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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics In The News Israel-Palestine War Russia-Ukraine War special series Trump And The World War in Ukraine

Trump’s Return: Predictions And Paradoxes For 2025

With the unpredictable Donald Trump returning to the White House in January, what will global politics be like in 2025? In addition to major issues like the war in Ukraine, the conflicts in the Middle East and China, there’s another nagging question: What about Europe?

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This Happened

A Release From Exile To An Iconic Movie Release — On This Day In History December 19

The release from exile of a Nobel Peace Prize laureate, the election of an Asian country’s first female leader and the opening of one of the highest-grossing movies of all-time.

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This Happened

A Historical Battle To The Birth Of A Rolling Stone — On This Day In History December 18

The end of World War I’s longest battle, the premiere of a classical ballet and the birthday of a world famous rock n roll guitarist.

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Geopolitics

Why The West Is Talking To Syria’s New Leaders — For Now

The Americans already have direct contact, and the French are arriving tomorrow. While remaining “vigilant” about the Islamist nature of Syria’s new rulers, Western nations are reestablishing ties with Damascus to support a return to stability. Turkey, however, is already one step ahead.

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Geopolitics Ideas

“Traitor Of The Family” — How Assad Sold Out His Loved Ones With His Secret Escape

Since he fled in the cover of the night to Russia with his wife and three children, Bashar al-Assad’s entourage and extended family have expressed their anger and humiliation at his deception. He also betrayed his regional allies who went out of their way to protect his regime for years.

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This Happened

War To A Ponzi Scheme — On This Day In History December 11

A devastating massacre, an international agreement on climate change, and the fall of a massive financial fraud.

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Geopolitics

Trust Your Neighbors? Why Iran Regime Is So Jittery After Assad’s Fall

While the Islamic Republic of Iran mulls an official response to the fall of its Syrian ally Bashar al-Assad, Iranian politicians are already voicing their anger at the “backstabbing” conduct of two key powers, Turkey and Russia. Could Tehran be the next to get left to fend for itself?

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Geopolitics

Assad Is Gone — Beware Of What Comes Next In Syria

Following the successful toppling of the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad by rebels led by Islamist extremist group Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), there should be much trepidation of just how the nation will be ruled in the coming transition of power.

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Future Geopolitics Society

Far Right, Russia, TikTok: How Trump-Like Tactics Could Take Down Romania’s Ruling Class

Romania’s out-of-nowhere far right presidential candidate Călin Georgescu has become the latest case study showing just how much sway social media platforms can have over elections, going even farther than Donald Trump on Elon Musk’s X.

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Geopolitics

The Syrian Rebel Surge Is Just The Beginning Of A Much Longer War

The surprise attack by rebel groups on Syrian government forces in Aleppo has raised many questions since it coincided with the ceasefire deal in Lebanon between Hezbollah and Israel. With so many forces and interests around Syria, don’t expect the reignited conflict to end anytime soon.

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Geopolitics

Taiwan Backs Kyiv, Moscow Recruits Houthis: And If Trump Pulls Back From The World Now?

The main conflicts today are deeply interconnected. A recent example is Taiwan’s former president urging Washington to prioritize arms shipments to Ukraine over Taiwan, arguing that the credibility of American deterrence is at stake. Will Trump make the connections?

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Future Green Russia-Ukraine War

Missiles Or Science? Why Our Best Weapon Against Putin May Be Arctic Research

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and fears of westward escalation have already led many European countries to up their own defense strategies. But instead of the latest technologies, rockets, and fighter jets, the true key to fighting back may lie in studying the polar region, critical for world stability.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Undersea Cables Cut In The Baltic, A Perfect Target For Hybrid Warfare

Two undersea communication cables were severed in the Baltic Sea this weekend, prompting Germany’s defense minister to say that “no one believes” it was an accident. Many suspect a new escalation of hybrid warfare in a sea where Russia is the only country not part of NATO.

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Geopolitics Ideas Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

1,000 Days Of War: More Than Ever, Putin’s “Evil Empire” Must Be Vanquished

Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine 1,000 days ago. Since then, many Western nations, scholars and politicians have suggested negotiating for peace with Russia, rather than letting the war go on. But negotiations will not stop Putin’s imperial ambitions.

