávez, suffered its first electoral defeat and lost control of parliament, free elections have become impossible in Venezuela as results cannot be verified.

The opposition, as a result, refuses to take part in elections devoid of transparency, which only serve to legitimize a dictatorship. Effectively, free elections, which even the socialist governments of Andrés Manuel López Obrador in Mexico and Argentina's Alberto Fernández seem to back, would very likely have one loser, the Bolivarians clinging to power without democratic legitimacy.

Biden and Maduro in 2015 — Photo: Xinhua/ZUMA

Those who are upset with international pressures on the Venezuelan regime must know they are accomplices to the country's human tragedy. And they are not just the leftist regimes of Cuba, Nicaragua, or Ecuador and Bolivia, under past presidents Rafael Correa and Evo Morales respectively.

Under Chávez and Maduro, democratic institutions and the rule of law were gradually undermined as Venezuela mutated into a military-backed dictatorship. In the meantime, Latin America mostly looked the other way, which makes many of the region's democratic rulers partly responsible for this tragedy. That is especially the case of the PT in Brazil, the two Kirchner presidents and their backers in Argentina, and the Broad Front in Uruguay.

The last report by the UN Human Rights Office in September 2020, headed by Bachelet, is unequivocal. It repeats the charges made in 2011 when the UN Human Rights Council made its first Universal Periodic Review (EPR) for Venezuela. In that year, drawing on information provided by UN agencies, the EPR found a range of abusive practices including illegal detentions, extra-judicial killings and excessive and indiscriminate use of force by police, a partial judiciary or restrictions on the freedom of speech and political and electoral rights.

Those who are upset with international pressures on the Venezuelan regime must know they are accomplices to the country's human tragedy.

Chávez was president in 2011, when Dilma Rousseff was president of Brazil, Cristina Kirchner led Argentina, and José Mújica was president of Uruguay with Luis Almagro as his foreign minister. Chile's Bachelet had recently completed her first term in office. The CELAC regional organization was also formed at this time with the approval of regional states, and used to embolden Venezuelan socialism, which had already been firmly denounced by the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights.

By including these progressive forces, which the Maduro regime is prepared to hear, the Biden administration could, with the EU, open the door to democratization in Venezuela and help end its humanitarian tragedy. In doing so, his administration could also boost the regional left's commitment to democracy.

This commitment is overdue. The left is indebted for its historical support for authoritarian outfits in Cuba and more recently Nicaragua, where the regime of Daniel Ortega is borrowing a page from the worst days of the Southern Cone juntas.

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Venezuela's Maduro Has A Surprising New 'Ally' — Trump

The socialist strongman has plenty of critics. But he also has a remarkable amount of staying power, in part because of the tacit support he receives from certain fellow presidents.

-Editorial-

SANTIAGO — Michelle Bachelet, the former president of Chile who now heads the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR), recently released a new report that, among other things, implicates the regime of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in the suspected executions of at least 38 young people in the period from May 2019 to May 2020.

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China, Venezuela And The Limits Of Pandemic Diplomacy

Latin American countries are, for the most part, appreciative of Beijing's donations of much needed medical supplies. But the goodwill isn't guaranteed to last forever.

-Analysis-

BOGOTÁ — For some time now, the People's Republic of China has been donating medical supplies to countries all around the world. Analysts call it "facemask diplomacy," and in the United States and Western Europe there are plenty of skeptics.

In Latin America, in contrast, Beijing's efforts have mostly been well received. What remains to be seen, however, is whether the positive feelings last. And that could depend in the coming months on China's posture toward Venezuela.

With the exception of certain Latin American states that have ties with Taiwan, countries all across the region have received some form of aid from China. Little wonder that in late March, the Chinese Foreign Ministry's Latin American and Caribbean department organized a videoconference, with some 200 government officials and health experts from China and Latin America exchanging views on the pandemic and responses to it.

China's private sector is also reaching out. In late March, Jack Ma of the Alibaba Group announced that he would make donations to 24 regional countries. Firms like Tencent, Huawei, COFCO, China Communications Construction and the Bank of China are helping as well.

