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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Why So Many Palestinians Wouldn’t Flee Gaza Even If They Could

Even as the borders close and the siege tightens, most of the Palestinians also deeply fear leaving, convinced that (like their forebears) they’ll never return.

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Economy Geopolitics

Iran May Get $1.7 Billion More In Un-Frozen Funds, With Risk It Gets Funneled To Hamas

Iran says European courts have ordered repayments of $1.7 billion more of its money frozen in Western banks, which risks being transferred to help fund Hamas’ war with Israel. Other observers suspect the news is meant to stop financial panic in Tehran.

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Geopolitics

Why Hamas Launched A War It Knows It’s Bound To Lose

Hamas has launched an unprecedented attack against Israel, killing at least 700, mostly civilians, and taking scores of hostages. Even if the Islamist group has always made clear it sought Israel’s destruction, the questions loom as to why now, and how it managed to pierce the enemy’s defenses.

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Geopolitics

How The Chaos In Washington Emboldens Moscow And Beijing

The deep dysfunction of American democracy is bringing smiles (and big ideas) to autocratic regimes around the world, convinced that it is a sign of the West in decline.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Who Will Save America? An Early Foreign Take On Trump 2024

Despite facing a growing number of charges, Donald Trump continues to rise in the 2024 presidential election polls. His most likely opponent, current President Joe Biden, is raising fears of a worst-case scenario due to his deteriorating health and old age, despite his solid economic record. A French political analyst weighs in from abroad, and from experience….

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Geopolitics Ideas

Kyiv Reality Check: What Ukraine’s Friends Say Out Loud — And Whisper To Each Other

Europe’s foreign ministers traveled together to Kyiv yesterday to reaffirm their support for Ukraine. It is necessary after the first signs of “fatigue” in Western support, from a Polish about-face to the victory of a pro-Russian prime minister in Slovakia.

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In The News

An End To Venezuela Sanctions? The Lula Factor In Biden’s Democratization Gamble

The Biden administration’s exploration to lift sanctions on Venezuela, hoping to gently push its regime back on the path of democracy, might have taken its cue from Brazilian President Lula’s calls to stop demonizing Venezuela.

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Russia-Ukraine War

“Every Day Counts” — How The U.S. Shutdown Melodrama Looks In Ukraine

Congress and President Biden averted a shutdown, but thanks to a temporary deal that doesn’t include new aid for Ukraine’s war effort. An analysis from Kyiv about what it means, in both the short and long-term.

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Eyes on the U.S. Society

Murdoch Resignation Adds To Biden’s Good Luck With The Media — A Repeat Of FDR?

Robert Murdoch’s resignation from Fox News Corp. so soon before the next U.S. presidential elections begs the question of how directly media coverage has impacted Joe Biden as a figure, and what this new shift in power will mean for the current President.

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In The News

A U.S.-Iran $6 Billion Prisoner Exchange: Ransom Or Realpolitik?

With $6 billion freed up to go in the coffers of the corrupt and repressive regime in Tehran, nobody is happy. But sometimes there is no alternative to the imperfect nature of international diplomacy.

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Geopolitics

Cash-Strapped Iran Ramps Up A Favorite Old Business: Taking Hostages For Ransom

Is the Biden administration following President Obama’s counterproductive recipe of handing Tehran large sums of cash hoping for good conduct and a tepid détente?

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Economy Geopolitics

How Semiconductors Are Fueling The U.S.-China Standoff — With A Taiwan Caveat

The manufacture of a chip requires 500 operations on three continents. Both the U.S. and China want to master this incredible logistics chain. And with Taiwan crucial to the supply chain, there is both a cause and effect to try to calculate.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Ukraine War And BRICS Ambitions? Why The Superpowers Still Hold The Cards

The war in Ukraine has become globalized, with its effects being felt from Africa to China. The only hope of de-escalation is in a potential diplomatic summit between the U.S. and China this autumn.

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In The News

The Demagogue’s Formula: How Trump Creates An Eternal Bond With His Base

If anything, the fourth indictment leveled against former U.S. President Donald Trump will only increase the fervor among his diehard fans.

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Economy Future Society

Mocked No More, Space Force Raises U.S. Stakes For The Final Frontier

Created by Donald Trump four years ago, the new U.S. military branch embodies the strategic importance of space defense. Faced with competition from China and Russia, Washington is renewing its commitment (and drastically increasing the amount of money it devotes) to space — marking quite the reversal of fortune for Space Force, which not so long ago was the target of pastiche and mockery.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

For Ukraine, Can The “Israel Model” Be A Viable Alternative To NATO?

The NATO Summit in Vilnius will confirm that Ukraine’s entry to join the alliance must be delayed. U.S. President Biden has implied Ukraine could get similar security guarantees and support as Israel. There are clear pros and cons of such a security model, which did not happen overnight.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Narendra Modi, A Modern Master Of Frenemy Diplomacy

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s triumph during his state visit to the U.S. is part of a well-honed strategy of realpolitik and geo-economic opportunism. How the West responds says a lot about where the world is heading.

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Future Geopolitics

White House To The World, Artificial Intelligence Is A Political Thing

Amid the summit hosted at the White House, and warning from AI experts, the world can’t simply leave the machines to their own devices.

