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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Zelensky’s Bet On Kursk: “Asymmetric” Warfare To Convince Trump

Kursk is becoming synonymous with a nightmare for Vladimir Putin, a dynamic that the Kremlin prefers not to talk about, a flaw in the apparently invulnerable Russian shield.

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Russia-Ukraine War

What If Putin Really Was Ready To Negotiate With Ukraine?

Over the past two weeks, Vladimir Putin has stated four times that Russia is ready for peace talks with Ukraine, but that those negotiations would be based on “current realities at the front,” by which he means maintaining occupied territories under his control.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Playing For A Ukraine-Russia Draw? Risk Of A Grave Miscalculation By The West

Ukraine’s Western allies seem to be sticking to a strategy of giving the country just enough weapons to defend itself, but not enough to win.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #61 — Winter Is Coming

October 2 – October 8, 2023

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Russia-Ukraine War

“Like Guerrilla War” — A Soldier’s Dispatch From The Ukrainian Southern Front

Oleksandr Solonko, a military trooper and aerial scout, played an active role in combat operations in Bakhmut and later on the Zaporizhzhia front near Robotyne, where Ukraine is securing its breach of Russian defenses.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Why Russia Is Doomed In Southern Ukraine: Logistics (And History)

The history of war shows that the losing side tend to lose ground as they are cut off from supply lines to replenish troops with weapons, food and material. Independent Russian publication Important Stories reports why this appears to be the dynamic at play right now for Russian troops in southern regions of Ukraine.

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In The News

Ukraine’s Counteroffensive: A Breakthrough Across The “Surovikin Line”

The area around Robotyne, in southeastern Ukraine, has been the centre of a fierce two-month battle. Ukrainian publication Livy Bereg breaks down how Ukrainian forces were able to exploit gaps in Russian defenses and push the counteroffensive forward.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #52 — Target: Crimea

October 2 – October 8, 2023

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Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

For A Hard “No” To Appeasement In Ukraine

The war in Ukraine continues, and the death toll shows no signs of slowing down. This is prompting some to call for a rush to the negotiating table. This would mean strengthening Russia and, worst of all, abandoning Ukraine and our values.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Why F-16s Could Be Decisive For Ukraine

Denmark and the Netherlands have jointly declared their intention to dispatch F-16 fighter jets to bolster the Ukrainian Air Force. Once Ukrainian pilots are trained, it may help tip the balance in Kyiv’s favor.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #43 — A Kherson Replay?

July 24 – July 30, 2023

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Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

How Russian Mind-Control Tactics Prey On Ukrainians In Occupied Territories

Russia has occupied of parts of Ukraine for almost a decade, busy promoting a pro-Russian narrative in those territories. Moscow’s aim is to ensure loyalty and deliberately create tensions among Ukrainians in free territories. It is a formula that has been

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Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

Now, It’s A Russian Counteroffensive Underway In Ukraine

Russia has deployed more than 100,000 troops in the northeastern regions of Ukraine that were liberated by Kyiv late last year, which appears to come in response to the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

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In The News

On The Donetsk Front, Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Follows The Kherson Playbook

For many observers, Ukraine’s counteroffensive seems to be progressing too slowly, with losses leading some critics to call it a “suicide mission.” Yet the view from the frontline makes clear that Kyiv is pursuing a strategy that has already proven successful.

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Ideas Russia-Ukraine War

Why Negotiating With Russia Would Be A Disaster For Ukraine — And The World

A month into Ukraine’s counteroffensive, claims that it has failed are wildly premature. Even more troubling are the steady whispers that Kyiv must sit down with Russia to negotiate. But it’s clearer than ever that only complete Ukrainian victory can bring lasting peace.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

What Happens If Ukraine Loses? That’s The Real “Cost Question” For The West

While the Ukrainian counteroffensive is mainly happening on the Southern and Eastern fronts, the struggle for Ukraine’s future is also being waged on the “Western front,” where more aid is desperately needed. Here, Kyiv needs to convince even the most resistant allies that a Ukrainian defeat would leave the European Union and the U.S. much weaker on the global stage.

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Russia-Ukraine War

Why Bakhmut Still Matters — From Ukraine’s Frontline, An Iconic Battle Is Back In Play

Yevhen Mezhevikin, a battle-hardened veteran with nine years of experience in the Ukraine war, sheds light on why the area around the war’s longest battle still matters in the ongoing counteroffensive.

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Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

Is Ukraine’s Counteroffensive On Hold?

Ukraine’s counteroffensive has been marked by grueling combat. Independent Russian news site Agenstvo spoke to military experts who explain why progress is slow and how worrying the situation is for Ukraine.

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In The News

Russia Passes New Law To Allow Military To Recruit Prisoners For The War

The Defense Ministry had pushed for a bill to adopt the same dubious method of recruiting volunteers from prisons begun by the Wagner Group private mercenary outfit. Parliament approved it on Tuesday, the latest sign of the Kremlin’s desperate search to recruit soldiers to stave off the Ukrainian counteroffensive.