The cooperation is driven, of course, by larger interests. China seeks to promote its geopolitical primacy and political influence, consolidate economic and trade ties, gain access to natural resources, and boost its image abroad. As a new, soft-power tool, facemask diplomacy is means, therefore, for China to increase its presence in the region's socio-political sphere.

venezuela_china_facemask_diplomacy

People walk near signs depicting bats, a symbol of where the coronavirus is believed to come from, in the streets of Guacara, Venezuela. Photo: Juan Carlos Hernandez/ZUMA

Interestingly, the first Latin American country to receive Chinese medical staff, in late March, was Venezuela, which is also one of the region's most vulnerable when it comes to containing the pandemic. A poll taken by the country's National Assembly showed that 88% of hospitals lack basic medicines and 79% have shortages of surgical equipment. The poll also showed that all laboratories in the country have insufficient reagents needed for their work, 53% of operating rooms are not working, and 79% of hospitals do not have regular water supplies.

A sociologist and food security specialist at Venezuela's Central University, Édison Arciniega, estimates, furthemore, that 8 million Venezuelans are suffering from acute hunger, which affects the immune system. He worries, as a result, that the coronavirus may become five times as infectious there as in countries with stable sanitary conditions, and 10 times as lethal.

"These figures indicate a worsening of the humanitarian crisis that pushed 5 million Venezuelans to leave the country in recent years," he said.

As a new, soft-power tool, facemask diplomacy is means, therefore, for China to increase its presence in the region's socio-political sphere.

China's donations to Venezuela are being made, however, through the government of President Nicolás Maduro, the same administration that caused this crisis. This is the political group that has wasted the biggest oil bonanza of the country's history and mismanaged $65 billion of loans from China.

Just as the country's petrodollars were used to buy political allegiance in the region, the Maduro regime employs the aid it receives from China, or any other, as a political weapon rather than to benefit ordinary Venezuelans. A case in point was Maduro's announcement that Venezuela would send testing kits to Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, a relatively prosperous country, just two weeks before the UN Security Council was to discuss the state of Venezuela. Along with Russia, Saint Vincent was one of just two states that then emphatically defended the Maduro regime.

The Chinese government hasn't said so publicly, but it has long been aware of the state of Venezuela. In 2016, it sent a delegation to Caracas to convey its concerns over security and the money owed to China. Certain Chinese officials stated that there was consensus in Beijing that no more money should be invested in Venezuela and the regime be abandoned. An increasing number of Chinese analysts have also decried loans to Venezuela as a waste of public money, or just bad debt.

Most Latin American states recognize Juan Guaidó as Venezuela's provisional president and legitimate head of state. Thus the Chinese government's position and actions there will affect how the region perceives China in the short and medium terms, since the Venezuelan crisis has already spread beyond its frontiers.

If Venezuela were to become the pandemic's regional hotspot, it would seriously affect the ability of neighboring countries to contain the virus, with unforeseen consequences. And while Maduro clings to power and Venezuela's situation worsens, any country perceived in the hemisphere as Maduro's friend would be risking its relations with the region.

There are limits, in other words, to just how far facemask diplomacy will go.

*D'Sola Alvarado is head of the Andrés Bello Foundation in Bogotá, a private research group focused on China and Latin America.

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CLARIN
Miguel Henrique Otero*

Canada's Indecent Proposal To Fix The Mess In Venezuela

Mediation may well be what Venezuela needs to climb out of its deep political crisis, but it can't come from Cuba.

-OpEd-

CARACAS — Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Foreign Minister François-Philippe Champagne of Canada — leaders of a nation with significant economic interests in Cuba — have been advising Venezuelan opposition leader Juan Guaidó to seek help from Havana in finding a solution to the crisis in his country.

It's worth asking, though, just how probable is it that the ruthless Castro regime, which is directly involved in training torture officials in Venezuela, and may even be directly involved in torturing Venezuelan civilians and soldiers held for dissent, would want to help resolve a tragedy from which it benefits with impunity?

The perverse Cuban regime is responsible for planning and counseling rights violations in Venezuela (and Nicaragua) perpetrated during peaceful protests by citizens. Furthermore: It has been a stimulant for creating strategies that have ensured — alongside the actions of soldiers, policemen and paramilitaries — the brutal repression of unarmed civilian demonstrations.

Castro-perversion has encouraged the destruction of institutional government in Venezuela.

Nor could we forget the hundreds of people murdered in the course of such events, and thousands more shot, gassed, beaten, robbed, kidnapped, tortured and sexually abused, all by officials guided on the ground by agents of Castro-perversion.

