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Geopolitics

China May Be Set To Turn Against Russia For Its Epic Miscalculation In Ukraine

China did not expect a protracted and bloody war in Ukraine, which is causing global upheaval and thus major problems for Beijing's interests. There are growing signs that the Chinese government's policy of "strategic neutrality" is reaching its limit.

China May Be Set To Turn Against Russia For Its Epic Miscalculation In Ukraine

Russian and Chinese ambassadors to the United Nations

Lev Radin/Pacific Press via ZUMA
Vita Golod and Dmytro Yefremov

-Analysis-

KYIV — China's neutral stance on the war in Ukraine looks to many like tacit support for Russia's behavior. Before the invasion and in its early days, statements by the Chinese Foreign Ministry contained pro-Russian hints about NATO as a vestige of the Cold War, “indivisibility of security,” “understanding of Russia’s legitimate concerns about its security,” and non-acceptance of the “unilateral use of sanctions” by Western countries.

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However, a certain distance from the situation remained in other statements (“respect for the territorial integrity and sovereignty of all countries”) and attempts were made to avoid political or economic involvement (a call to resolve the “conflict” by dialogue and negotiations).

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Lisa Berdet, Lila Paulou, Anne-Sophie Goninet and Bertrand Hauger

👋 Sveiki!*

Welcome to Thursday, where more Ukrainian soldiers surrender in Mariupol, Sri Lanka defaults on its debt,and George W. Bush offers an epic geopolitical gaffe. Meanwhile, Lili Bai in Chinese-language digital media The Initium looks at what’s driving the current “expat exodus” at play in Shanghai.

[*Latvian]

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Central to the tragic absurdity of this war is the question of language. Vladimir Putin has repeated that protecting ethnic Russians and the Russian-speaking populations of Ukraine was a driving motivation for his invasion.

Yet one month on, a quick look at the map shows that many of the worst-hit cities are those where Russian is the predominant language: Kharkiv, Odesa, Kherson.

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