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Iran And Trump And The Art Of The Empty Threat

Trump's words
Trump's words
Alidad Vassigh

-Analysis-

Fox News opted for the verb "slam" to describe the first significant comments about Iran from new U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson. "Tillerson slams Iran nuclear deal as "failed approach,"" the conservative network headlined its story yesterday, following Tillerson's remarks about the 2015 nuclear accord inked by President Obama. But there is another verb missing so far in the storyline of Tehran and the first 100 days of the Trump administration: There has been no talk lately about "tearing up" the nuclear deal, as candidate Trump had repeatedly vowed to do during last year's campaign.

Indeed, most Iran officials greeted Tillerson's remarks with a shrug. The head of the regular army's land forces, General Kiumars Heidari said that Iran was not threatening anyone and "nobody could deny" its stabilizing role in the Middle East. He said that for the first time in decades, Washington was giving the economy preference over security concerns in U.S. foreign policy.

The semi-official ISNA news agency also carried reports citing the Speaker Of the House of Representatives Paul Ryan, who said he believed the nuclear deal would remain in force, even if Iran deserved harsher sanctions. The reformist paper Aftab-e Yazd noted that in spite of his own campaign vows, and continuing pressures from some Republicans, Trump is now working in a "more peaceful and reasonable atmosphere."

The perfect interlocutor for Trump?

Like elsewhere in the world, The Trump administration has shown it can wait and even change tack if necessary. In the case of Iran, perhaps Washington is waiting to see who will become Iran's next president, in elections late next month. The field is currently led by moderate incumbent Hassan Rouhani, an architect of the nuclear accord; the more conservative cleric Ebrahim Raisi; and the maverick former president hoping to return, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Though he is running in spite of the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's public disapproval, Ahmadinejad has always presented himself as a plain-talking everyman. Could he be the perfect interlocutor for Trump?

As for Khamenei, his usual posture of standing firm, come what may, remains front and center. The state broadcaster IRIB cited him as telling Iranian generals earlier this week that "fear of the enemy is where misfortune begins." He then added, "verbal threats are the trick" of aggressive powers. Yes, written accords can be torn up, but supremely loud leaders everywhere also know that spoken words can be easily forgotten.

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Ideas

A Writer's Advice For How To Read The Words Of Politics

Colombia's reformist president has promised to tackle endemic violence, economic exclusion, pollution and corruption in the country. So what's new with a politician's promises?

Image of Colombian President Gustavo Petro speaking during a press conference in Buenos Aires on Jan 14, 2023

Colombian President Gustavo Petro, speaks during a press conference in the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) Summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina, on January 24, 2023.

Manuel Cortina/ZUMA
Héctor Abad Faciolince

-Essay-

BOGOTÁ — Don't concentrate on his words, I was once advised, but look at what he's doing. I heard the words so long ago I cannot recall who said them. The point is, what's the use of a husband who vows never to beat his wife in January and leaves her with a bruised face in February?

Words are a strange thing, and in literal terms, we must distrust their meaning. As I never hit anyone, I have never declared that I wouldn't. It never occurred to me to say it. Strangely, there is more power and truth in a simple declaration like "I love her" than in the more emphatic "I love her so much." A verbal addition here just shrinks the "sense" of love.

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