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Eyes on the U.S. In The News special series Trump And The World

Why Kim Jong-un Went All In On His Alliance With Putin — And Left Trump Behind

Pyongyang has just ratified its new defense pact with Moscow. North Korean soldiers are deployed near Kursk, in an unprecedented engagement that marks a reversal of Kim Jong-un’s foreign policy.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics Ideas

Trump’s Victory Is Our Nightmare Too — What Europe Must Do Now

Trump’s victory is not some unforeseen accident. Europe should have been preparing for this. It didn’t. The actions we take now are vital for the future of democracy and the free world, writes Giovanni di Lorenzo, Die Zeit‘s editor-in-chief.

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This Happened

Copter Crash To Birth Of A Stone — On This Day In History Nov. 6

The death of a Russian composer, a helicopter crash and the birth of a star.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

The U.S. Election Result That Putin Is Truly Hoping For: A Tie

With the U.S. elections on the brink, and polls extra tight in swing states, the Kremlin is lapping it up. Rather than outwardly pulling for a Trump victory, however, Wacław Radziwinowicz argues that Moscow is above all, hoping for the high level of chaos that would come with a hung election.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

What If Iran Has Cut A Secret, Pre-Election Deal With Trump — Like Reagan In 1980?

It may seem an outlandish idea given Iran’s anti-Western posturing, but could its regime have cut a secret deal over future ties with the Trump team, like its hostages deal with Ronald Reagan ahead of the 1980 U.S. elections?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Secret Russia-Ukraine Negotiations Are Happening — And Secrecy Is Key

When politicians call for more diplomacy instead of weapons delivery, the basis of their arguments is misleading. The Russians and Ukrainians have already reached diplomatic agreements in many areas, but there are limits to open negotiations — mainly around whether Putin himself really wants to negotiate.

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Geopolitics

Three Big Reasons The U.S. Should Care About The War In Sudan: Russia, Iran And China

With its access to the Red Sea, Sudan is more strategic than many wish to admit. A Russian cargo plane shot down in Darfur this week sheds light on the positioning going on among the world’s powers.

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Geopolitics

How Putin Uses BRICS To Wield Power — And Avoid Pariah Status

The BRICS Summit, which opens on Tuesday in Kazan, Russia, is an opportunity for Vladimir Putin to show that he is not isolated. But it is above all the power of attraction of this club of emerging countries that needs to be seen, in a world dominated by the West since 1945 and struggling to evolve.

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Future Russia-Ukraine War

Blocking Discord? Comrade Musk? The Paradox Of Russian Reliance On Western Technology

Russia’s Roskomnadzor agency blocked the Discord messaging application earlier this month, and thus disrupted one of the Russian military’s well-established communication systems. It’s a reminder of the Kremlin’s need for Western technology to wage its war against Ukraine.

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Economy Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Other Enemy That Could Force Russia To Accept Defeat: Low Oil Prices

Since the end of the 20th century, the idea has spread that there’s a fundamental link between energy prices and Moscow’s ability to carry out military aggression. After all, low energy prices were one of the factors behind the economic collapse of the USSR.

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Economy Russia-Ukraine War

Privilege v. Patriotism: How Russia’s Nepo Babies Dodge War Mobilization

The offspring of Russia’s elite were used to luxury loft apartments, expensive cars and carefree living. So how did Putin’s successive drafts of new troops impact them? As independent Russian news platform Vazhnyye Istorii found out, life essentially continues as normal.

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Russia-Ukraine War Society

Masha And The Bear, When A Popular Cartoon Hides Kremlin Propaganda

Packed full of Russian culture, the children’s cartoon Masha and the Bear is a very popular cultural export. But does that make the little girl and her furry friend pro-Putin propaganda? Reflections from a conflicted parent in Germany.

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Geopolitics Green

Greenwashing To Peacewashing, Azerbaijan Uses COP29 To Scrub Its Global Image

As the host of the next UN climate summit, Azerbaijan is positioning itself as a peacemaker, calling for the end of conflicts that “worsen climate change.” But this stands in stark contrast to the country’s commitment to increase gas and oil production and its record of military aggression against Armenia.

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Russia-Ukraine War Society

How The Ukraine War Is Hurting Russian Sex Workers

With increased aggression from clients, police repression and a sudden decrease in their livelihoods, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is impacting this already-vulnerable group of women.

