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In The News

Black Sea Drones — How Ukraine Targets The “Shadow Fleet” Carrying Russian Oil

Ukrainian sea drones have been attacking Russian tankers in the open sea for the first time in recent weeks. The risky tactic is proving effective and has angered Putin. But even allies are issuing warnings.

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In The News

How Europe Can Lead The World Beyond Our Ugly Age Of Anything-Is-Possible

From Ukraine to global power shifts, the certainties that once shaped our world have collapsed, forcing Europe to rethink what is still achievable in a rapidly changing reality.

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In The News

Could Ukraine Survive If Zelensky Is Pushed Out?

Ukraine’s president faces mounting pressure abroad and growing distrust at home, as corruption claims and battlefield fatigue collide with the country’s fight for survival.

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In The News Russia-Ukraine War

Why Peace In Ukraine May Depend On One Last Zelensky-Trump Meeting

Ukraine’s president must confront demands to concede occupied territories while navigating red lines set in Kyiv and mounting pressure from both Washington and the Kremlin.

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In The News

Putin’s Stalled War: Economics, Manpower, Missed Chances

Russia is now faces slipping growth, high inflation, recruiting shortfalls, a static front, and a squandered opening with Trump, while Europe stiffens support for Ukraine and new U.S. sanctions hit its energy giants.

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In The News

Occupied Ukraine: How A Seaside City Has Turned Into An Open Air Prison

From language bans to property seizures, residents of the Ukrainian port city of Berdyansk live under constant surveillance, intimidation, and the threat of losing everything.

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Geopolitics In The News

Just In Case Someone Still Thinks Putin Is Ready To Negotiate

Even after diplomatic overtures and red-carpet treatment abroad, Moscow answers with one of its deadliest strikes since the invasion, showing the Kremlin has no intention of negotiating an end to the war.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Is Russia An Existential Threat? German Leaders Can’t Have It Both Ways

Chancellor Merz and Foreign Minister Wadephul warn of direct threats from Moscow on the lives of people in Germany, and yet hesitate to back their words with the kind of support Ukraine urgently needs to avoid that Putin goes further.

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In The News

Zelensky To Putin: If You Want War, You’ll Get It — And On Our Terms

With a long-range drone strike deep inside Russia, Ukraine sends a clear message ahead of Istanbul peace talks: we are ready to keep fighting if Moscow insists on total victory.

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In The News

Putin In A Corner: How Zelensky Came Back After The White House Debacle

By challenging Putin to face-to-face talks in Istanbul, Ukraine’s president has reshaped the diplomatic game and forced Moscow into a high-stakes dilemma.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Kyiv Reality Check: What Ukraine’s Friends Say Out Loud — And Whisper To Each Other

Europe’s foreign ministers traveled together to Kyiv yesterday to reaffirm their support for Ukraine. It is necessary after the first signs of “fatigue” in Western support, from a Polish about-face to the victory of a pro-Russian prime minister in Slovakia.

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In The News

How The Dam Destruction Will Impact Ukraine’s Counteroffensive — And What That Tells Us

When both sides of a conflict blame each other for something as important as the destruction of the Nova Kakhovka dam, there’s only one way to understand what’s going on: find out who benefits from the crime.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

Ukraine Is Getting Inside Russia’s Borders — And Inside Russian Heads

A series of brazen attacks into Russian territory, from the border region all the way to the placing a target on Putin’s life, may have limited military ends. But it is a perfect example of psychological warfare against an increasingly vulnerable nation.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Can South Africa Be An Honest Broker For Peace In Ukraine?

After Beijing’s dubious push to lead negotiations on settling the war in Ukraine, now it’s South Africa’s turn. But its “ambiguous” neutrality on the war — and reports of secret weapons sales to Russia — raise serious skepticism in Kyiv and the West.

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In The News

Russia’s “Smaller” Operations And Shrinking Ambitions

U.S. Department of Defense officials report that instead of the typical battalion tactical groups in Ukraine, which number several hundred soldiers, the Russians have now shifted to attacks by smaller units.

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Geopolitics Ideas

“Worse Than Death” – A Message For Putin From A Reluctant Ukrainian Patriot

With Russian troops amassed at the border with Ukraine, the writer, who came of age in Kiev in the post-Soviet era, says her fellow Ukrainians of every generation are united in never again falling under the reign of Moscow.

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

Identifying The Dead In Ukraine’s Simmering War

DNIPROPETROVSK – Last week, in this central Ukrainian city, a public farewell was bid to 21 soldiers, even if their names were never determined. The coffins, draped with Ukrainian flags, were brought to the the square between the Opera and Ballet Theaters on Karl Marx Avenue in Dnipropetrovsk, the country’s fourth-largest city. “The soldiers who […]

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Geopolitics

The Reality In Eastern Ukraine? Decoding Russian Propaganda

MOSCOW — The war in eastern Ukraine is being fought on several fronts — with deathly weapons and munitions on the one hand, and with competing interpretations of reality on the other. As the conflict drags on, it’s increasingly becoming a propaganda war. From the beginning, the Russian media has taken an active part in […]

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Ukraine Winter

In Kiev, It May Be The Moment To Dismantle Maidan

KIEV — Representatives of the new Ukrainian government are convinced: It is time for Maidan Square to be free of tents. The only question is how to get rid of the protestors from the site that became the center of the pro-democracy movement. The police think Maidan should be cleared with force, as if it […]

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Society Ukraine Winter

High Stakes As Ukrainian Orthodox Must Choose New Leader

Ukrainian Orthodox Church Metropolitan Volodymyr died on Saturday. The showdown between Kiev and Moscow makes picking his successor more than a religious event.

