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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Ceasefire In Gaza Appears Imminent — It’s The “Trump Effect” At Play

A ceasefire could happen any moment now in Gaza, with Donald Trump’s surrogates playing a key role in softening Benjamin Netanyahu. The president-elect wants to reenter the White House having already ended a conflict, even if nothing is actually resolved for the long term.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Has A New Middle East Order Already Sealed Tehran’s Fate?

Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin and Israel are reshaping the Middle East in a possible, bigger deal involving a peace deal in Ukraine. With the regional militias and Syria out of the strategic equation, is the next step removing the Tehran regime?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Did The Palestinian Authority Raid A West Bank Refugee Camp? Ask Donald Trump

The Palestinian Authority insists that its operation in the Jenin refugee camp was intended to maintain security and thwart any Israeli plans for the West Bank. Yet other Palestinian factions have criticized the move, which comes amid Israel’s ongoing war on Gaza and ahead of Donald Trump’s return to the White House.

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Economy Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics special series Trump And The World

Chinese Ambitions In Latin America Have Caught Washington Sleeping

China has become Latin America’s leading partner, under the nose of the United States, which is busy elsewhere. Xi Jinping inaugurated a Chinese-built megaport in Peru, underscoring Beijing’s growing influence in the region — and the looming showdown with the future Trump administration.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

What If Iran Has Cut A Secret, Pre-Election Deal With Trump — Like Reagan In 1980?

It may seem an outlandish idea given Iran’s anti-Western posturing, but could its regime have cut a secret deal over future ties with the Trump team, like its hostages deal with Ronald Reagan ahead of the 1980 U.S. elections?

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky Wants More Weapons — But Is Ready For A Softer Definition Of “Victory”

The Ukrainian president has begun a tour of Europe to present his “victory plan,” designed to reverse the balance of power with Russia before negotiating. It’s almost like asking for war and peace at the same time.

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Geopolitics

Russia-Latin America: Is El Salvador’s “Cool” Strongman Cozying Up To Putin?

Through quiet diplomacy, Russia may be courting the rising star of Latin American populism, El Salvador’s President Nayib Bukele. In time, he must decide between international respectability and a bear hug from Vladimir Putin.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Iran-Israel: Why It’s Not Over Yet

Israel’s recent strike on central Iran was a warning shot for Tehran, tempered by a desire to close the recent spate of tit-for-tat attacks and by pressure from the U.S. Yet this may have only ended round one of the Iran-Israeli showdown.

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Israel-Palestine War

End Of Impunity? The Meaning Of U.S. Sanctions Of An Israeli Army Unit

The Israeli Army Unit operating in the West Bank has been sanctioned by the Biden administration, accusing it of human rights violations. It’s the first time this has happened and it embodies a highly symbolic gesture that puts a stop to the excuse of “holy mission” that turn into crimes.

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Geopolitics

Shia Cleric Or Revolutionary Guards? How Khamenei Succession Will Play Out Inside Iran

Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, now 84, has been in power since 1989. What will happen when he dies? His death may lead to a hybrid military-Islamic regime, with members of the Revolutionary Guards imposing a more pragmatic yet equally corrupt regime. It is time for the opposition to find a unified leader they can rally behind and that can help mobilize Iranians in the transition.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

U.S. And UN: The Abstention That Could Change The Course Of The War In Gaza

By abstaining from a UN resolution demanding an immediate ceasefire in Gaza, Washington has not only angered Benjamin Netanyahu — it has potentially altered the dynamics of the whole Israel-Hamas war.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Forty-Five Years On, Why The West Continues To Tolerate Iran’s Criminal Regime

Western diplomacy shows the West will tolerate the Iranian regime’s repression at home and violent intrigues in the Middle East and beyond, but it might clarify to the public why liberal democracies should want to keep the mullahs in power in Tehran.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why The U.S. May Be Pushing The Controversial “Korea Scenario” For Ukraine

Ukraine was promised fast-tracked NATO membership last week. But promises often are overtaken by politics, and voices in and around the U.S. government are looking for softer ways out of the Ukraine war, including freezing the conflict like what was done between the two Koreas 70 years ago.

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Eyes on the U.S. Migrant Lives Society

No More Than Migrants? On Biden’s Cynical View Of Central America

Fixated on migration as a big issue of the 2024 presidential elections, the Biden administration is ignoring the state’s piecemeal assault on democracy in Guatemala, a country already struggling with endemic violence, in return for curbs on U.S.-bound migration.

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In The News

How A Drone Strike Inside Iran Exposes The Regime’s Vulnerability — On All Fronts

It is still not clear what was the exact target of an attack by three armed drones Saturday night on an arms factory in central Iran. But it comes as Tehran authorities appear increasingly vulnerable to both its foreign and domestic enemies, with more attacks increasingly likely.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Why The West Is Finally Taking A Harder Line On Iran

After years of ignoring or downplaying domestic protests in Iran, Western states and media have begun to imagine — and even prepare for — the still slim but growing possibility of a regime change in Tehran.

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