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Geopolitics

Second Front? Tension In West Bank Reaching New Heights–  Mideast War, Day 21

Death count rises above 100 in the West Bank, as sources reports weapons flooding in through Iran.

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Geopolitics

Tunnel War: How Hamas Will Use Its Underground Maze To Combat Israel’s Ground Assault

Hamas has dug an enormous network of tunnels under Gaza that may turn out to be the biggest challenge for the impending Israeli ground offensive.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #56 — Escalation

October 30 – November 5, 2023

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Geopolitics

Israel And U.S. Condemn Kremlin Meeting With Hamas Envoy

A Hamas delegation arrived in Russia, as Putin warns Israel that the war could spread beyond the Middle East.

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Geopolitics

How Macron’s Call To “Internationalize” The Fight Against Hamas Could Revive The Two-State Solution

The French president expressed his solidarity with Israel while calling for a political solution for the Palestinians; but he also made a surprise proposal for an international coalition against Hamas, which faces several obstacles — but is also a way to “frame” the conflict so that the dormant two-state solution can return.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Biden Wades Into Sensitive Debate About Whether To Trust Gaza Death Tolls

While everyone acknowledges the civilian toll is climbing in Gaza, a new doubt has begun to spread in recent days about the reliability of the death counts given by Gaza’s government, which is run by Hamas. U.S. President Joe Biden now says he doesn’t believe the numbers at all, which has set off criticism about his lack of both sources and “empathy.”

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special series The Endless War

Cruel Deja Vu: To Be Ukrainian In Israel When Hamas Attacks

Among the victims of the recent conflict in Israel are many Ukrainian citizens who fled the Russian invasion and are now finding themselves at the center of another war.

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Ideas

The Middle East And Religion: An Islamic Reading Of The Golden Rule

Both Hamas and Israel should stop manipulating the language of faith and morals to justify extreme and indiscriminate violence, writes Islamic theologian Marwan Sarwar Gill. Religion (in good faith) ultimately offers a way out of conflict the bad faith has fueled.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Neither Hamas, Nor Abbas: After The War, The Palestinians Will Still Need A Leader

The lack of credible Palestinian leadership could plague the region once the war is over, leaving it without any legitimate political representation.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The “Laws Of War” Applied To Israel And Hamas

The ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas has raised numerous issues under international law, including Israel’s unlawful siege of Gaza and Hamas being a non-state actor.

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Geopolitics

“Axis Of Resistance” — How The Iran-Sponsored Militias Could Widen The War Against Israel

For decades now, the Islamic Republic of Iran has created, armed and trained paramilitary groups in several Middle Eastern states, all of which are believed to stand at the ready to strike Israel and Western targets at Tehran’s command.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

No Jihad In Judaism: A Reminder That Hamas Is Fighting A Religious War By Itself

The Middle East is ablaze. Many have blamed this “endless war” on the seemingly eternal fight between Islam and Judaism, which are both religions without an intermediary to God. But there are key differences both within and between the two faiths.

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Russia-Ukraine War

How Russia Will Capitalize On The New Wave Of Terrorism Set To Hit The West

Western leaders must take a more resolute stance in addressing terrorism and its hybrid forms, and see the connection with the tactics and strategy of Putin’s Russia.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #55 — Blood And Soul

October 23 – October 29, 2023

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Geopolitics Ideas

How India’s New All-In Support Of Israel Could Backfire

The Indian government’s decision to move from its historic stance on the Israel-Palestine conflict and to actively support Israel following Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack is not only questionable, writes a New Delhi commentator, but it could also have consequences for the country on a diplomatic and geopolitical level.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Why Joe Biden’s Visit To Israel Was Such A Deep Diplomatic Failure

The American president succeeded in obtaining humanitarian corridors through Gaza, and supported Israel’s claims that it wasn’t responsible for bombing a Gaza hospital. But in the Arab world, he consolidated his image as Israel’s main supporter, and lost the political battle for public opinion.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Israel’s Fifth War — For Its Blood, And Soul

There are very real risks that this conflict may expand and re-shape the entire region. Israel appears to have the means to win on the battlefield, but risks losing along the way the very principles of justice on which it was founded.

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Geopolitics

Who’s To Blame For Gaza Hospital Bombing? The 8 Key Points To Consider

Also, Egyptian president appears to threaten war with Israel over Palestinian refugees, and German chancellor forced to evacuate his plane amid air raid alert.

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Geopolitics Ideas

In The Middle East, Ukraine Must Walk A Tightrope Between The U.S. And Europe

The EU must find a way to negotiate uncomfortable disagreements within its ranks. Ukraine can’t be seen as taking an unequivocal stand in support of any one side either.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

With Each Passing Hour, Abbas Is Losing The West Bank To Hamas

In the capital of the Palestinian Authority, residents are outraged at Israel — but also their own leaders for not taking a harder line. The beneficiary is the militant group Hamas, which rules the other Palestinian enclave of Gaza, and is in an all-out war with Israel.

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Geopolitics

How The Gaza Hospital Bombing Will Change The Course Of The War

The strike on Gaza’s Al-Ahli hospital, which left hundreds dead, has changed the climate of the conflict between Israel and Hamas, even as the two sides shift the blame to each other. Calls for a ceasefire multiply as Joe Biden arrives in Israel.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Blame Hamas For Gaza’s Suffering? Of Course — But Also Its Puppet Masters In Iran

Hamas has shown callous disregard for the lives of Palestinians living in Gaza, but this was inevitable given its history and the inspiration of its patrons – Iran’s hangman regime.

