Difficulty signing up convicts

“Operatives from the Interior Ministry or the Federal Security Service approach prisoners and bully them into signing up to fight by threatening to bring up old cases from ten to 20 years ago, which have already passed the statute of limitations,” Helmel said.

The new recruitment methods can be explained by the fact that, unlike in the summer and fall of 2022, convicts are aware of the high numbers of dead and wounded on the front line. Now they are far less willing to trade their prison sentence for what they see as virtual suicide.

According to the Speaker of the U.S. National Security Council, John Kirby, the Wagner PMC in Ukraine is made up of around 50,000 fighters, 40,000 of whom are former prisoners.

They brought two prisoners who refused to fight and shot them.

Olga Romanova, head of the Rus’ Sidiashchaia, a non-governmental NGO that supports convicts and their families, estimates the number to be slightly higher: 50,000 recruits of which 40,000 are “either dead, injured, or have surrendered or deserted the army.”

Fake funeral notices

Romanova also reports that rather than admit that the convicts he recruits are incompetent, have surrendered, or run away, Prigozhin prefers to say they are dead, sending out fake funeral notices to the recruits’ families.

One ex-commander of Wagner who had deserted the mercenary group in November explained how he had witnessed a double execution at a Wagner training center. “There was an incident when they brought two prisoners who refused to fight and shot them in front of others for refusing to follow orders,” he told The Moscow Times . “There were a lot of such cases.”

This news comes amidst rumors of a potential new wave of Russian mobilization . Ukrainian officials reported Monday that Russia was planning a recruitment process of 300,000-500,000 men to replace the hundreds of thousands already injured or killed on the frontline. Moscow has continued to deny that it is about to launch a second wave of mobilization.