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Venezuela

Does Venezuela’s Chávez Finally Have A Real Challenger?

A ruling by the Inter-American Human Rights Court has the potential of galvanizing support behind Leopoldo López, a 40-year-old opposition leader who is looking to run against Chávez in Venezuela’s 2012 presidential election.

Venezuelan opposition leader Leopoldo López (Wikpedia)
Venezuelan opposition leader Leopoldo López (Wikpedia)


EYES INSIDE
LATIN AMERICA

Legal and political eyes across the Americas are turned to Venezuela, where President Hugo Chávez must decide whether to respect a decision by the Inter-American Human Rights Court (CIDH) and allow a major opposition figure to run against him next year.

The CIDH ruled last Friday that the Chávez government violated the political rights of a top presidential contender – Leopoldo López – when it prevented him from holding office two years ago. The Costa Rica-based court ordered Venezuela's electoral council (CNE) not to block any efforts by López should he want to run in future elections.

The Venezuelan opposition is celebrating the ruling as an unprecedented legal victory. Venezuela's Supreme Court will have the final say-so because "we are a free and sovereign nation," Foreign Minister Nicolás Maduro said.

López, 40, a former mayor of the wealthy Caracas suburb of Chacao, was barred from holding office after the country's comptroller released a report alleging a host of allegedly irregularities. López, one of Chávez's outspoken critics, said the government was trying to frame him to prevent him from running for president. He has never been put on trial.

Chávez has given no indication whether he will obey the ruling. On Saturday, he accused the court of siding with the coup plotters who tried to overthrow him in April 2002, El Universal reported.

"To me, that court is worth nothing. For the political left it's nothing," he said during a meeting with Bolivian President Evo Morales, who was in Caracas. "My haircut is worth more to me than that court," he added in reference to his now almost bald scalp. Chávez is currently ongoing chemotherapy treatments for cancer.

López fired back. "Chávez is afraid of me," he told noted journalist Roberto Giusti. "If he doesn't allow me to run it shows just how afraid his government is."

CNE president Socorro Hernández said it was absurd for López to argue that the government had trampled on his rights "when he has been appearing every day in the media." She added that it is not up to the CNE to decide whether López can run. That decision will instead be made by the Supreme Court or the Comptroller's Office, she explained in a radio interview.

Reaction to the CIDH ruling was divided along official lines in Venezuela. Some legal experts say Venezuela's constitution obliges it to obey international rulings. Not adhering to the court's ruling would also mean "disenfranchising" a large section of voters, said Gustavo Briceño Vivas, president of the Venezuelan chapter of the Latin American Ombudsman Institute.

López's Voluntad Popular party will officially proclaim his candidacy for next year's race on Saturday at a mass gathering in Caracas. If he is allowed to run, he will still have to square off against other opposition contenders in February. The winner will face Chávez at the ballot box in October 2012. Except for two days in April 2001, when Chávez was temporarily toppled in a coup, he has held Venezuela's presidency since 1999.

-Martin Delfín
Worldcrunch

Photo - Wikipedia

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Geopolitics

How Ukraine Keeps Getting The West To Flip On Arms Supplies

The open debate on weapon deliveries to Ukraine is highly unusual, but Kyiv has figured out how to use the public moral suasion — and patience — to repeatedly shift the question in its favor. But will it work now for fighter jets?

Photo of a sunset over the USS Nimitz with a man guiding fighter jets ready for takeoff

U.S fighter jets ready for takeoff on the USS Nimitz

Pierre Haski

-Analysis-

PARIS — In what other war have arms deliveries been negotiated so openly in the public sphere?

On Monday, a journalist asked Joe Biden if he plans on supplying F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine. He answered “No”. A few hours later, the same question was asked to Emmanuel Macron, about French fighter jets. Macron did not rule it out.

Stay up-to-date with the latest on the Russia-Ukraine war, with our exclusive international coverage.

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Visiting Paris on Tuesday, Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksïï Reznikov recalled that a year ago, the United States had refused him ground-air Stinger missiles deliveries. Eleven months later, Washington is delivering heavy tanks, in addition to everything else. The 'no' of yesterday is the green light of tomorrow: this is the lesson that the very pragmatic minister seemed to learn.

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