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In The News

Modi Is About To Turn 75 — Will He Use The Milestone To Retire?

Opponents, and now some allies, are saying the right thing to do is for Modi to respect tradition and retire for his 75th birthday in September. It’s what he’s forced others to do, after all.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The Sudden Ukraine War Escalation Is The Real Start To Trump’s Presidency

Russia is expanding its nuclear doctrine and intensifying strikes on Ukraine, including Thursday’s unprecedented launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile. This is an apparent response to new U.S. authorization of use of its weapons in attacks on Russian territory. All can be traced to the radical White House transition underway.

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Geopolitics

Why North Korea’s Latest Threats Are More Dangerous Than Ever

Tensions have suddenly escalated after North Korea accused South Korea of sending drones over its capital. Threats from Pyongyang are common, but amid an uncertain international context, experts are taking these latest ones more seriously.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

The 12-Month Fiasco Of Middle East Diplomacy Has Just Gotten Worse

When Emmanuel Macron called for an embargo on arms supplies to Israel, he was aiming at the United States, following the failure of the attempted ceasefire in Lebanon. Paris even speaks of ‘duplicity’ by Washington and Israel. It’s just the latest example of the failure of diplomacy in the face of the “logic of war.”

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Israel’s Attacks Against Hezbollah Come Amid Signs It Will Launch Full-Scale War In Lebanon

Unprecedented attacks via pagers and walkie-talkies carried by Hezbollah members comes amid a growing consensus in Israel in favor of launching a war across the border into Lebanon. Meanwhile, the U.S. may have given its assent and the Lebanese government appears unable to intervene, with Hezbollah holding all the cards on this side of the border.

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Geopolitics

Will Evo Morales Use Bolivia’s Failed Coup As A Path Back To Power?

Bolivian President Luis Arce easily survived Wednesday’s bungled coup, which may suggest the populist Left is more resilient than it used to be. But it may also be the foreshadowing of the reigniting of an internal war with fellow Socialist and former President Evo Morales as unrest spreads around the country.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Rings, Orcs And Hope: Searching For Signs Of Tolkien In The Ukraine War

Literary scholar and fiction writer Mykhailo Nazarenko discusses the would-be cast of characters of fantasy writer JRR Tolkien in Ukraine’s war against the Russian invaders.

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Geopolitics

What Indonesia’s Election Means For Democracy — And The U.S.-China Duel

Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto is expected to win Indonesia’s presidential election, on Feb. 14. Yet concerns about democracy are on the rise, as the nation carefully balances ties with Beijing and Washington.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

A New Ceasefire Deal In Gaza Will Be Hard — Making It Last Is Basically Impossible

As the Israel-Hamas war continues unabated, the U.S., Egypt and Qatar are pushing to quickly reach an agreement. Will internal divisions be overcome? But even if a deal is struck, the war is far from over.

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Israel-Palestine War

How The Biden-Netanyahu Standoff Could Sway The Political Destiny Of Each Man

The rising tensions between U.S. President Joe Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are about different visions of the geopolitics of the Middle East — but the stakes are also personal for each leader.

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Geopolitics

U.S.-Iran: Here’s How The Escalation Could Spiral Out Of Control

As the situation escalates in the Middle East, the prospect of an all-out war may hinge on whether Iran will cross the Rubicon.

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Geopolitics

Nauru, Maldives: When Tiny Islands Weigh On The Biggest Geopolitical Battle

There is major maneuvering among the small but strategic islands in the South Pacific, with China offering security cooperation, and the United States reopening embassies and reviving dormant cooperation.

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Geopolitics

The Stakes In Taiwan’s Election Couldn’t Be Higher

It’s the first big election of 2024, and it may well prove one of the most contested — and significant ones. As these vote on Saturday, Taiwanese citizens will be picking the fate of their identity and democracy.

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Society

Poland, A Case Study In Modern Political Tribalism

Poles are divided into hostile tribes. Radicalization is on the rise, and institutions do little to support those trying to tame it.

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In The News

Strait Talk: China Invading Taiwan Is Mostly Just A Matter Of Time

Though Beijing is not likely to launch any overt operation right away, experts predict it’s most likely to try to force Taiwan’s reunification between 2025 and 2030. This would almost certainly prompt a U.S. response.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Is Iran Behind The Outbreak Of Israeli-Palestinian Violence?

Israel had struck Iranian interests in recent months without significant reprisals. Meanwhile, Iran is growing impatient that nuclear talks in Vienna are stalling, and may have turned to the Palestinian groups it arms to provoke the violence.

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Geopolitics

North Korea Sentences US Citizen To 15 Years Hard Labor

KCNA (North Korea), CNN (USA), BBC NEWS (UK) REUTERS Worldcrunch PYONGYANG – U.S. citizen Pae Jun-ho, detained in North Korea since last November, has been sentenced to 15 years of hard labor, North Korean state news reported on Thursday. Pae Jung-ho, known in the U.S. as Kenneth Bae, was tried on April 30, for allegedly […]

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