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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran’s Other Problem: Hezbollah Rank And File Are Turning Against It

Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei vowed on Friday that the country’s regional allies would “not back down” against Israel. Yet neither criticism of Tehran has been growing among Hezbollah supporters since the assassination of Hassan Nasrallah.

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Geopolitics

By Firing Missiles At Israel, Iran May Have Just Doomed Its Own Nuclear Program

Iran decided on Tuesday to respond to the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Israel’s offensive in Lebanon, at the risk of Israel’s merciless retaliation. At stake is Iran’s nuclear program, which Israel has long wanted to destroy.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Hardliners Pushed Iran Into Attacking Israel — And What Happens Next

A core group of Iranian legislators demanded that Tehran to stop tiptoeing around Israel, and to seek revenge for the deaths of Hamas’ Ismail Haniyeh and Hezbollah’s Hassan Nasrallah. The “war trap” be damned. But now the ball is in the hands of Israel’s own hardline government.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Yes, Nasrallah Hit Makes The U.S. And Iran Look Weak — But This Won’t End Well For Israel

As Israel celebrates the death of Hezbollah’s leader, Washington and Tehran both suddenly seem powerless, looking like spectators of an unraveling tragedy that is beyond their control. Yet, given its demographics and geography, Israel desperately needs allies.

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Geopolitics

Axis Of Appeasement? Why Iran Is So Bent On Avoiding Israel-Hezbollah Escalation

As the conflict rages on across the Israeli-Lebanese border, Iran, which is Hezbollah’s principal sponsor, appears to be doing all it can to avert a war spreading around the Middle East. It could wind up on Tehran’s doorstep.

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Geopolitics

Iran Is Scrambling For Cover After Israel’s Unprecedented Attacks In Lebanon

As Israel pounds Hezbollah in Lebanon, after its well-orchestrated attack on the group’s remote devices, the militia’s patrons in Tehran were increasingly concerned they could become the next targets of Israel’s ruthless campaign.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israel Keeps Committing War Crimes — And Isn’t Getting Any Safer

With its unprecedented attacks on pagers and walkie-talkies in Lebanon that again killed innocent victims, Israel now faces the risk of losing the war not just on moral and legal grounds, but also from a strategic perspective.

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Economy Geopolitics

Why Tehran May Actually Welcome Neighboring Armenia’s EU Pivot

Armenia, under pressure from its aggressive neighbor Azerbaijan, is seeking security in closer ties with the European Union. Just next door, Iran may welcome this Western alignment if it means winning a shorter land route for exports to the Black Sea and EU markets.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

No Tit-For-Tat? Iran’s Lack Of Retaliation For Haniyeh Killing Has World On Edge

It’s been weeks since Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh’s killing in Tehran. Will Iran end up striking Israel, as it promptly said it would, or persist in an unnerving waiting game, leaving the rest of the word in the dark as to its plans, resolve and capabilities?

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Society

After Hijabs, Iran’s Morality Police Have A New Target: Men In Shorts

Iranian authorities have been fining young men for wearing shorts. But while this may be an effort to show they are unbiased in their drive to safeguard public decency, reports suggest the men are treated less harshly than women.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran, Israel, Hamas: Act II Of A Middle East Tragedy

Almost 10 months after the Oct. 7 attack, the Middle East appears to be on the verge of a second act of tragedy. This new escalation of the conflict could result in regional war on a massive scale.

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This Happened

This Happened — August 2: Iraq Invasion Of Kuwait

Updated August 2, 2024 at 12:00 p.m. Iraq invaded Kuwait on this day in 1990. This surprise invasion marked the beginning of a major international conflict and set the stage for the Gulf War. What were the reasons behind Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait? One key factor was Iraq’s desire to control Kuwait’s vast oil reserves, as Iraq was struggling with significant debt from the Iran-Iraq War. Additionally, territorial disputes, economic grievances, and claims of Kuwaiti overproduction of oil were cited by Iraq as reasons for the invasion. What were the major events of the Gulf War? Significant events included the […]

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #93 — Target: Tehran​

August 5 – August 11, 2024

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israeli Assassinations: Did Netanyahu Get Green Light During Washington Visit Last Week?

A series of strikes occurred just days after Netanyahu returned from the United States, which will have difficulty denying a role in the targeting of three capitals in the region in 24 hours, and may spark a much wider war in the Middle East.


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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Haniyeh Assassination: Why Tehran Is Blaming A “Projectile From Abroad”

Tehran claims the visiting Hamas leader was struck down in the capital with a “high-tech” missile or drone, so his killing could not be attributed to another security lapse on the ground against the chief suspect, Israel.

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Israel-Palestine War

Hamas Leader Killed In Cold Blood — In Iran: All The Elements For Middle East Escalation

Hamas reported that its leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in the early hours of Wednesday morning in Iran, most likely by Israel, drawing fears of wider escalation in this region already shaken by the war in Gaza and on the Israeli-Lebanese border.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Leftist-Islamist Alliance Is More Dangerous Than You Know

A confounding alliance between leftists, wokism and Islamic fanatics is the perfect smokescreen for an insidious enemy targeting the West’s liberal values. It’s happened before.

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Geopolitics

Iranian Election: Don’t Be Fooled By The Moderate Frontrunner

Tehran seems to be paving the way for a moderate to become the country’s next president. But the regime’s goal is not to make life better for Iranians, but to leave him with the daunting task of handling a second Trump administration.

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climate change Geopolitics Green Syria Crisis

Syrian Farmers Caught Between Grinding Conflict And Climate Change

The production of wheat, a staple food in Syria, fell dramatically this year due to the effects of climate change. The poor harvest has left wheat farmers, already suffering from decades of conflict, struggling to rebuild their lives.

