Paradox in Ankara

Erdogan can rightly be accused of his opportunistic seesaw policy between rogue states and the free world. The same goes for his help for Russia in circumventing European Union sanctions, his application for membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, which also includes Russia, China and Iran, and the purchase of a Russian mobile air defense system.

Ankara also shares key intelligence with Washington on Russia and Iran.

And yet there's also a recurring paradox with Ankara, which has supplied Ukraine with weapons earlier than any other NATO country, restricted access for Russian ships to the Black Sea because of the Ukraine war, brokered grain deals between Kyiv and Moscow, and prevented the internationally-recognized government in Libya from giving up under rebel pressure.

Ankara also shares key intelligence with Washington on Russia and Iran. Last but not least, Turkey hosts a NATO headquarters, two air bases, and a key alliance early warning radar system.

In Turkey, it should be noted, there is currently a contest between the opposition and the government to see who will attack Israel most fiercely. Thus, there is also a clear domestic politics calculation that drives Erdogan's fierce criticism of Israel.

And none of that, no matter what happens in Gaza, is likely to prevent him from negotiating with Israel on the construction of a gas pipeline. That will happen in the near future, more quietly no doubt.