Geopolitics

The Mortal Danger Of Being Egyptian In Libya

The Cairo regime is facing criticism after the ISIS beheading in Libya of 21 Coptic Christians from Egypt. Too many poor Egyptians risk it all in search of work across the border.

On the Egypt-Libya border
On the Egypt-Libya border
Nadia Ahmed

CAIRO — After the release of a graphic video showing 21 Coptic Egyptians beheaded by ISIS terror forces, some activists are holding the Egyptian government accountable for the grim conditions faced by its migrant laborers.

In a post published on his personal Facebook page after the Sunday killings of the Egyptian Christian hostages, Mina Thabet, a researcher at the Egyptian Commission for Rights and Freedoms, argued the government was responsible for the murders.

Thabet's main criticism revolves around the government's lack of transparency in how it deals with the many cases of Egyptian workers kidnapped and killed in Libya. The official response to such violent incidents is often delayed, forcing the victims' families to seek alternative channels to raise attention about the plight of their loved ones, Thabet claims.

But beyond the country's failure to rescue the 21 hostages, activists have leveled harsh criticisms about the decision to launch airstrikes on purported ISIS holdouts in Libya without a clear plan to evacuate Egyptians living there. Critics fear these Egyptians will now become even more of a target for militias seeking retribution.

More generally, Thabet took the government to task for failing to address the issues that lead these workers to travel to such a hostile country in the first place.

In Egypt, where unofficial unemployment and poverty rates have been on the rise, many have begun to question a situation in which workers would be willing to put their lives in danger by migrating to war zones.

Hanan is married to Saber al-Ghitany, an Egyptian laborer from Sohag who is currently trapped in Libya. She says she's praying for her husband's safe return, but has no idea when and how that might happen.

When asked why her husband traveled to Libya despite the government's repeated warnings against going to the strife-ridden country, Hanan chuckles at the question's naiveté.

"He has kids who are about to be married," she says. "He needed money to help them out, and he decided to spare them the pain of traveling themselves by chasing after any available jobs in Libya."

Caught in the crossfire

An estimated 200,000 Egyptian workers currently reside in Libya, a steep decline from the two million who reportedly used to work there before the 2011 uprising there that led to the end of Muammar Gaddafi's rule. The expats who stayed have found themselves caught in the crossfire between Libya's polarized militant factions.

After Monday's air raid on Libya, writer and analyst Mohamed Naeem wrote a post about the poor living conditions of Egyptian workers in Libya, and how this plays into the ISIS plans for war with Egypt.

Thousands of Egyptians have risked immigrating to Libya for work, most of them from Upper Egypt, where the dire economic situation "makes enduring the risks of working in Libya acceptable," Naeem asserted.

Despite the ongoing violence, Libya remains a place where "they can make good money in a short period of time," he claimed, which renders them a vulnerable target for Libyan factions.

"The Islamist militias and the Islamic State recognize this point of weakness. Calculating regional balances, they're forcing the Egyptian side to kneel by using these hostages, who are only there to earn a living, by producing images such as Sunday's beheading video," he added.

Limited means

But Egypt doesn't have the means to evacuate these workers, nor does it have the money or infrastructure to wage an open war against ISIS in Libya, Naeem said.

"This bargain cannot continue," he argued. "The solution lies in making strong attacks against the resources these militias rely on. Recent analysis showed that these groups … sell smuggled oil, and they bring in foreign workers to aid their mission."

Egypt's Foreign Ministry has intermittently tried to organize airlifts to evacuate Egyptian expats under threat, but has only reached a small percentage of that population. In July 2014, more than 15,000 Egyptians reportedly attempted to flee ongoing violence in Tripoli by storming the border with Tunisia. Despite ministry statements that Egypt would do everything it could to aid the migrants, the workers and their families issued several statements pleading for help.

At least 15 Egyptians were killed at the border crossing that summer. Media reports gave conflicting accounts of the circumstances around their deaths.

Responding to the crisis in August, the ministry organized flights out of the southern Tunisian city of Djerba. The flights brought a reported 1,170 Egyptians safely back home, but thousands more were left stranded at the border.

A longtime destination

The recent violence is unprecedented, but this immigration pattern is nothing new. Egyptians have sought better fortunes in Libya for at least half a century, researcher Sara Hamood explained in the research paper, "African transit migration through Libya to Europe: The human cost," published by the American University in Cairo in 2006.

"For over four decades, Libya has served as a destination for migrants seeking employment, usually for a limited period of time before returning home. In many cases, migrants would make repeated visits of varying duration to Libya to boost their annual income while maintaining their home in their country of origin," she said.

Historically, Egyptians were the single largest nationality present in Libya, working predominantly in agriculture and education.

