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Geopolitics In The News Syria Crisis

Syria’s Outburst Of Violence May Be The Start Of A New Iran-Israel Proxy War

With Israel and Iran’s shadow war spilling into Syria, the new government in Damascus has warned that “foreign actors” aim to plunge the country into a cycle of instability and chaos.

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Geopolitics In The News Israel The Endless War Trump And The World

How Iran Reactivated The “Axis Of Resistance” With A Secret Baghdad Summit

The Islamic Republic of Iran recently sent Ismail Qaani, the Revolutionary guards general who keeps ‘resurrecting’ after being reported as killed or maimed, to Baghdad to discuss rearming its proxy militias. This appears to be Tehran’s first act of regional interference since Israeli strikes in June.

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Geopolitics

How Tehran’s Defeats Abroad Are Starting To Boomerang Back To The Home Front

Iranian officials have been unnerved by the Assad regime’s collapse, with one top general admitting the country was “defeated very badly” in Syria. A shaky ceasefire in Gaza follows 15 month of war in which Tehran’s proxy Hamas was decimated. Will unrest in the region spill over to Iran, where problems — both foreign and domestic — are piling up for the regime?

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Geopolitics

Would The Army Also Ditch The Regime In Iran? An Assad Scenario Is Spooking Tehran

Iranian officials are still wondering how its dear ally Bashar al-Assad fell so fast, and why his military was lost before the rebellion even started.

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Geopolitics

Axis Of Appeasement? Why Iran Is So Bent On Avoiding Israel-Hezbollah Escalation

As the conflict rages on across the Israeli-Lebanese border, Iran, which is Hezbollah’s principal sponsor, appears to be doing all it can to avert a war spreading around the Middle East. It could wind up on Tehran’s doorstep.

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Geopolitics

Iran Is Scrambling For Cover After Israel’s Unprecedented Attacks In Lebanon

As Israel pounds Hezbollah in Lebanon, after its well-orchestrated attack on the group’s remote devices, the militia’s patrons in Tehran were increasingly concerned they could become the next targets of Israel’s ruthless campaign.

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Future Geopolitics

Israel’s Pagers Attack Is A “9/11 Moment” For Digital Security

Even if the exploding Hezbollah pagers was not the first supply chain attack, having thousands of remote, hand-held devices raised terrifying questions that hadn’t been widely considered before, marking a potential turning point in the public’s trust in their electronic devices, and in governments’ ability to protect them.

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Geopolitics

Iran Is Weak Right Now — The West Should Exploit That Weakness

With an economy in ruins and facing an unstable foreign environment, the Islamic Republic of Iran has signaled, with the return of seasoned diplomats to top positions, that it wants to talk again. But, as always, those who call the shots in Tehran are loath to negotiate anything crucial with the West.

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Geopolitics

Could Iran’s New Reformist President Really Be A Path To Middle East Détente?

While the West is hoping president-elect Masoud Pezeshkian will lead to a détente even lukewarm entente with Iran, a closer look shows Tehran is not fundamentally changing its ways, and continuing to fan crises in across the Middle East.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Leftist-Islamist Alliance Is More Dangerous Than You Know

A confounding alliance between leftists, wokism and Islamic fanatics is the perfect smokescreen for an insidious enemy targeting the West’s liberal values. It’s happened before.

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Geopolitics

Iran Elections: Lessons In How To Disguise A Voter Boycott

Iran’s regime has selected six candidates for the presidential elections due in late June, and possibly even a winner, just as millions of Iranians may have made their own choice, to no longer vote in a dictatorship.

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Geopolitics In The News

Iranians Start To Doubt Official Line That Raisi Crash Was An Accident

In spite of the political or diplomatic headaches this could cause, there are preliminary grounds for not ruling out foul play as causing the Iranian president’s helicopter to crash days ago, reports the leading independent Persian-language news site.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran-Israel: Why It’s Not Over Yet

Israel’s recent strike on central Iran was a warning shot for Tehran, tempered by a desire to close the recent spate of tit-for-tat attacks and by pressure from the U.S. Yet this may have only ended round one of the Iran-Israeli showdown.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A Middle East Paradox: All Those Iranians Looking To Israel As Last, Best Hope

The Islamic Republic of Iran wants to destroy Israel and seems willing to obliterate Iran in the process. How do you deal with a regime that sees international chaos as serving divine wishes? Many in Iran see the direct challenge from Israel as the path to their nation’s liberation.

