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Geopolitics

From France To Iran, The People (Mostly) Have Their Say

Supporters of Iran's presidential challenger Ebrahim Reisi
Supporters of Iran's presidential challenger Ebrahim Reisi
Roy Greenburgh

PARIS — In the final days of the recent French presidential campaign, one confrontation looked like it might turn the tables in favor of underdog Marine Le Pen. Angry workers facing the closing of a Whirlpool plant in the northern city of Amiens cursed and whistled at visiting frontrunner Emmanuel Macron, accusing him of being the candidate of global finance at the expense of the ordinary folk of France. The 39-year-old Macron, however, managed to hold his own and defend his ideas in the hostile confines, on his way to what turned out to be a resounding victory on May 7 against his far-right opponent. Vive la France. Vive la démocratie.

It turns out, on the very same day as the French election, democracy of a different stripe was heating up far away in Iran — with a scene that looked surprisingly similar to Macron's moment of truth at the shuttering factory. Incumbent President Hassan Rouhani had decided to visit the Zemestanyurt coal mine following an accidental explosion that had left dozens dead, sparking criticism about inadequate safety regulations. A video showing Rouhani's dark-windowed car surrounded by angry miners was soon circulated by his conservative opponents in an attempt to portray the reformist incumbent as detached from the people's problems.

Elections are relatively free, even if clerics have a say on who can run

As Le Monde reports from Tehran, Rouhani fought back with "unprecedented ferocity" ahead of Friday's election against conservative challenger Ebrahim Raisi. "Don't talk about tolerance in the face of criticism," the 68-year-old president said this week, "when none of you dared to criticize the institution for which you work."

Lively Iranian campaigning, in itself, may surprise those who think of the Islamic Republic of Iran as much more of a theocracy than a democracy. But in fact, presidential elections are relatively free — even if clerics have a say on who can run — and surprises from voters have occurred several times over the past two decades, including with Rouhani's win four years ago.

Defining Iran an "undemocratic democracy," The New York Times traced the origins of this somewhat schizophrenic system to the 1979 Revolution, when Islamists teamed up with liberal reformers to take down the Shah and muscle out the nation's Communist faction.

Presidential elections — like the one Friday in Iran and those last week in France and last year in the U.S. — are increasingly global affairs that we follow in real-time across our hyper-connected world. But the decision rests in the hands of the people and politics of each single nation. Unless, of course, the Kremlin intervenes …

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Economy

Lex Tusk? How Poland’s Controversial "Russian Influence" Law Will Subvert Democracy

The new “lex Tusk” includes language about companies and their management. But is this likely to be a fair investigation into breaking sanctions on Russia, or a political witch-hunt in the business sphere?

Photo of President of the Republic of Poland Andrzej Duda

Polish President Andrzej Duda

Piotr Miaczynski, Leszek Kostrzewski

-Analysis-

WARSAW — Poland’s new Commission for investigating Russian influence, which President Andrzej Duda signed into law on Monday, will be able to summon representatives of any company for inquiry. It has sparked a major controversy in Polish politics, as political opponents of the government warn that the Commission has been given near absolute power to investigate and punish any citizen, business or organization.

And opposition politicians are expected to be high on the list of would-be suspects, starting with Donald Tusk, who is challenging the ruling PiS government to return to the presidency next fall. For that reason, it has been sardonically dubbed: Lex Tusk.

University of Warsaw law professor Michal Romanowski notes that the interests of any firm can be considered favorable to Russia. “These are instruments which the likes of Putin and Orban would not be ashamed of," Romanowski said.

The law on the Commission for examining Russian influences has "atomic" prerogatives sewn into it. Nine members of the Commission with the rank of secretary of state will be able to summon virtually anyone, with the powers of severe punishment.

Under the new law, these Commissioners will become arbiters of nearly absolute power, and will be able to use the resources of nearly any organ of the state, including the secret services, in order to demand access to every available document. They will be able to prosecute people for acts which were not prohibited at the time they were committed.

Their prerogatives are broader than that of the President or the Prime Minister, wider than those of any court. And there is virtually no oversight over their actions.

Nobody can feel safe. This includes companies, their management, lawyers, journalists, and trade unionists.

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