Egyptians don't just flee to Libya for work. The country is also one of the main exit points for North African migrants attempting to flee to Europe, especially to Italy.

"Traveling by boat from Libya has now become one of the most important and hotly contested routes for entry into Europe by sea, with some 80,000 migrants estimated to reach Italy's southern islands and Malta each year from Libya and Tunisia," Hamood added.

Iraq had previously been the hub for Egyptian labor from all sectors. Some studies estimate that around three million Egyptian professionals worked in Iraq during the 1980s. But the Gulf War in 1991, followed by the U.S. economic embargo, drove most of those workers back to Egypt. The 2003 American invasion and subsequent widespread violence forced the remaining Egyptians to flee, and seek other places to work.

The risk of detention, torture, inhumane treatment and deportation also existed in Libya during Gaddafi's rule, but these dangers escalated severely after his fall in 2011. Sectarian violence in particular has significantly increased in the past two years, with dozens of Coptic Christians abducted and murdered by Islamist militias. Hundreds of Egyptian migrants have also been detained by Libyan authorities since 2011, many of them fishermen who crossed regional waters.

Just last weekend, 21 Egyptian fisherman disappeared in Libya, leading their families and rights groups to raise a red flag. Only on Monday did the Libyan authorities announce that the fishermen were detained by the government, and had not been kidnapped by militants as some media outlets had reported. According to a Libyan official, the fishermen will be released soon in coordination with the Egyptian Embassy in Tripoli.

But as Egypt-Libya relations grow more complex with the Egyptian military entering into the fray, the fate of the fishermen and the thousands of other Egyptian workers still trapped behind the borders only grows more uncertain.

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Society

Debt Trap: Why South Korean Economics Explains Squid Game

Crunching the numbers of South Korea's personal and household debt offers a glimpse into what drives the win-or-die plot of the Netflix hit produced in the Asian country.

In the Netflix series, losers of the game face death

Yip Wing Sum

-Analysis-

SEOUL — The South Korean series Squid Game has become the most viewed series on Netflix, watched by over 111 million viewers and counting. It has also generated a wave of debate online and off about its provocative message about contemporary life.

The plot follows the story of a desperate man in debt, who receives a mysterious invitation to play a game in which the contestants gamble their lives on six childhood games, with the winner awarded a prize of 45.6 billion won ($38 million)... while the losers face death.


It's a plot that many have noted is not quite as surreal as it sounds, a reflection of the reality of Korean society today mired in personal debt.

Seoul housing prices top London and New York

In the polished streets of downtown Seoul, one sees endless cards and coupons advertising loans scattered on the ground. Since the outbreak of the pandemic, as the demand for loans in South Korea has exploded, lax lending policies have led to a rapid increase in personal debt.

According to the South Korean Central Bank's "Monetary Credit Policy Report," household debt reached 105% of GDP in the first quarter of this year, equivalent to approximately $1.5 trillion at the end of March, with a major share tied up in home mortgages.

Average home loans are equivalent to 270% of annual income.

One reason behind the debts is the soaring housing prices. In Seoul, home to nearly half of the country's population, housing prices are now among the highest in the world. The price to income ratio (PIR), which weighs the average price of a home to the average annual household income, is 12.04 in Seoul, compared to 8.4 in San Francisco, 8.2 in London and 5.4 in New York.

According to the Korea Real Estate Commission, 42.1% of all home purchases in January 2021 were by young Koreans in their 20s and 30s. For those in their 30s, the average amount borrowed is equivalent to 270% of their annual income.

Playing the stock market

At the same time, the South Korean stock market is booming. The increased demand to buy stocks has led to an increase in other loans such as credit. The ratio for Korean shareholders conducting credit financing, i.e. borrowing from securities companies to secure stock holdings, had reached 21.4 trillion won ($17.7 billion), further increasing the indebtedness of households.

A 30-year-old Seoul office worker who bought stocks through various forms of borrowing was interviewed by Reuters this year, and said he was "very foolish not to take advantage of the rebound."

In addition to his 100 million won ($84,000) overdraft account, he also took out a 100 million won loan against his house in Seoul, and a 50 million won stock pledge. All of these demands on the stock market have further exacerbated the problem of household debt.

42.1% of all home purchases in January 2021 were by young Koreans in their 20s and 30s

Simon Shin/SOPA Images/ZUMA

Game of survival

In response to the accumulating financial risks, the Bank of Korea has restricted the release of loans and has announced its first interest rate hike in three years at the end of August.

But experts believe that even if banks cut loans or raise interest rates, those who need money will look for other ways to borrow, often turning to more costly institutions and mechanisms.

This all risks leading to what one can call a "debt trap," one loan piling on top of another. That brings us back to the plot of Squid Game, "Either you live or I do." South Korean society has turned into a game of survival.

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