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Ideas

Polexit Is Path To Dictatorship, A Cry To Keep Poland Free

EU membership is not in line with Poland’s values, say the current ruling party. Will that mean Poland’s Exit (Polexit) from the European Union? Everything is riding on where the long-serving conservative government of PiS leader Jarosław Kaczyński will do as they run counter to popular opinion on the EU question.

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In The News

Germany Weighs Coalition Of Conservatives And Greens

Austria’s conservative-green coalition, though currently facing a crisis linked to corruption allegations, has been cited as a possible model for Germany’s current post-election talks to form a new government. Could there be a logic to pairing the center-right CDU and the Greens in Berlin?

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In The News

Latin American Pariah, The Cost Of Brazil’s Isolationism

By turning its back on regional integration, the conservative government of Jair Bolsonaro is putting ideology above the country’s long-term economic and political interests.

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In The News

How Mexico Can Exploit The U.S.-China Showdown

If Mexico could forge a clear vision of its business interests, the showdown between the United States and China would present it with some major trading and strategic opportunities.

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Geopolitics

Iran-Azerbaijan Tensions: How Khamenei Overplayed Islamic Ties

Azerbaijan’s flourishing ties with Turkey and Israel threaten Iran’s regional trade and strategic security after Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei overestimated his ability to woo Azerbaijan leader, Ilham Aliev, because both nations are predominantly Shia Muslim.

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In The News

Post-Merkel, Macron And Draghi Will Try To Ease Europe’s Debt Rules

Coalition negotiations in Berlin will make for a period of political uncertainty that French President Emmanuel Macron is keen to exploit. He already has a new Italian partner, with whom he wants to steer the EU in a new direction.

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Society

Why Chinese Cities Waste Millions On Vanity Building Projects

The so-called “White Elephants,” or massive building projects that go unused, keep going up across China as local officials mix vanity and a misdirected attempt to attract business and tourists. A perfect example the 58-meter, $230 million statue of Guan Yu, a beloved military figure from the Third Century, that nobody seems interested in visiting.

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Geopolitics

As Hopes For Iran Nuclear Deal Fade, Uranium Enrichment Accelerates

Institute for Science and International Security concludes that Iran is enriching uranium at a 60% level, with new centrifuges meaning that Tehran is a month away from obtaining arms-grade material to move toward its first weapon.

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In The News

Afghan Refugee Crisis: Why Merkel Closed Her Open Border

The Syrian refugee crisis in 2015 ignited a bitter rivalry between Germany’s Angela Merkel and Austria’s Sebastian Kurz. Merkel was in favor of a “culture of welcome,” while Kurz argued for border protection. But with the current Afghan refugee crisis, the German leader is shifting course.

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Geopolitics Society

In #MeToo Times, Cuomo Saga Shows Abusers Still Hold Sway

Putting New York Governor Cuomo’s delayed departure in light of the #MeToo movement.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Tunisia, Where The Arab Spring Blossomed And Democracy Now Withers

North Africa correspondent Frédéric Bobin analyzes Tunisian President Kais Saied’s recent decision to suspend parliament and sack Prime Minister Mechichi and what it means for the legacy of the Arab Spring — for Tunisia and for the region.

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Geopolitics

Playing Politics With The Vaccine, Risks At Home And Abroad

From the viewpoint of an economist specializing in social protection issues, France’s move toward vaccination mandates comes with major risks.

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In The News

Online Anonymity: Between Fear And Political Power

CAIRO — I’ve been thinking lately about my relationship with anonymity, and the way my understanding of it — which used to be somewhat one-sided — has been evolving, both in personal writing and in political work. In a polarized environment, we become trapped in a reactive position, especially as some of the approaches adopted […]

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Geopolitics Ideas

West Bank To Kashmir: Why Modi Sees Israel As A Guide For India

Aspects of discredited Israeli policies are being imitated in a country half a continent away.

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In The News

Meet Benjamina Karic, Sarajevo’s New Millennial Mayor

The very first memories of the 30-year-old mayor is when the capital of Bosnia-Herzegovina was under siege. But now it’s also time to move on.

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Geopolitics

And The Oscar Goes To … Vladimir Putin

In a recent government meeting, the Russian strongman once again showed off his trademark flare for political theater, promising, among other things, to leave his foreign foes toothless.

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Geopolitics

The Key To Reelection For Bolsonaro? Lula’s Arrogance

Fears of an economic slump under another leftist government led by an ‘unrepentant’ Lula da Silva may prompt Brazilians to reelect authoritarian President Jair Bolsonaro for a second term next year.

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In The News

Strait Talk: China Invading Taiwan Is Mostly Just A Matter Of Time

Though Beijing is not likely to launch any overt operation right away, experts predict it’s most likely to try to force Taiwan’s reunification between 2025 and 2030. This would almost certainly prompt a U.S. response.

