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LES ECHOS

Growth Or Bust: A Brief Plea In Favor Of Progress

The trend of what the French dubbed décroissance (degrowth) overlooks how progress and technology are bound to improve our lives.

There's no turning back
There's no turning back
Xavier Fontanet

-Analysis-

PARIS — It's a well-known rule: In the market, if you lower the price by around a third, you will generally double the rate of sales. This has to do with what we call constant elasticity, a concept that all of us in developed countries should master to understand the world we live in today.

Let's focus on the microprocessors that are all around us. In a third of a century, their volume has multiplied by almost 10 billion and their price has been divided by a very considerable 1 million!

This iron law — also known as Moore's law and that we don't, unfortunately, teach in school — explains why each smartphone owner has in his or her pocket a product that 30 years ago would have been worth as much as an Airbus 320.

The phenomenon is visible everywhere.

This phenomenon is visible in high-growth sectors such as in computing and telecoms, but it is at work everywhere, even in traditional areas like agriculture. The writings of historian Fernand Braudel — the underappreciated French genius — illustrate that 300 years ago, food took up 85% of each household's budget (in contrast to 10% today), that the percentage of agricultural workers in the population has decreased in this period from 67% to below 3%, and that our country exports much of its agricultural products.

It's not the decrease by 1 million in 33 years, but this revolution over the past 300 years, that should make us reflect. These changes are the result of technological growth and progress. They have completely altered our lives, in proportions that we tend to forget too fast.

Certainly, we can all agree that not everything is going well in the real world today. Yet let us reflect well before adopting trendy theories of "décroissance" (degrowth), and make room for science and technology to create sustainable development.

*Xavier Fontanet is professor of strategy at HEC Paris Business School.

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FOCUS: Russia-Ukraine War

A New Survey Of Ukrainian Refugees: Here's What Will Bring Them Back Home

With the right support, Ukrainians are ready to return, even to new parts of the country where they've never lived.

photo of people looking at a destroyed building with a wall containing a Banksy work

People look at a Banksy work on a wall of a building destroyed by the Russian army, in the town of Borodyanka, northwest of Kyiv.

Sergei Chuzavkov / SOPA Images via ZUMA Press Wire
Daria Mykhailishyna

After Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine began, millions of Ukrainians fled their homes and went abroad. Many remain outside Ukraine. The Center for Economic Strategy and the Info Sapiens research agency surveyed these Ukrainian war refugees to learn more about who they are and how they feel about going home.

According to the survey, half of Ukrainians who went abroad are children. Among adults, most (83%) are women, and most (42%) are aged 35-49.

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Most Ukrainian refugees have lost their income due to the war: 12% do not have enough money to buy food, and 28% have enough only for food.

The overwhelming majority of adult refugees (70%) have higher education. This figure is much higher than the share of people with higher education in Ukraine (29%) and the EU (33%).

The majority of Ukrainian refugees reside in Poland (38%), Germany (20%), the Czech Republic (12%), and Italy (6%). In these countries, they can obtain temporary protection, giving them the right to stay, work, and access healthcare and education systems.

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