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Egypt

In Egypt, So Much At Stake - And So Much Going Wrong

Protests in Tahrir square
Protests in Tahrir square
Frédéric Koller

-OpEd-

CAIRO As Egypt sinks deeper into crisis, the main political parties, which are fighting for power, are now starting to talk about a “national dialogue.” If they are unable to reach an agreement, the army might have to step in.

When he confused the democratic ideals of the Egyptian revolution with the political aspirations of the Muslim Brotherhood, Mohammed Morsi led his country into a dangerous impasse. Egypt, which has never been as divided, is falling apart.

Financially, the outlook for this almost bankrupt country does not look good – hotels are empty and the Suez Canal is being targeted by rioters.

For the past two years, Egypt has been stuck in a three-cornered fight between Islamists (who won the elections), liberals (who can’t seem to get their act together), and the army (who has taken a step back since last summer). This has turned, in recent days, into a complete mess. The political parties have been overtaken in the street by new, violent and uncontrollable players. The Black Bloc anarchists are now going head to head with Islamic “white militias,” who are drumming up support Facebook.

The state of emergency declared by President Morsi in several cities has only added fuel to fire. Morsi’s authoritarianism is pushing his country to the brink of collapse. He his not only criticized by the opposition, the critics now from within the government too – from Minister of Defense and Head of Armed Forces Abdel Fattah al-Sissi, known for his allegiance to the Muslim Brotherhood.

Has the time come for a compromise? The Egyptian elite – who are sinking with the ship – have probably realized that the only thing that can save Egypt is a Hail Mary, in the form of a national dialogue. In the past 48 hours, the atmosphere has changed radically. The left wing opposition is now saying it is ready to negotiate with the president. As for Morsi, he declared himself ready to amend the controversial Constitution he has just pushed through forcibly. Even the Salafist Nour party is pleading for a “national reconciliation.”

But the problem hasn’t been solved yet. For the opposition coalition, only opposition leader Mohamed ElBaradei or opposition spokesman Amr Moussa would would be habilitated to lead a national union government, because of their diplomatic pasts. No one knows if Mohamed Morsi – who has acquired a taste for power – will accept such an important concession. If the parties are not able to reach an agreement, the army will have to step in. It is not known though, if this would be with, or against, the Muslim Brotherhood.

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Geopolitics

Senegal's Democratic Unrest And The Ghosts Of French Colonialism

The violence that erupted following the sentencing of opposition politician Ousmane Sonko to two years in prison left 16 people dead and 500 arrested. This reveals deep fractures in Senegalese democracy that has traces to France's colonial past.

Image of Senegalese ​Protesters celebrating Sonko being set free by the court, March 2021

Protesters celebrate Sonko being set free by the court, March 2021

Pierre Haski

-Analysis-

PARIS — For a long time, Senegal had the glowing image of one of Africa's rare democracies. The reality was more complicated than that, even in the days of the poet-president Léopold Sedar Senghor, who also had his dark side.

But for years, the country has been moving down what Senegalese intellectual Felwine Sarr describes as the "gentle slope of... the weakening and corrosion of the gains of Senegalese democracy."

This has been demonstrated once again over the last few days, with a wave of violence that has left 16 people dead, 500 arrested, the internet censored, and a tense situation with troubling consequences. The trigger? The sentencing last Thursday of opposition politician Ousmane Sonko to two years in prison, which could exclude him from the 2024 presidential elections.

Young people took to the streets when the verdict was announced, accusing the justice system of having become a political tool. Ousmane Sonko had been accused of rape but was convicted of "corruption of youth," a change that rendered the decision incomprehensible.

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