This voracious, totalitarian regime is not only a partial culprit, but more crucially the undisputed winner in the Venezuelan debacle. A regime with its ability to lie and utterly distort reality, with its police and espionage structures, unconcealed hatred of any form of freedom, an ability to foment delusions and manipulate the deluded crowds, its theatrical ability to play the victim of imperialism for so long, and structural ties to drug-dealing guerrillas in Colombia.

Fidel and Raul Castro, back in 2001 — Photo: Wikimedia Commons

Castro-perversion has encouraged the destruction of institutional government and the separation of powers in Venezuela, the very prerequisites that allowed the country's previous leader, Hugo Chávez (1999-2013), to perpetuate himself in power.

The Cuban regime is the author of the massive embezzlement of Venezuelan public assets through oil shipped there at risible prices, supposedly in exchange for services like medical aid. What it has been sending Venezuela in fact are policemen, soldiers, commissars and yes, a few doctors and paramedics, many of whom are incompetent, with outdated medical knowhow and incapable of running a simple, neighborhood GP service.

Why would this perverse regime help a democratic transition in Venezuela?

A particularly vile aspect of the Trudeau-Champagne suggestion concerns the Cuban people itself. How could Castro-perversion contribute to Venezuela's liberation when it has systematically oppressed and impoverished its own citizens for 61 years? How could it, when it persecutes, jails and tortures Cubans, prevents free speech and information, stifles artists and writers for stating opinions, detains anyone for asking questions, spies on every corner of its island and has revamped its constitution to consolidate communist oppression for centuries to come?

What makes the Canadian leaders imagine that Havana will desist from its toxic strategy of destabilizing Latin America to replace governments with sympathetic regimes, all with Venezuelan money, and aid instead a process wherein President Nicolás Maduro would abandon power and pave the way for free, transparent elections?

Above all, why would this perverse regime help a democratic transition in Venezuela, when it lives off Venezuelan oil and the monies sent by front companies of the state oil firm PDVSA and other public entities, and benefits from the illicit extraction and sale of minerals from Venezuela? How and why would Cuba do this, when change will mean an end to the vast resources gifted to it over decades, first by Chávez and now by Maduro?

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Venezuela
Luis Carlos Vélez

Is Venezuela Behind Latin America's Surge In Civil Unrest?

South American states like Chile and Ecuador suspect Venezuela's socialist regime of fanning rioting in their countries.

-OpEd-

BOGOTÁ — "What's happening in Chile, Ecuador, Argentina and Honduras is just the first breeze," said the Speaker of Venezuela's Constituent Assembly, Diosdado Cabello. "A Bolivarian hurricane is coming."

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eyes on the U.S.
Luis Carlos Vélez

Venezuela Revisited: Time For A Trump-Maduro Summit?

After Trump fired hawkish U.S. official John Bolton, who had repeatedly threatened Venezuela's regime with military action, Maduro may have the opening he's been waiting for.

-Analysis-

Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro is as firmly entrenched in power as he ever was. Without doing anything, events of recent days ensure he can sleep soundly for a change. Why? For the departure of U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton, the official most eager to use force to topple his regime.

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Venezuela

The Brutal Truths Of Maduro's 'Last Stand' In Venezuela

Venezuela's authoritarian leader is tightening the screws on his armed forces, the former regime bulwark now suspected as a seedbed of sedition, in a national setting of economic desperation and political despair.

-Editorial-

BOGOTÁ — The bad news continues arriving from Venezuela. A recent article in The New York Times described how the socialist regime of President Nicolás Maduro is using brutal new practices to keep the 160,000-member armed forces under control. Paradoxically, the dismal economic management and vast bureaucratization that have brought the country to this point are now forcing Maduro to betray the soldiers on whose back the regime's founder, the late Hugo Chávez, built his vision of a new Venezuela. The ultimate lesson is that hunger is unyielding, and has made the need for a power transition in our neighbor even more urgent. Yet the government's talks with parliamentary opponents appear to have stagnated nor can one see an immediate way out of the tragedy.

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Venezuela
Farid Kahhat

Bitcoin, Petro, Libra ... Why Cryptocurrency Isn't Really Currency

Cryptocurrencies are not so much money as flexible 'assets' that may be used in payments, without (yet) the universal credibility of a hard currency.

