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Israel-Palestine War

Reoccupation Of Gaza? A Crack Opens In The Airtight Israel-U.S. Alliance

Prime Minister Netanyahu’s mention of “indefinite” control of security in Gaza does not sit well with Washington. Biden has a growing number of reasons to start pushing back against Israel’s war and post-war aims.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

One Month Of Israel-Hamas War — How Our World Has Changed

Marking one month of war in the Middle East, French political commentator Pierre Haski takes stock of three major geopolitical consequences.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

Why Israel Will Agree To A “Humanitarian Pause” — But Nothing More

Calls for a “humanitarian pause” are multiplying as the war rages on for almost a month, but the West is careful not to talk about a ceasefire, which Israel totally rejects. Where does that leave us in a search for a way out?

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War special series The Endless War

How The Russia-Hamas Alliance Could Wind Up Undermining Both

Russia is largely discrediting itself as a viable leader in diplomacy after siding so plainly with Hamas.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War

How Khomeini Planted The Seeds For Hamas’ Holy War 45 Years Ago

Whom should we blame for the death and destruction in Gaza: terrorists, Israel or ‘warmongers’ beyond them, notably the Tehran regime that envisaged, decades ago, a regional war as the prelude to spreading its “Islamic revolution.”

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Geopolitics

Why The West Says Nothing About Erdogan’s Pro-Hamas Rhetoric

The Turkish president praises the Hamas terrorists as “freedom fighters” and NATO says nothing. This is a snapshot of realpolitik at 360 degrees — starting with Erdogan.

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Geopolitics Israel-Palestine War special series The Endless War

Israel’s Jails Are Filling Up With Palestinians — Is This The Bargaining Chip For Gaza Hostages?

The number of Palestinian prisoners in Israel’s jails has doubled since the Hamas attack of Oct. 7. Some ask if the roundups of Palestinians is a tactic to win the release in an exchange with Hamas for the 200 hostages held in Gaza.

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Geopolitics

The Hamas Hostage Strategy Comes Straight From Their Mentors’ Playbook In Tehran

The kidnapping of more 200 Israelis by Hamas suggests that its patron, the Islamic Republic of Iran, is exporting its terrifying and lucrative methods at home to the rest of the Middle East.

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Geopolitics

Tunnel War: How Hamas Will Use Its Underground Maze To Combat Israel’s Ground Assault

Hamas has dug an enormous network of tunnels under Gaza that may turn out to be the biggest challenge for the impending Israeli ground offensive.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Why It’s So Hard For The West To Call For A Simple Ceasefire In Gaza

Even as casualties are mounting and bombs keep falling on civilians in Gaza, Western countries fail to reach a consensus and unambiguously call for a ceasefire. It’s a mix of history, alliances and being too careful.

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Geopolitics

How Macron’s Call To “Internationalize” The Fight Against Hamas Could Revive The Two-State Solution

The French president expressed his solidarity with Israel while calling for a political solution for the Palestinians; but he also made a surprise proposal for an international coalition against Hamas, which faces several obstacles — but is also a way to “frame” the conflict so that the dormant two-state solution can return.

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Geopolitics

The United Nations — “Uncomfortable Witness” To Occupation, Virtual Enemy In Israel

The growing rift between Israel and the United Nations, since Secretary-General António Guterres’ statement that the Oct. 7 Hamas attack did not happen in a “vacuum.”

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In The News special series The Endless War

Guterres Relativizes Hamas Terror — And We See What The UN Has Become

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres’ comments on the Oct. 7 attacks on Israel by Hamas, which he said “did not occur in a vacuum,” constitute an incomprehensible relativization of a barbaric mass murder. Shameful, but not surprising, writes Die Welt‘s editor-in-chief Jennifer Wilton.

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Geopolitics In The News

Gaza’s Info War: On-The-Ground Journalism v. Fake News Online

Since the beginning of Israel’s attacks on Gaza, journalists on the ground have been on the front lines, and many of them have already lost their lives. Meanwhile, the media machine in the rest of the world has gone wild, with even the most prominent media outlets spreading fake news.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Macron In The Middle East — Do The French Have The Answer?

The French president is expected to call for a “humanitarian pause” in Israel and the opening of a “political perspective” for the Palestinians, while displaying his solidarity with Israel. A singular voice, which recalls France’s past commitments, but in a radically changed context.

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special series The Endless War

Cruel Deja Vu: To Be Ukrainian In Israel When Hamas Attacks

Among the victims of the recent conflict in Israel are many Ukrainian citizens who fled the Russian invasion and are now finding themselves at the center of another war.

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Ideas

The Middle East And Religion: An Islamic Reading Of The Golden Rule

Both Hamas and Israel should stop manipulating the language of faith and morals to justify extreme and indiscriminate violence, writes Islamic theologian Marwan Sarwar Gill. Religion (in good faith) ultimately offers a way out of conflict the bad faith has fueled.

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Geopolitics

Russia And Iran: At Least One Is Ready For Middle East Escalation

What happens next in the Middle East, including a possible expansion of the war at the Israeli-Lebanon border, will be determined by choices that are made in different capitals. Keep your eye on Tehran.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Neither Hamas, Nor Abbas: After The War, The Palestinians Will Still Need A Leader

The lack of credible Palestinian leadership could plague the region once the war is over, leaving it without any legitimate political representation.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

No Jihad In Judaism: A Reminder That Hamas Is Fighting A Religious War By Itself

The Middle East is ablaze. Many have blamed this “endless war” on the seemingly eternal fight between Islam and Judaism, which are both religions without an intermediary to God. But there are key differences both within and between the two faiths.

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Economy Geopolitics

“Third Shock” In Four Years? How The World Economy Could Absorb The Gaza War

The destabilization of the Middle East could send prices soaring once more and trigger a new shock for the world economy, which has so far been resilient despite the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine.

