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Economy

In Iran, The Meaning Of An Airplane Fleet

Boarding time in Tehran in February
Boarding time in Tehran in February

TEHRAN — Since Boeing's announcement Sunday that Iran Air would buy 80 new planes, the deal has been dissected for both its economic and geopolitical significance.

The $16.6 billion purchase comes in the wake of the 2015 Iran nuclear accord and marks the U.S. aircraft company's first deal with the country since the 1970s. Boeing went out of its way to say that the new production would support some 100,000 job positions. This all, of course, comes as the U.S. awaits the inauguration of a new president who has touted his ability to create jobs — and who has also vowed to reverse the nuclear deal.

But the Boeing-Iran Air accord is significant for other reasons back in Tehran. For the government of President Hassan Rouhani, it promises a high-flying glimmer of the economic benefits he promised when he ran for the presidency in 2013. For the Iranian middle class and traveling public, updating Iran Air's fleet with shiny new Boeing planes is an echo of the better times or "normal lives' many Iranians believe their parents enjoyed in the days of the Shah.

Iranians see Boeing planes as the antithesis of the Russian Tupolevs that the Islamic Republic had bought in recent years for domestic flights, several of which subsequently crashed, and which symbolized the country's international isolation, a shoddy economy and the shady friends it has had to keep under this regime.

The reformist daily Shargh stated in an upbeat report that the nuclear accord with the West was "finally bearing fruit in spite of so many obstructions."

Another reformist daily, Aftab-e Yazd featured the headline: "Boeing's Historic Landing After 37 Years of Sanctions." The newspaper quoted Transport Minister Abbas Akhundi as saying the airline would soon also buy 100 planes from Airbus, and the latest deal was a "clear message to the world that in spite of warmongering by the Zionist regime and Daesh, we back peace, security and Iran's progress based on a win-win policy."

But the real foreign context for observers in Iran is naturally the change of power in Washington. The conservative Jaam-e Jam newspaper cited a deputy-transport minister, Asghar Fakhrieh-Kashan, as expressing confidence the deal would not later be scrapped by the incoming administration of Donald Trump. Like others inside and outside of Washington, Tehran is waiting to see if Trump's promises to create jobs takes precedence over other apparently less benevolent promises.

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Geopolitics

D.C. Or Beijing? Two High-Stakes Trips — And Taiwan's Divided Future On The Line

Two presidents of Taiwan, the current serving president, Tsai Ing-wen, and her predecessor, Ma Ying-jeou from the opposition Kuomintang party, are traveling in opposite directions these days. Taiwan must choose whom to follow.

Photo of Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen

Tsai Ing-wen, the President of Taiwan

Pierre Haski

-Analysis-

PARIS — Tsai Ing-wen, the President of Taiwan, is traveling to the United States today. Not on an official trip because Taiwan is not a state recognized by Washington, but in transit, en route to Central America, a strategy that allows her to pass through New York and California.

Ma Ying-jeou, a former president of Taiwan, arrived yesterday in Shanghai: he is making a 12-day visit at the invitation of the Chinese authorities at a time of high tension between China and the United States, particularly over the fate of Taiwan.

It would be difficult to make these two trips more contrasting, as both have the merit of summarizing at a glance the decisive political battle that is coming. Presidential and legislative elections will be held in January 2024 in Taiwan, which could well determine Beijing's attitude towards the island that China claims by all means, including force.

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