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Geopolitics

How Syria Is Trying To Free Itself From The Grip Of Iran

Under pressure from Arab states and Russia, which calls the shots in Syria, President Bashar al-Assad is tiptoeing away from the Iranian regime, a troublesome ally that has nevertheless spent billions of dollars to help keep him in power.

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This Happened

This Happened — June 13: Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Wins Second Term At Helm Of Iran

Updated June 13, 2024 at 12:30 p.m. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was declared the winner of the Iranian presidential election on this day in 2009. What were the circumstances surrounding the 2009 Iranian presidential election? The 2009 Iranian presidential election was marked by controversy and widespread protests. Many Iranians believed that the election results were fraudulent and […]

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Geopolitics

Iran’s Presidential Candidates: One Straw Man And A Regime Without Legitimacy

Awkward political figures will run for the Iranian presidency in the elections planned later this month. The one reformer allowed to run will not be able to grant legitimacy to the regime.

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Geopolitics

Why Iran’s Regime Can’t Quash Raisi Assassination Suspicions

In spite of the Iranian regime’s inclination to conclude the matter of the president’s recent fatal helicopter crash, murmurs around a possible murder plot or a foreign strike are not going away.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #84 — Iran, Where To Now?

May 27 – June 2, 2024

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Geopolitics In The News

What Will Khamenei Do? A Helicopter Crash Suddenly Opens New Options For Iran’s Future

The death of Iran’s hardline president might create some political terrain for moderates there and stabilize relations with a complacent West and especially the Biden administration, eager to put a lid on the Middle East before November’s presidential elections.

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Geopolitics In The News

Iranians Start To Doubt Official Line That Raisi Crash Was An Accident

In spite of the political or diplomatic headaches this could cause, there are preliminary grounds for not ruling out foul play as causing the Iranian president’s helicopter to crash days ago, reports the leading independent Persian-language news site.

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Geopolitics

Iran In Crisis: What Raisi’s Sudden Death Means For The Middle East

The death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash comes in an already tense context, five weeks after Iran’s confrontation with Israel. The consequences are heavy, both in terms of regional and domestic conflicts.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A Future For Hamas? That Old Arab Vice Of Declaring “Victory” In The Rubble

The higher cost of the war will not deter Hamas leaders from claiming victory once any truce is reached. It will only push the discussion of a real solution for the region farther away from all.

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Geopolitics

Georgia, Moldova, North Macedonia: How Russia Tries To Seep Into Europe At The Edges

Europe’s fate is also being played out in countries outside the EU, where East and West are battling for influence. In Georgia on Tuesday, the government bowed to pressure from Moscow, and passed a law on “foreign influence” modeled on a Russia law.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The Israel-Hamas War Has Turned Into A Trap For Iran’s Regional Ambitions

While the Palestinian cause is important for Iran and the Arab militias it backs, the return of this issue to the forefront may not benefit the resistance camp. And its tactic of strategic patience may not produce the intended results.

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Israel-Palestine War

“Proxy War” Armies Of The Middle East? Just A New Way To Say Gangsters And Cartels

The Middle East’s militant and terror gangs, often described as Iran’s proxy forces, may have more in common with the cartels of a globalized war than with the fighters with a cause, more typical in the 20th century.

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Geopolitics

Iranian Airstrikes Can’t Touch Israel, But Are Killing Syrians All The Time

While the whole world was shocked by Iranian drones attacking Israel, which caused no casualties, nobody pays much attaention to the attacks being carried out by the same Iranian drones in northwestern Syria, where they regularly kill civilians.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran-Israel: Why It’s Not Over Yet

Israel’s recent strike on central Iran was a warning shot for Tehran, tempered by a desire to close the recent spate of tit-for-tat attacks and by pressure from the U.S. Yet this may have only ended round one of the Iran-Israeli showdown.

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Geopolitics

How Iran’s New Local Headscarf Crackdowns Blend With Looming Wars Abroad

Iranian authorities are enforcing Islamic dress norms with renewed vigor and the backing of a new law, and insist a “hostile West” is goading Iranian women into living indecent lives.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A Middle East Paradox: All Those Iranians Looking To Israel As Last, Best Hope

The Islamic Republic of Iran wants to destroy Israel and seems willing to obliterate Iran in the process. How do you deal with a regime that sees international chaos as serving divine wishes? Many in Iran see the direct challenge from Israel as the path to their nation’s liberation.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #80 — All Eyes On Iran

April 22 – April 28, 2024

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War Russia-Ukraine War

The West’s Defense Of Israel Reminds Ukraine Of A Bitter Truth

Seeing the near-perfect effectiveness of Israel’s defense against Iranian drones and missiles, Ukrainians are bitterly wondering why the West is denying them life-saving assistance. Fear of confrontation with a nuclear Russia remains the main reason.

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Israel-Palestine War

Did Israel Set A Trap For Iran — Or For Itself?

The world watches as Netanyahu walks that fine line between deterrence and escalation.

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Geopolitics

Bashar Al-Assad’s Security Shake-Up Is A Slap In The Face To His Late Father

Recent changes in Syria’s security apparatus are yet another step in President Bashar al-Assad’s years-long effort to escape the shadow of his father and predecessor, Hafez al-Assad, more than two decades after his death.

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Geopolitics

Reza Pahlavi: Why The Shah’s Son Is The Most Direct Path To Iranian Democracy

Iran’s exiled and surprisingly popular crown prince Reza Pahlavi is the son of the last shah, and is uniquely positioned to help unite opponents against the country’s brutal regime. But he can only do that by reaffirming his royal status, rather than responding on calls to renounce his title.

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