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Economy Ideas

What Europe Could Learn From Joe Biden’s “Productivism” Policy

Subsidies to green industries and the promotion of “quality” jobs: Joe Biden’s economic policy is driven by an American form of “productivism,” which French business daily Les Echos says has allowed the country to regain the upper hand in both economics and politics.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Why Lula Is Doubling Down On His Ambiguous Stance On Russia And China

Though he campaigned for his return to the Brazilian presidency as a pro-Western reformer, since coming into office Lula da Silva has reverted to the classic positioning of a 20th century Latin American leftist.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics In The News

World Rolls Eyes At “Nonno” Biden’s Reelection Run

After Joe Biden announced he’s running for a second term as U.S. president this week, newspapers around the world began to brace for a rematch of two rather old men.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics In The News

When Joe Biden Came To My Hometown, And Why He May Be The Last Irish President

President Biden finishes his much-publicized trip to Ireland today in my tiny hometown. We’re enjoying the pomp, but it’s a reminder that the glory days of Irish America are well and truly gone.

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Geopolitics

Europe Must Not Be America’s “Vassals”: The Full Macron Interview After His China Visit

Translated in full from French, here is the exclusive interview French President Emmanuel Macron gave to three reporters on his way back from his trip to China, in which he insisted that Europe needed more autonomy from the United States.

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Geopolitics

In The Footsteps Of JFK: Biden’s Ireland Trip Weaves Personal With Geopolitical

There’s a long tradition of U.S. presidents — many of whom have been of Irish heritage — visiting Ireland. But Joe Biden’s visit is much more than just a diplomatic mission.

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Geopolitics

China, The West And Macron’s “Third Way” For Cooling Global Tensions

The French President begins a three-day visit to China. He has the difficult task of forging a “third way” for Europe between U.S. and Chinese interests in an increasingly polarized world.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Donald Trump: The Third Act Of An American Tragedy

Donald Trump’s indictment is an unprecedented opportunity for him to rally his supporters — almost a godsend. But it could also be good news for U.S. President Joe Biden. What it means for the nation is another story. A view from a French political scientist.

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Geopolitics Ideas

U.S., France, Israel: How Three Model Democracies Are Coming Unglued

France, Israel, United States: these three democracies all face their own distinct problems. But these problems are revealing disturbing cracks in society that pose a real danger to hard-earned progress that won’t be easily regained.

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In The News

AUKUS: Bold Deterrent Or Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Of A Future War With China?

AUKUS, the security pact between the US, the UK, and Australia, is beginning to take shape. Its aim is to deter China, but it risks drawing the Indo-Pacific region into a military conflict.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

The G20’s Futility On Ukraine Is Even Worse Than It Seems

It’s not just about the current diplomatic impasse between Russia and the West, it’s about the future — and that means China.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Putin’s Nuclear Scare Tactics Come With Real Consequences

Russia has announced its withdrawal from a post-Cold War nuclear arms control treaty it signed with the U.S. The decision risks re-launching a global arms race.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Biden v. Putin? Don’t Underestimate The Weight Of “Sleepy Joe’s” Kyiv Surprise

In the inevitable race for symbolic victories on the eve of the Ukraine invasion’s first anniversary, Joe Biden scored a major victory with his surprise visit to Kyiv. Meanwhile, one year on, Vladimir Putin has yet to visit his own country’s troops on the front line.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Eyes On U.S. — Democrats, Republicans And Canadians In Standoff Over Migrant Buses

Republicans and Democrats have been engaged in political ping-pong over migration, bussing migrants from red to blue states. Now the issue has reached Canada as the migrants are pushed ever further north.

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In The News

Balloons? UFOs? The Real Story Is The Perilous State Of U.S.-China Relations

Let’s call it the “war of the balloons”: Four unidentified flying objects have now been shot down by fighter jets in one week over North America. But the mystery of the details should not hide the bigger picture of how far U.S.-Sino relations have sunk in the past 10 days.

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In The News

Americans Can Never Unsee The Chinese Balloon — That’s The Real Danger

The Chinese spy balloon spotted over the U.S. and shot down on Saturday has suddenly brought once-distant fears into America’s backyard, which could set off a kind of “butterfly effect” of a small incident that leads to a much more dangerous showdown.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

How Ukraine Keeps Getting The West To Flip On Arms Supplies

The open debate on weapon deliveries to Ukraine is highly unusual, but Kyiv has figured out how to use the public moral suasion — and patience — to repeatedly shift the question in its favor. But will it work now for fighter jets?

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In The News

LGBTQ+ International: Russia’s Short-Lived Queer Museum, Italy’s Gender-Neutral Toilet — And Other News

Welcome to Worldcrunch’s LGBTQ+ International. We bring you up-to-speed each week on a topic you may follow closely at home, but can now see from different places and perspectives around the world. Discover the latest news on everything LGBTQ+ — from all corners of the planet. All in one smooth scroll! This week featuring: TW: […]

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Eyes on the U.S. special series

Eyes On U.S. — When African Leaders Go To Washington, China Is In The Room

-Analysis- Some 100 of the most important political eyes in Africa aren’t turned towards the U.S. this week — they’re in the U.S. For the first time in eight years, the White House is hosting 49 African heads of state and leaders of government (and the Senegalese head of the African Union) for a U.S.-Africa […]

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Eyes on the U.S. Green Or Gone special series

Eyes On U.S. — How White House Climate Action Could Spark A Global Trade War

-Analysis- When the U.S. Congress passed the Biden administration’s landmark “green” spending bill in August, environmentalists around the world saw it as a very strong — and long overdue — step in the right direction on climate change. For years, the European Union’s far more stringent environmental regulations have produced a more carbon-efficient economy and […]

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Eyes On U.S. — No ‘Vague Rouge,’ No Final Results: How The World Makes Sense Of Midterms

While some breathed sighs of relief that the Republicans’ predicted “red wave” sweep didn’t happen, others chuckle at how long it takes to count the votes. And then there’s Senõr Musk…

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Eyes On U.S. — How The World Is Tracking A High-Stakes Midterm Election

The international media is tuning in closely to Tuesday’s U.S. midterms, with global ramifications for everything from the war in Ukraine to action on climate change to the brewing superpower showdown with China.

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