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Russia-Ukraine War Society

Darya Trepova’s Husband Is Desperately Trying To Get Her Out Of Russian Prison

Earlier this year, Darya Trepova was sentenced to 27 years in prison for the attack that killed pro-war blogger Vladlen Tatarsky — the harshest sentence a woman has received in modern Russia. Holod‘s Marina Kiryunina spoke with her husband Dmitry Rylov, who is still trying to get Dasha, as he calls her, out of jail.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War Society

Publishing War: When A Pro-Ukraine Author Refuses A Russian Translation

Russians want to publish a translation of Polish author Szczepan Twardoch’s bestselling novel The King — a confusing development given that the writer has just been awarded for helping Ukraine.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Putin & Sons? The Latest Page In The Russian President’s Shadowy Biography

Even Russians are unlikely to have noticed that since Vladimir Putin came to power some 25 years ago, the biography the Kremlin presents of him has been repeatedly altered. A new investigation revealing details about his two sons is but an exception in a long history of authorities carefully hiding facts and evidence about Putin’s life and his relationship with his family and friends — and the Russian people.

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Economy Future Ideas Society

The Pavel Durov Case Is A Wakeup Call: Big Tech Can’t Manage Societal Risk

France has accused Telegram CEO Pavel Durov of complicity in managing an online platform to allow illicit transactions by an organized group. But should businesses be left responsible for making decisions about the costs of risks?

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Economy Future Russia-Ukraine War

BitRuble Dodge? How Russia’s New Crypto Policy Can Help It Avoid Western Sanctions

Once crypto-cautious Russia has started experimenting with the digital financial market, prompting new regulations, formal exchange markets, and, as President Vladimir Putin hopes, new means of skirting Western sanctions.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Russia’s Negotiation Strategy? Break The Morale Of Ukrainian Civilians

More than 200 Russian missiles and drones rained down on Ukraine in one of the heaviest bombardments since the start of the Russian invasion. A response to the Ukrainian incursion into Russia, and a desire to break Ukrainian morale before possible negotiations.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Moscow Shouldn’t Bother Rooting For A Trump Victory

Ahead of the U.S. presidential election, Ivan Timofeev of the Russian International Affairs Council, considers which candidate would be better for Russia. While it’s often thought that Moscow should hope for Donald Trump to win, his first term as president shows his “transactional” nature and otherwise minor impact on foreign policy.

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Economy Geopolitics

Why Tehran May Actually Welcome Neighboring Armenia’s EU Pivot

Armenia, under pressure from its aggressive neighbor Azerbaijan, is seeking security in closer ties with the European Union. Just next door, Iran may welcome this Western alignment if it means winning a shorter land route for exports to the Black Sea and EU markets.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

On Kursk’s Front Lines, With The Russian Doctors Volunteering In “Hell”

Fighting in the Kursk Oblast — following Ukraine’s incursion into the region — is not abating, and volunteers from across Russia are coming to help: bringing goods and food, evacuating residents and providing medical assistance. Kommersant correspondent Alexander Chernykh visited a makeshift clinic and observed how volunteer doctors are saving wounded soldiers near the front line.

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Geopolitics In The News Russia-Ukraine War

Ukraine’s Surprise Attack On Russian Soil Is Bad Long-Term Strategy

The Ukrainian attack on the strategically important Kursk region has taken Russia’s military and residents by surprise. But experts doubt whether the operation makes sense for Ukraine’s depleted military forces.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

“Destroy The Regime, Save The Nation”: A Call To Rebuild The Russian Opposition

Following the death of Alexei Navalny, the Russian opposition is in a serious crisis, and must look at the fundamental mistakes it’s made the past two years, including calls for destroying the nation and desecrating the flag. It’s not clear what impact the prisoner swap could have, but activist Timofey Martynenko says it’s time to have a pro-Russia, anti-dictator opposition.

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Geopolitics Ideas

U.S.-Russia Prisoner Swap: Why The “Journalist Premium” Carries A Geopolitical Price

In the release of 26 people from seven countries, freedom for those unjustly imprisoned is great news. But this case, which included the freeing of the Wall Street Journal’s Evan Gershkovich and Radio Free Europe journalist Alsu Kurmasheva, could also set up an international precedent: journalists can be used as geopolitical bargaining chips.

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