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Geopolitics

Macron: “Intense” French Negotiations For Hostage Release After Video Of French-Israeli Captive

The 21-year-old French-Israeli woman was captured by Hamas at the music festival on Oct. 7 and brought to Gaza.

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Geopolitics Ideas Migrant Lives special series The Endless War

Sinai Limbo: Why Some Palestinians Are Desperate To Go Back Inside Besieged Gaza

Dozens of families from Gaza are now stranded in Egypt’s North Sinai, after they tried to cross into Egypt through the Rafah crossing. They tell Mada Masr about watching Israel’s brutal siege for afar — and their wish to go back home, in spite of the risks.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

What Will Hezbollah Do? Lebanon’s Fate Hangs In The Balance

Memories are still clear of the war in 2006, which exploded after a Hezbollah attack in northern Israel. Nobody wants war again, even as solidarity for the Palestinian cause is stronger than ever.

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Geopolitics

Can Western Diplomacy Contain Netanyahu’s Thirst For Revenge?

After extending its complete support to Israel in the wake of the October 7 attacks, the West has started to soften its stance and demand that the state follow international law. But there are scant signs that Israel will let up its all-out assault in Gaza.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

The Oct. 7 Debacle: A First Deep Dive Into Israel’s Intelligence Failures

The blind spots began appearing in the first hours and days after more than 1,200 civilians were slaughtered by Hamas terrorists, who breached the border from Gaza. A former Israeli military intelligence operative guides us through the mistakes that allowed it to happen.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Why So Many Palestinians Wouldn’t Flee Gaza Even If They Could

Even as the borders close and the siege tightens, most of the Palestinians also deeply fear leaving, convinced that (like their forebears) they’ll never return.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Siege, The Eternally Flawed Instrument Of War

Over the past week, Gaza has been officially under siege, even if the roots have long been planted in the confined territory. Others may say that Israel itself has long felt under siege, surrounded by hostile nations. It’s worth tracing the origins of this policy of war that targets entire populations, from Troy in ancient Greece to Leningrad in World War II.

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Geopolitics Ideas special series The Endless War

Hamas Is Fighting A Proxy War For Iran — That’s Where The West Should Strike Back

Will the West stop coddling the Iranian regime now, or continue its mix of appeasement and a cat-and-mouse game that Tehran has deftly exploited to undermine peace in the Middle East?

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Geopolitics Ideas

Why Are Right-Wing Hindu Nationalists So Pro-Israel?

The flood of pro-Israel support from right-ring Hindu nationalists reveals more about the nature of their political project, its aspirations and ideological directions through the decades, than it does about Zionism.

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Geopolitics In The News

Palestinians Trapped In Northern Gaza Between Israeli And Hamas Orders — Mideast War, Day 7

A full siege is on in Gaza, and there’s little room for escape for civilians.

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In The News

Worldcrunch Magazine #54 — Total War: The Middle East’s Most Dangerous Conflict in 50 Years

October 16 – October 22, 2023

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Geopolitics Ideas

A 9/11 For Israel: What Epic Mistakes Will Be Triggered This Time?

The Oct. 7 Hamas attacks are as devastating on Israel as the Sep. 11 were on the U.S. But like it did 20 years ago, such an attack also has the power to reshape politics inside Israel and around the region in a way that risks making everything worse.

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Geopolitics

Will War Spill Over Into Lebanon? It’s Up To Hezbollah — And That Means Iran

The widely believed inability of Lebanon to control Hezbollah has sparked fears among Lebanese that the Iranian-backed group will join Hamas’ war against Israel and dragged their troubled nation back to a dark chapter in history.

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Geopolitics

Israel’s Ground War In Gaza Would Be A Brutal Race Against Time

The Hamas attacks leave Israel with no choice but to launch a ground offensive in Gaza. This is the only way Jerusalem can truly debilitate the terrorist organization. And so a race against time begins with any such assault, as casualties would be high, international support will weaken, and the question of the ultimate “end game” lurks behind.

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Future Geopolitics Society

Collateral Tech Damage Of Hamas Attack: The Final Demise Of Twitter

Elon Musk has been criticized before for his management of Twitter, now known as X. But it was not until Saturday that the social network revealed just how inept and dangerous it had become, as fake news spread far and wide. It may never recover.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Real Lesson For Israel Is About Hubris — And The “Hell” Next Door

Blaming intelligence and military failure for the Oct. 7 assault diverts attention from Israel’s real weakness — a distracted and divisive political leadership that ignored the fact that people just a few miles across the border are confined in a living hell.

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Geopolitics

Mideast War, Day 4: Now Comes Israel’s Ground War On Gaza

The Israeli army has secured its own territory, and is now focused on what all believe is an impending ground assault into Gaza. The ground war now appears more a question of when rather than if.

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Economy Geopolitics

Iran May Get $1.7 Billion More In Un-Frozen Funds, With Risk It Gets Funneled To Hamas

Iran says European courts have ordered repayments of $1.7 billion more of its money frozen in Western banks, which risks being transferred to help fund Hamas’ war with Israel. Other observers suspect the news is meant to stop financial panic in Tehran.

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