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Beautiful Game Theory: Professor Predicts World Cup

A London School of Economics professor has developed complex mathematical formulas that he says can predict what can happen on the pitch. Why is Spain so good? What's your bet?

Is Spain's Iker Casillas giving odds of a repeat? 5-to-1?
Is Spain's Iker Casillas giving odds of a repeat? 5-to-1?
Ouriel Daskal and Uri Pasovsky

LONDON — The World Cup will bring Professor Ignacio Palacios-Huerta's split personality to a whole new level. While billions, glued to TV, will be asking itself simple questions like "How do you stop Messi?," Palacios-Huerta will be watching the matches trying to answer advanced problems in game theory.

A central formula he has developed can help predict the difference between a good player and a true star. This is because the economist at the renowned London School of Economics also happens to be the head of talent identification at a club that reached fourth place in the Spanish league.

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A man walks on a tank left behind by Russian troops, on display in Kyiv’s Mykhailivska Square.

Lila Paulou, Lisa Berdet and Bertrand Hauger

👋 Hej!*

Welcome to Tuesday, which marks three months since the war in Ukraine started. Meanwhile, BoJo is in trouble again, and millionaires at Davos ask to be taxed more. Persian-language, London-based media Kayhan explores what the future of Lebanon could look like after the election defeat of Iran-backed Hezbollah.

[*Swedish]

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