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Geopolitics

Germany’s Blindness On Russia, A Polish Viewpoint

WARSAW — While protests swept Maidan Square in Kiev, both Polish and German media reported the same storyline: Ukraine was overthrowing a bloody dictator and changing its course toward the West. German politicians, much like their Polish counterparts, made fiery speeches and pushed the European Union to address a “serious offer” to Ukrainians. The pro-Ukrainian […]

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

For Maidan, Ukraine’s Election Is Not The End

Maidan protesters remain in Independence Square, keeping guard despite the election of a new president. When will they leave? The vegetable gardens and henhouses suggest no time soon.

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

Inside Ukraine’s Make-Or-Break Elections

Old battles are renewed in the May 25 vote to be Ukraine’s next president. But the first order of business is to make sure the ballot takes place.

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

Ethnic Or Economic: Subtle Differences In Eastern Ukraine

MOSCOW — The same picture that we saw at the end of 2013 in Kiev has now simply moved to Donetsk, Kharkiv, Luhansk and Mykolaiv. Buildings stormed, barricaded streets, people in masks and flags flying. The differences, at first glance, appear insignificant. Before, there was just one center of the protests — Kiev — whereas […]

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

In Ukraine, Corruption Is Everywhere You Look – Still

The Maidan protests were driven by public disgust with corruption, more than picking sides between the EU and Russia. But ousting Viktor Yanukovych has not ended the dirty business woven into the fabric of Ukrainian life.

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Geopolitics

Actions By Ukrainian Right-Wing Politicians Turn Ugly

KIEV — In a widely viewed video, the head of Ukraine’s National Television channel can be seen being beaten by right-wing members of the Ukrainian Parliament for allowing the ceremony celebrating Crimea’s entrance into the Russian Federation to be broadcast live on television. Television executive Aleksander Panteleimonov was grabbed by his necktie, strangled, hit on […]

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Geopolitics

Verbatim: Yanukovych, Erdogan, Neil Young

Quotables and notables to quote and note from the past 10 days.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

Ukraine, Don’t Blame American Weakness

The crisis in Crimea says more about Russian ambitions and European foot-dragging than it does about indecisiveness in Washington.

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Ideas Ukraine Winter

Ukraine: Buried By History, Lost In Translation

The competing sides, both globally and regionally, will never see Ukraine’s reality the same way, so deep are the historical and cultural divides. Analysis from Kiev.

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Geopolitics Ideas Ukraine Winter

On Ukraine, There Is Just One Way To Handle Putin

Europe and the U.S. must respond to Russian President Vladimir Putin with neither war nor capitulation. There is a third option: total isolation.

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

Kiev In Reverse: On The Ground In Crimea, Ukraine’s Newest Battlefield

In the capital of Ukraine’s Crimea region, where ethnic Russians and otherwise pro-Russian citizens hold sway, dissenters are holding a countermovement to the pro-EU Maiden protests.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Truth About Venezuela’s Popular Opposition

The media criticism heaped on Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has prevented an objective assessment of the protesters, who may not be quite as democratic as they’re portrayed.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Ukraine: Why 2014 Isn’t Another 1989 For Eastern Europe

-Analysis- PARIS — Is this 1989 all over again? One generation after the collapse of the Soviet Union, the protests in Ukraine instinctively bring to mind the revolutions that swept away the dying communist regimes in Central and Eastern Europe. The images of crowds, initially peaceful and festive in Kiev’s Independence Square, are similar to […]

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Geopolitics

Despite Denials, Moscow Works Behind The Scenes In Ukraine

MOSCOW — While the barricades in Kiev were still smoking, while the dead were being identified and the wounded were being treated, EU foreign ministers publicly declared for the first time that they held Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych responsible for the bloodshed. In Moscow, however, President Vladimir Putin’s spokesman Dmitry Peskov stuck to Russia’s traditional […]

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blog Geopolitics

Kiev’s Bloodiest Day, After Truce Crumbles

KIEV — After a brief respite in clashes, the Ukraine capital exploded again Thursday, with scenes of urban warfare and photographs of corpses lining Kiev’s central square. Death tolls Thursday range from several dozen to more than 100 victims, according to various sources. Hundreds of injured were also reported as videos and testimonies of snipers […]

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Geopolitics

Snapshot Of The World – Kiev Burns, Thames Floods, Mass Wedding

Stories making news, photographs turning heads…

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Geopolitics Ideas Ukraine Winter

Why Ukraine? Just Take A Look At Their Neighbors

To understand the Maidan protesters in Kiev, just go to Prague, Warsaw and beyond. While other post-Soviet bloc economies have emerged, Ukrainians know too well that their leaders have failed them.

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

Tortured In Kiev: A Maidan Activist’s Brutal Account

And Igor Luzenko is the lucky one. The other activist with whom he was abducted, beaten and interrogated didn’t make it home alive.

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

In Kiev, With The People Of The Maidan Movement

KIEV — “Dude, are you drunk? Get out of here!” says Evgeni Dudchenko, a pro-EU protester who works security for the so-called Euromaidan movement, named for the square where the dissidents gather. He checks out everyone who wants to enter the demonstration area. “If someone is drunk, he’s out of here. Alcohol is forbidden here, […]

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Geopolitics Ukraine Winter

The Risk Of Ultranationalism In Ukraine

As overnight clashes in Kiev leave at least two dead, the Russian daily reports that the violence is being fed by nationalist groups that advocate open revolution.

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