It's part trade war, part cyber defense — and the rumblings of conflict grow louder as countries (and companies alike) maneuver to protect their high-tech assets. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe recently announced that Japan would tighten export controls for advanced technologies in response to new U.S. trade restrictions aimed at China, writes the Yomiuri Shimbun daily. Both business interests and geopolitics are setting off such chain reactions; for while most Western economists tend to side with the free market, politicians increasingly see the issue as a reason to protect national interests — and put virtual firewalls.
One of the most closely watched cases to spark national security concerns in the U.S., and afterward in several countries in the EU, was the case of Huawei. In 2012, a U.S. congressional committee warned that Chinese telecom giant, together with ZTE, another leading Chinese company, could pose a security threat as the hardware and mobile infrastructure equipment can be used for spying for the Chinese government. The companies denied all allegations, but in 2018 the U.S. passed a bill restricting government bodies from doing business with Huawei, ZTE and several Chinese companies due to security concerns.
U.S. government officials have said that China could order its manufacturers to create backdoors for spying inside their devices. The evolving showdown has also included the high-profile arrest in Canada of Meng Wanzhou, Huawei's Chief Financial Officer and daughter of the company's founder. But the bigger questions go beyond any single case, as nations ask how (and how far to go) to protect sensitive technology beyond its own borders. Here's how the issue looks in five countries around the world:
The stakes: In just a generation, China's economy has gone from being driven by gluing sneakers to competing for the most advanced technological innovations. Jeanine Daou, a tax specialist at PwC, put it this way, in an interview with Nikkei Asian Review: "China ... appears to be implementing a longer-term strategy that recognizes its competitive advantage in manufacturing, while building towards competing for control over the real value in the modern supply chain — intellectual property."
Photo: Rishi Deep
Current security measures:
- The export of military items is exclusively allowed for state-authorized trading companies, and dual-use items can only be exported by companies in possession of an export control license.
- According to the new protocols, a foreign-manufactured item can be subject to Chinese export control if the content of that item is of controlled Chinese origin. Yet, the same protocols already run in the U.S. and China seems to be following a good example.
Takeaway: The country is now set to introduce a new Export Control Law, following the first draft released in 2017. The new law will block the transfer of controlled items from China to a foreign country or region, which includes Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan. The analysis of the draft suggests that the new law will strengthen the government's authority to regulate the export of military, nuclear, biological, chemical and dual-use items.
The stakes: China's technological ambitions have run head-on into President Donald Trump's protectionism. When making the list of "emerging technologies' the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security listed those related to sectors identified in the Made in China 2025 strategy. Also in February, Trump called artificial intelligence potential of "paramount importance to maintaining the economic and national security" and launched the American Artificial Intelligence Initiative. Still, the leading U.S.-based developers in robotics, biotechnology and AI, are powerful multinational private companies that benefit from open global trade.
China-U.S. trade talks on Feb. 21 — Photo: White House/Tia Dufour
Key security measures:
- The U.S. Commerce Department restricts the release of sensitive technologies outside the country or by the non-U.S. persons, including those within the corporation.
- New Export Control Reform Act was signed to impose export controls on emerging technologies, such as biotechnology, AI, position, navigation, and timing technology, microprocessor technology, advanced computing technology, data analytics technology, robotics and many-many others.
Takeaway: The Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF) warns in a recent report that the U.S. government that new restrictions would harm the country's interest. Additionally, it can also slow product development processes and limit the ability of U.S. companies to attract international talent. ITIF also counted the damage: U.S. firms could lose $14.1 to $56.3 billion in export sales over five years, with missed export opportunities threatening 18,000 to 74,000 jobs.
The stakes: With its export and finance-driven economy and tradition of neutrality, Switzerland has a vital interest in preventing protectionist trade measures and limiting cyber theft. Pointedly, last year, the Swiss government launched a World Trade Organization's dispute against import adjustment measures imposed by the United States, which is ongoing.
Key security measures:
- Export controls of industrial dual-use products and specific military goods are regulated by a set of international agreements such as the Wassenaar Arrangement.
- According to the latest WTO report, Switzerland has no specific anti-dumping, countervailing or safeguard legislation, and have never applied such measures.
- The list of goods subject to import prohibitions is relatively limited: endangered species, nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons, certain toxic and environmentally hazardous chemical substances, certain carbon-zinc batteries and (very suddenly!) potatoes and potato plants from non-European countries.
Takeaway: Switzerland is working on establishing an international institute on cybersecurity. It aims to promote positive and responsible behavior in cyberspace, in particular by furthering compliance with international laws and rules.
The stakes: Russia's IT market has grown into one of the world's largest, with activities in artificial intelligence, internet of things, virtual reality, telemedicine, according to the International Trade Administration. The country's overall economy has begun to recover from a long slump in part on demand for IT services, with Russian developers able to compete largely based on lower costs. Its fastest-growing segments are hosting, software maintenance and administration, consulting, software customization and information security services. In 2007 Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that the development of industries that have become an important part of the innovation economy will be carried out on the basis of public corporations. By creating the appropriate institutions and defining a web for developing advanced technologies, the country committed to a strategy of competing for advanced technologies in the open market.
Photo: David Werbrouck
Current security measures: Insignificant.
Takeaway: Russia is currently more concerned with fighting sanctions than restricting its own exports. Yet the country is closely watching Chinese and American moves on the matter, and no doubt ready to react.
The stakes: "If you trade any goods or services with the EU you'll need to get ready for Brexit..." Such is the warning written on the official website of the UK government. The withdrawal deadline is Oct. 31 and the possibility of a no-deal is very much alive.
Key security measures:
- In 2018, sanctions regimes were strengthened, with further restrictions on dual-use items (goods which have both a civilian and military use) to Myanmar, and renewed sanctions on Russia.
- UK government also took measures to ensure that export controls will continue to work after the UK leaves the European Union. Those include the Dual-Use Items and Firearms etc Regulations and the Export Control Regulations, both adopted at the beginning of 2019.
Takeaway: In July 2018, then Prime Minister Theresa May introduced The National Security and Investment White Paper, proposing that any trade deal which raises potential national security concerns, regardless of its size, should notify the government. The office of Boris Johnson will have to decide the fate of the white paper. But his move to liberalize the immigration regime for overseas students was seen by many as a sign of a more open economy even if Brexit goes bad, the Financial Times writes.