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Geopolitics

Iran’s Retaliation Against Israel Is An Internal Struggle With Its Own Rhetoric

For decades Iran’s leaders have promoted the vision of martyrdom as a precept of the regime, but appear to have carefully weighed how much damage to try to inflict on Israel after its attack against its top military leaders in Syria on April 1. What does this say about the state and stability of the regime?

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #77 — Who’s Next?

April 1 – April 7, 2024

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Geopolitics

Shia Cleric Or Revolutionary Guards? How Khamenei Succession Will Play Out Inside Iran

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now 84, has been in power since 1989. What will happen when he dies? His death may lead to a hybrid military-Islamic regime, with members of the Revolutionary Guards imposing a more pragmatic yet equally corrupt regime. It is time for the opposition to find a unified leader they can rally behind and that can help mobilize Iranians in the transition.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Forty-Five Years On, Why The West Continues To Tolerate Iran’s Criminal Regime

Western diplomacy shows the West will tolerate the Iranian regime’s repression at home and violent intrigues in the Middle East and beyond, but it might clarify to the public why liberal democracies should want to keep the mullahs in power in Tehran.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israel Is Hunting Down Hamas Leaders, One By One — Are Iranians On The Hit List Too?

Iranian media has long blamed Israelis for targeting military and political officials inside Iran. Will Israel’s Mossad teams of intelligence operatives resume these eternally murky strikes as retribution for the Oct 7 attack by the Tehran-backed Hamas?

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In The News

How Europe Can Help Iranian Protesters, Right Now — Blacklist The Revolutionary Guards

The European Union has been hesitant to classify Iran’s national security force as a terrorist organization because of fears of a reprisal.

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Geopolitics Ideas Society Women Worldwide

How Iran’s Women-Led Protests Have Exposed The ‘Islamist Racket’ Everywhere

By defending their fundamental rights, Iranian women are effectively fighting for the rights of all in the Middle East. Their victory could spell an end to Islamic fundamentalism that spouts lies about “family values” and religion.

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Geopolitics

Troll Next Door: How Iran Is Provoking Political Violence Inside Iraq

Iran’s brazen meddling in Iraqi politics has provoked a parliamentary impasse and clashes between rival militias. And while Tehran may be losing influence in Iraq, it won’t let go easily.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Iran Nuclear Deal, Another Victim In Putin’s Strategy Of Chaos

Nuclear talks between Iran and the West are stalled, as Russia signs deal with Tehran for drones. But does the increasingly isolated Iranian regime risk becoming another Russian vassal like Syria or Belarus?

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In The News

Will Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Make A “Sacrifice” To Help Seal Nuclear Deal?

A dispute between Iran’s foreign minister and a leading regime hardliner over whether to insist on removing the paramilitary from the “terrorist” list indicates divisions in the Islamic Republic over what kind of nuclear deal it wants with the West.

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In The News

Iran Nuclear Talks: Bluster And Wishful Thinking In Tehran

Resumption of nuclear talks between Islamic Iran and the Powers will not be easy, as the West also thinks it’s time to discuss Iran’s missiles and regional policies.

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blog

Iran: Warnings Of U.S. “Cultural Assault” (KFC On The Menu)

Look no further than fried chicken for signs that American influence is returning to Iran in the wake of the deal to end sanctions in exchange for limits on the Iranian nuclear program. That was the message from influential Republican Guards General Mohammad Hossein Sepehr, who cited the opening of a Kentucky Fried Chicken in […]

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blog

Russia Stepping Into Syria Is Sign Of Iran Failure To Protect Assad

Russia’s decision to send troops into Syria in defense of its ally, President Bashar al-Assad, is now at the center of a major diplomatic standoff between Moscow and the West. But the move by Russian President Vladimir Putin to send military support to combat ISIS insurgents is also a sign of concerns at the military […]

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blog

Top Iran General: We Can Strike Israel Anywhere

TEHRAN – A senior general in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards issued a blunt warning Tuesday to Israel, saying Iranian forces and weaponry “can destroy all points controlled by” Israel, with “any volume of firepower.” General Hassan Salami made the declaration during a conference on the role of the Islamic religion on global power relations, the official […]

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