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Russia-Ukraine War

How Russia Will Capitalize On The New Wave Of Terrorism Set To Hit The West

Western leaders must take a more resolute stance in addressing terrorism and its hybrid forms, and see the connection with the tactics and strategy of Putin’s Russia.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Israel’s Fifth War — For Its Blood, And Soul

There are very real risks that this conflict may expand and re-shape the entire region. Israel appears to have the means to win on the battlefield, but risks losing along the way the very principles of justice on which it was founded.

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Geopolitics Ideas

In The Middle East, Ukraine Must Walk A Tightrope Between The U.S. And Europe

The EU must find a way to negotiate uncomfortable disagreements within its ranks. Ukraine can’t be seen as taking an unequivocal stand in support of any one side either.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

With Each Passing Hour, Abbas Is Losing The West Bank To Hamas

In the capital of the Palestinian Authority, residents are outraged at Israel — but also their own leaders for not taking a harder line. The beneficiary is the militant group Hamas, which rules the other Palestinian enclave of Gaza, and is in an all-out war with Israel.

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Geopolitics

How The Gaza Hospital Bombing Will Change The Course Of The War

The strike on Gaza’s Al-Ahli hospital, which left hundreds dead, has changed the climate of the conflict between Israel and Hamas, even as the two sides shift the blame to each other. Calls for a ceasefire multiply as Joe Biden arrives in Israel.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Blame Hamas For Gaza’s Suffering? Of Course — But Also Its Puppet Masters In Iran

Hamas has shown callous disregard for the lives of Palestinians living in Gaza, but this was inevitable given its history and the inspiration of its patrons – Iran’s hangman regime.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

What Will Hezbollah Do? Lebanon’s Fate Hangs In The Balance

Memories are still clear of the war in 2006, which exploded after a Hezbollah attack in northern Israel. Nobody wants war again, even as solidarity for the Palestinian cause is stronger than ever.

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Geopolitics

Can Western Diplomacy Contain Netanyahu’s Thirst For Revenge?

After extending its complete support to Israel in the wake of the October 7 attacks, the West has started to soften its stance and demand that the state follow international law. But there are scant signs that Israel will let up its all-out assault in Gaza.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

The Oct. 7 Debacle: A First Deep Dive Into Israel’s Intelligence Failures

The blind spots began appearing in the first hours and days after more than 1,200 civilians were slaughtered by Hamas terrorists, who breached the border from Gaza. A former Israeli military intelligence operative guides us through the mistakes that allowed it to happen.

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Why So Many Palestinians Wouldn’t Flee Gaza Even If They Could

Even as the borders close and the siege tightens, most of the Palestinians also deeply fear leaving, convinced that (like their forebears) they’ll never return.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Siege, The Eternally Flawed Instrument Of War

Over the past week, Gaza has been officially under siege, even if the roots have long been planted in the confined territory. Others may say that Israel itself has long felt under siege, surrounded by hostile nations. It’s worth tracing the origins of this policy of war that targets entire populations, from Troy in ancient Greece to Leningrad in World War II.

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Geopolitics Ideas special series The Endless War

Hamas Is Fighting A Proxy War For Iran — That’s Where The West Should Strike Back

Will the West stop coddling the Iranian regime now, or continue its mix of appeasement and a cat-and-mouse game that Tehran has deftly exploited to undermine peace in the Middle East?

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Geopolitics special series The Endless War

Dispatch From Ashkelon, Front Line Of Israel’s “Existential War”

Since Saturday’s bloody Hamas assault began, Ashkelon, a city located 20 kilometers from Gaza, has become the front line in what is shaping up to be Israel’s most dangerous war in a generation.

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Geopolitics Ideas

A 9/11 For Israel: What Epic Mistakes Will Be Triggered This Time?

The Oct. 7 Hamas attacks are as devastating on Israel as the Sep. 11 were on the U.S. But like it did 20 years ago, such an attack also has the power to reshape politics inside Israel and around the region in a way that risks making everything worse.

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Geopolitics

Will War Spill Over Into Lebanon? It’s Up To Hezbollah — And That Means Iran

The widely believed inability of Lebanon to control Hezbollah has sparked fears among Lebanese that the Iranian-backed group will join Hamas’ war against Israel and dragged their troubled nation back to a dark chapter in history.

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Geopolitics Russia-Ukraine War

Ukraine To Palestine: The West’s Isolation Keeps Getting Deeper — And More Dangerous

The West has largely been united in clear condemnation of Hamas and support of Israel. For the rest of the international community, even if Hamas has very little backing, most countries have preferred an ambiguous neutrality. It’s part of a deeper shift in geopolitics where the so-called Global South, and elsewhere, no longer tolerate what they see as Western “double standards.”

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Future Geopolitics Society

Collateral Tech Damage Of Hamas Attack: The Final Demise Of Twitter

Elon Musk has been criticized before for his management of Twitter, now known as X. But it was not until Saturday that the social network revealed just how inept and dangerous it had become, as fake news spread far and wide. It may never recover.

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Geopolitics Ideas

The Real Lesson For Israel Is About Hubris — And The “Hell” Next Door

Blaming intelligence and military failure for the Oct. 7 assault diverts attention from Israel’s real weakness — a distracted and divisive political leadership that ignored the fact that people just a few miles across the border are confined in a living hell.

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Economy Geopolitics

Iran May Get $1.7 Billion More In Un-Frozen Funds, With Risk It Gets Funneled To Hamas

Iran says European courts have ordered repayments of $1.7 billion more of its money frozen in Western banks, which risks being transferred to help fund Hamas’ war with Israel. Other observers suspect the news is meant to stop financial panic in Tehran.

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