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In The News

The Word From Ukraine’s Frontline: Counteroffensive Expectations Are Too High

In the West, many expect Kyiv’s counteroffensive to be a swift and brilliant success. But Ukrainian soldiers on the ground know better.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #38 — Forward: Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Has Begun

June 19 – June 25, 2023

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In The News

One Week Into Ukraine’s Counteroffensive — Here’s The Day-By-Day Timeline

Ukraine’s counter-offensive to liberate Russian-occupied regions has finally begun. Ukrainian news outlet Livy Bereg explains how it’s playing out over the first seven days, as the first villages are liberated.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

A How-To Guide To Make Sense Of Ukraine’s Counteroffensive

Don’t believe each new twist, minute-by-minute, as information is a weapon that both sides handle carefully. But there are ways to begin to see how this possibly decisive battle will turn out.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Putin’s Hidden Message In Dam Explosion: If Cornered, I Will Stop At Nothing

The Nova Kakhovka dam explosion was undoubtedly carried out by Putin, putting both Ukrainian and Russian lives at risk. The explosion makes clear that there are no limits to how far Putin will go. That has been his message since Day One of the war.

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In The News

How The Dam Destruction Will Impact Ukraine’s Counteroffensive — And What That Tells Us

When both sides of a conflict blame each other for something as important as the destruction of the Nova Kakhovka dam, there’s only one way to understand what’s going on: find out who benefits from the crime.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

The Most Likely Result Of Ukraine’s Counteroffensive? Negotiations

As we wait for Ukraine’s looming counteroffensive, analysts are already looking ahead and asking what will happen after this decisive summer. After brutal battles, a general weariness risks setting in, that could push Ukraine to accept a ceasefire.

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Russia-Ukraine War War in Ukraine

Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Will Be No Blitzkrieg — And It Has Already Begun

The West has been eagerly awaiting Ukraine’s counteroffensive, but is mistakenly convinced it will be a major tank assault. Kyiv has already launched the first actions, as it also tries to lower its allies’ expectations of rapid victory.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

In Crimea, Anti-Russian Actions Multiply As Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Looms

Tamila Tasheva, the Permanent Representative of the President of Ukraine in the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, issues an appeal on the eve of Kyiv’s counter-offensive to seize this moment in history — but do so carefully.

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In The News

Ukraine’s Spring Counteroffensive Has Been Delayed Again — Here’s Why

Analysts have been talking about a Ukrainian counteroffensive since the end of last year. But when, where and how it will happen is still a closely guarded secret, thrown into further turmoil by the embarrassing leaks from inside the U.S. Defense Department. Ultimately, however, there are other factors that matter more.

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In The News Russia-Ukraine War

Putin’s Martial Law Dismissed As “Propaganda Show,” “Desperate Tactic”

Russia’s martial law for the occupied territories of Ukraine is a “pseudo-legalization of looting of Ukrainians’ property,” said another official in Kyiv.

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In The News

Kyiv’s Advances In The South Could Cut Off 25,000 Russia Troops

The southern advance in the Kherson region is closing in along the west bank of the Dnipro River to cut off Russian supply lines.

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In The News

Kyiv Forces Claim Control Of River Oski As Counter-Offensive Continues

Ukrainian forces have reportedly gained control of the east bank of the River Oski, preparing for an assault on Russia’s forces occupying the eastern Donbas region. Russia’s army has been almost completely pushed out of the northern Kharkiv region and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said the next offensive targeting Luhansk was in the works. Stay […]

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In The News

Missiles And Euphoria: The Folly Of War On Full Display In Kharkiv

As Ukraine’s counter-offensive gathers steam, the city of Kharkiv is targeted by Putin’s forces. Here’s a view from up close, during heavy shelling that has sparked power and water outrages, even as the liberation of territory sets off scenes of joy and elation.

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In The News

Notes From The Front: How The Russian Army Is Rotting From Within

The deteriorating conditions among Russia’s front line troops, chronicled by a handful of foot soldiers who have spoken out, may explain why Ukraine’s recent counter-assault has been so successful.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Ukraine’s Offensive Raises A Big Question: Is It Time To Attack Inside Russia?

The successful Ukrainian counteroffensive in the northeast has brought Kyiv’s troops to the border, now with the artillery capacity to strike inside Russian territory. What are risks of launching a “counter-invasion”? What are risks of not doing so?

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In The News

Blinken Lands For Surprise Visit In Ukraine With $2 Billion Aid Package

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken made an unannounced trip to Ukraine on Thursday, his second visit to the country since the start of the war on February 24, annoucing that the U.S. intends to provide an additional $2 billion aid package to Ukraine and 18 other countries in and around the region. This new […]

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In The News

Retaking Kherson, Ukraine’s Southern Counteroffensive Has Begun

Six months into the war, Ukrainian forces have launched a counteroffensive in southern Ukraine to retake Russian-controlled territory. According to an on-the-ground military source, contacted by CNN, “the operation began at night with massive shelling of Russian positions and the rear.” Ukraine has liberated four villages so far: Nova Dmytrivka, Arkhanhel’s’ke, Tomyna Balka and Pravdyne, […]

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Geopolitics

Hunting Orcs, Western Arms — Ukraine’s Counteroffensive Is On

The Ukrainian army is preparing its counteroffensive, already beginning to hit Russians hard with U.S. Himars missiles. But experts warn about keeping the expectations too high, because Russia has key advantages. A German reporter sees how Ukrainians are preparing and how far they are willing to go to regain their lost territory.

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In The News

The Quiet-But-Hostile Opening Of Donetsk People’s Republic Embassy In Moscow

The self-proclaimed republic is not recognized by the international community, and Russia’s decision to open its embassy sends an aggressive message to Ukraine and the world.

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In The News

Zelensky Orders Major Counteroffensive To Retake South

Deploying up to one million troops to try to regain territory would be a significant political and morale boost. But there are also key economic reasons to preserve access to the Black Sea.

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