-Analysis-

LIMA — How does one know that a political entity qualifies as a sovereign state? This was easy in the past: an entity was sovereign if it could impose on those living in its territory payment of taxes, military service and a legal currency. After obligatory military service has disappeared in many countries, the emergence of cryptocurrencies like bitcoin is now raising doubts about the state's monopoly, or at least the formal monopoly it enjoyed, in emitting money.

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food / travel
Ramón Campos Iriarte

Visiting A Surprisingly Quiet And Cheerful Side Of Caracas

A recent trip to Caracas showed a city where many people continue to function for better or worse, and where the rich are still living large.

CARACAS — Sure, a recent visit to the Venezuelan capital offered scenes of the country's division between supporters and opponents of President Nicolás Maduro. But perhaps the more stark differences on display are between a politicized minority and millions of Venezuelans pursuing their lives as best as they can.

With my colleague Alejandro, we arrived at Maiquetía Airport on a dawn flight from Panama. I was nervous entering the country, with my cameras and a Colombian passport at a time of tensions between the neighboring governments. After checking my bag and asking a couple of questions, a uniformed official let me through.

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Venezuela
María Teresa Ronderos

The Punishing Toll Of Venezuela's Pulverized Economy

Economists say it's worse than the Great Depression. Money is worthless in the ruined South American country, and too many are going hungry.

-Analysis-

CARACAS — In Caracas, people walk. There are few city buses or cars on the streets, their parts are limited. In total, 3.3 million Venezuelans have left, of the people remaining, few ride bicycles either, as they're afraid they'll be stolen. People get to work or as close as they can on the subway, which has few working trains left; some people may have to walk two or three hours to get to where they must.

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Venezuela
Ronal F. Rodríguez

Why Colombia Is Key To Venezuela's Democratic Future

There are now 1.2 million Venezuelan migrants in Colombia. How they are treated may help determine a post-Maduro future.

-Analysis-

BOGOTÁ — The Colombian government has centered its strategy to manage the Venezuelan crisis and its effects on Colombia around the goal of "ending the usurpation" of government there through a so-called "diplomatic siege." It may have been encouraged to do so by the most radical sectors of the Venezuelan opposition, which have made the Colombian government believe that President Nicolás Maduro's departure was imminent.

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Venezuela
Beatriz Miranda

A New, More Realistic Strategy Against Venezuela's Dogged Regime?

The Western-aligned Lima Group is now seeking help from the more neutral International Contact Group, and even Cuba, to resolve the political deadlock in Venezuela.

-OpEd-

BOGOTÁ — After several attempts to accelerate the overthrow of Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro, after the failed April 30 uprising, the unsuccessful take-over of the Carlota air base in Caracas, the liberation of chief dissident Leopoldo López and miscalculations by opposition leader Juan Guaidó and his allies, the Lima Group is changing its tactics.

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CLARIN
Omar Lugo

Venezuela: The Hard Part About Overthrowing Maduro

The opposition has so far failed to provoke a military uprising against President Nicolás Maduro, and for now, can only count on an angry but tired population.

-Analysis-

CARACAS — As Venezuela's opposition leader Juan Guaidó asked supporters on May Day to continue street protests against the government of President Nicolás Maduro, on Caracas's famed Altamira junction, a resilient group of protesters were throwing rocks and shouting at the soldiers firing tear gas at them from the Francisco de Mirando air base.

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CLARIN
Rubén M. Perina

Venezuela Deadlocked: Eight Scenarios Of What Happens Next

-Analysis-

Venezuela has arrived at a dead end. It is mired in misrule, socio-economic chaos, unchecked crime and a spiraling humanitarian catastrophe that is leading to steady exodus of its population. The immediate causes of these were shortages in food, water, electricity and medicine, as well as hyperinflation (3 million percent per year) in an economy that has shrunk by half since 2014. But the deeper-rooted cause is the tyranny exercised by the country's socialist regime, kept in power by the armed forces and Cuban intelligence, and methods that include arbitrary detentions, persecution and torture of opponents.

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Venezuela
Daniel Emilio Rojas Castro

Venezuela: How Russia And China Could Keep Maduro In Power

Venezuela's fate is becoming a strategic stake and source of conflict between Western democracies and increasingly aligned rivals, China and Russia.

-Analysis-

BOGOTÁ With the Lima Group of Latin American states ruling out military intervention against Venezuela's socialist regime, a negotiated transition has become the only way to restore democracy there. The question remains, however: Does ending the crisis depend on Venezuelans alone?

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