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Geopolitics In The News

Israel’s Attack On Iran, And The Trap Of Perpetual War

Israel bombed Iranian nuclear and military facilities last night, killing the head of the Revolutionary Guards and several Iranian scientists. It may appear as a strategic victory, but it also appears to be a choice to live with war across the region for years to come.

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Geopolitics

Will Trump’s “Madman” Diplomacy Work In The Arab World?

Trump could succeed in portraying himself as “unpredictable and unrestrained” without seeming unhinged. But if he comes off as hopelessly irrational, he is unlikely to get what he seeks.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Who Won? The Gaza Truce Sparks A False Debate Across The Arab World

The joys of victory, the tears of defeat, all the while ignoring the Zionist deterrent known as “peace.”

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

Why Trump Is So Popular In China — And With The Chinese Diaspora

Donald Trump’s reelection has sent shockwaves through much of the world. Yet, surprisingly, many overseas Chinese — and even citizens within China — have openly celebrated his comeback. How does such admiration align with his openly anti-China rhetoric?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis: What Happens Now To The “Axis Of Resistance”?

Israel has killed thousands of Hamas fighters. But the Gaza-based terrorist organization has not yet been completely destroyed, nor have its allied militias in the region.

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Geopolitics

Qatar, The New Standard Of Soft Power Will Be Key To Middle East Peace

Qatar was crucial to the ceasefire negotiations in the Middle East. It proves that you don’t need a large army or nuclear weapons to play an important role in the world.

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Geopolitics

The Time Is Ripe For Egypt To Reclaim Its Historic Role As Middle East Leader

The Middle East needs a vision that emanates from the region itself, and includes clear reassurances to all parties.
Here, the opportunity appears for Egypt, which can play a vital role in helping neighboring countries shape this vision, after the Middle East that we knew since the Cold War has gone forever.

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Geopolitics Ideas

“Traitor Of The Family” — How Assad Sold Out His Loved Ones With His Secret Escape

Since he fled in the cover of the night to Russia with his wife and three children, Bashar al-Assad’s entourage and extended family have expressed their anger and humiliation at his deception. He also betrayed his regional allies who went out of their way to protect his regime for years.

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Geopolitics

Trust Your Neighbors? Why Iran Regime Is So Jittery After Assad’s Fall

While the Islamic Republic of Iran mulls an official response to the fall of its Syrian ally Bashar al-Assad, Iranian politicians are already voicing their anger at the “backstabbing” conduct of two key powers, Turkey and Russia. Could Tehran be the next to get left to fend for itself?

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Geopolitics

Syria’s Civil War Reignites — And Panic Spreads All Across The Middle East

The Syrian rebels’ surprise offensive allowed them to capture Aleppo, Syria’s second-largest city, in just three days. Already in crisis since Oct. 7, 2023, the Middle East is now facing a whole new level of turmoil.

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Geopolitics

Iran? Syria? Trump? The Next Twists On Netanyahu’s War Path After Lebanon Ceasefire

The Israeli Prime Minister has been clear: The ceasefire in Lebanon will allow him to focus on Iran and on Syria, through which Hezbollah’s weapons are transported. But the underlying factors are Iran’s nuclear program and Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

What If Iran Has Cut A Secret, Pre-Election Deal With Trump — Like Reagan In 1980?

It may seem an outlandish idea given Iran’s anti-Western posturing, but could its regime have cut a secret deal over future ties with the Trump team, like its hostages deal with Ronald Reagan ahead of the 1980 U.S. elections?

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Geopolitics Ideas

Memories To Dust: A Southern Lebanon “Buffer Zone” Made By Destroying Our Homes

We, the children of “front edge” villages, have seen thousands of homes disappear into rubble. Our loss is not limited to memories and dreams, but also to the stories of our villages.

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Geopolitics

Why Arab Regimes Are So Weak In Defending Palestinians

The Arab front in favor of the Palestinian people is more feeble and ambiguous than ever, even as the people of Gaza are being killed by the thousands. Multiple factors explain this weakness, from fears of a repeat of the 2011 uprisings inside their own countries to longstanding competition with Iran.

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Israel-Palestine War

Salafi Islamists And Gulf Leaders Agree: Iran Is More Dangerous Than Israel

The Salafis, along with Gulf States like Saudi Arabia, consider the Shias as a greater threat to Islam than Zionism.

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Geopolitics

Iran Is Scrambling For Cover After Israel’s Unprecedented Attacks In Lebanon

As Israel pounds Hezbollah in Lebanon, after its well-orchestrated attack on the group’s remote devices, the militia’s patrons in Tehran were increasingly concerned they could become the next targets of Israel’s ruthless campaign.

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Geopolitics

Iran: Why Zarif’s Surprise Return Is Such Bad News For Hardliners

Mohammad Javad Zarif is among the most recognizable faces of contemporary Iranian political life. His return to government in a strategic position does not guarantee his project’s survival. Indeed, radical Islamic forces will likely make him a prime target for destruction.

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Israel-Palestine War

Hamas Leader Killed In Cold Blood — In Iran: All The Elements For Middle East Escalation

Hamas reported that its leader Ismail Haniyeh was assassinated in the early hours of Wednesday morning in Iran, most likely by Israel, drawing fears of wider escalation in this region already shaken by the war in Gaza and on the Israeli-Lebanese border.

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Geopolitics

Iran’s Lesson For The U.S.: Israel Is The True Problem Child Of The Middle East

Have the ruling institutions in the United States learned the lesson and realized that the main means of confronting Iran’s influence — if they really wanted to — is to put pressure on Israel.

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Geopolitics

Iranian Airstrikes Can’t Touch Israel, But Are Killing Syrians All The Time

While the whole world was shocked by Iranian drones attacking Israel, which caused no casualties, nobody pays much attaention to the attacks being carried out by the same Iranian drones in northwestern Syria, where they regularly kill civilians.

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Geopolitics

U.S.-Iran: Here’s How The Escalation Could Spiral Out Of Control

As the situation escalates in the Middle East, the prospect of an all-out war may hinge on whether Iran will cross the Rubicon.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Americans Don’t Understand Biden — And Biden Doesn’t Trust Netanyahu

Challenged back home, U.S. President Joe Biden has just published an op-ed in the Washington Post in which he outlines a future for the Palestinian territories that’s different from the one envisaged by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, and threatens violent settlers in the West Bank with sanctions. But where are the teeth?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Jordan Could Provide A Way Out Of The Gaza Conflict

As the war in Gaza grows bloodier by the day, the search for potential mediators in the region is crucial. Jordan is uniquely situated with a special relationship with the Palestinians, decades of peace with Israel, and the nation’s king with a historic standing in the Muslim world.

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Geopolitics

Will War Spill Over Into Lebanon? It’s Up To Hezbollah — And That Means Iran

The widely believed inability of Lebanon to control Hezbollah has sparked fears among Lebanese that the Iranian-backed group will join Hamas’ war against Israel and dragged their troubled nation back to a dark chapter in history.

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Geopolitics Society The Endless War

Israeli Settler Birthrate Tops Palestinians — A Political Problem

As births by Israeli settlers tops Palestinians in the West Bank, the “demographic advantage” could vanish, and undermine hopes for a peace settlement.

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