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Ideas LGBTQ Plus Society

Why Italy Is So Slow In Protecting LGBTQ From Violence

Proposed Italian legislation to punish public acts of homophobia continues to be blocked by both the Catholic Church and right-wing politicians. But the country’s most popular rapper has entered the debate.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Annalena Baerbock: Germany’s Greens Are Grown Up — And Dangerous

The Green party is in a very strong position as the campaign begins to succeed Angela Merkel. Their environmental ideals mask an illiberal intolerance for their opponents.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Tehran And That Other Superpower: China Aims At Iran’s Economy

While most of the attention around Iran is related to its nuclear program, an open ended deal may give China the legal foundations it needs to take a controlling stake in Iran’s economy, and in time, undermine its independence.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

To Fix The Border, Biden Needs To Look Beyond It

Rather than ratchet up spending on America’s already bloated military, the U.S. president should take a broader view of national security and help develop economies elsewhere.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Minsk Or Normandy? Russia Prefers Impasse With Ukraine Instead

In order to circumvent French and German mediation, the Kremlin is leaking secrets to the press as a defacto policy of stalling in its seven-year-long conflict with Ukraine.

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In The News

Dumbing Down Of Diplomatic Language Hides Deeper Conflicts

The usually hushed words of international diplomats is a reflection of our real-time communication age, but also of rising tensions on an unsettled geopolitical chessboard.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Making Sense Of The Radical Right’s Rise In Latin America

Across the region, hard-line conservatives use residual fears of communism and uproar over changing cultural mores to drum up support.

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Geopolitics Ideas

A Year For COVID: Why Our Political Leaders Were Bound To Fail

Up against a microscopic virus, the world’s leaders have failed myriad different ways to do what was necessary to beat the pandemic. Was another fate possible?

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Ideas Society

Cairo Is Urban Trauma, Postcard From A City Planner

This dearth of urban planning in the Egyptian capital dates back half a century. But it reached a new peak starting in 2019, when one of its last livable districts saw its old ways demolished.

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Eyes on the U.S. Geopolitics

Waiting For Biden To Take a Stand On Iran

The Biden administration’s ‘contradictory’ positions on Iran’s nuclear dossier are making the West’s allies, Israel and Saudi Arabia, increasingly nervous, Ahmad Ra’fat writes in Kayhan London.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Mario Draghi As Savior: Broken Democracy, Italian-Style

Of Italy’s 58 prime ministers since World War II, you probably don’t remember the name Lamberto Dini. He took office on Jan. 13, 1995, several months after uncertain general election results, as the country grappled with an ongoing corruption scandal and billionaire businessman Silvio Berlusconi“s recent entry into politics. The Italian establishment had turned to […]

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In The News

In Ukraine, The Zelensky Revolution Crashes Into Reality

The head of state, a political outsider who had promised to fight corruption, must contend with the powerful oligarchs in his own entourage at the risk of disappointing his voters.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

The Fragility Of American Democracy Is Nothing New

For many people, the lesson from the assault on the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 – and more broadly from the experience of the last four years – is that American democracy has become newly and dangerously fragile. That conclusion is overstated. In fact, American democracy has always been fragile. And it might be more precise to diagnose the United States as a fragile union rather than a fragile democracy. As President Joe Biden said in his inaugural address, national unity is “that most elusive of things.” Certainly, faith in American democracy has been battered over the last year. […]

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Geopolitics Ideas

A Year After Killing Of Iranian General: Revenge Or Weakness?

The Iranian regime’s plans to be the power broker in three Middle Eastern states have withered since the United States killed its key regional operative Qasem Soleimani.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Rights v. Security: Europe’s Inner Battle Against Terrorism

The Schengen Area is not a “sieve” that lets migrants in but, as recent events have shown, it is not a fortress either. The fundamental rights of individuals will always prevail over security requirements.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas

Joe Biden’s Real Challenge: Moving Beyond Anti-Trumpism

President-elect Joe Biden’s ample support base is fluid and can melt away, if his administration ignores the social and political grievances that led millions to vote for Donald Trump.

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Ideas Society

‘Cancel Culture’ In India Looks Like Old-Fashioned Bigotry

Hindu nationalist groups want to force the cancellation of Netflix shows that celebrate inter-religious romance with Muslims — it’s both censorship and ethnic prejudice.

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Eyes on the U.S. Ideas Trump And The World U.S. Election 2020 - Views From Abroad

The Months That Will Turn Joe Into President Biden

For all his experience in government, Biden is entering unfamiliar territory. Trump, barking at the president-elect’s heels and challenging his legitimacy, will try to make the transition harder still.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Brexit Deadline: Time For The EU To Call Boris Johnson’s Bluff

London is using the fishing issue in hopes of breaking the EU’s united front.

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Geopolitics

Bolsonaro And Trump: The Limits Of Their Parallel Journey

Brazilian local elections can be fun to watch. Candidates come from every walk of life, and are notably allowed to use nicknames on the campaign trail — and there have been some true gems over the years: a loud man with thick sideburns and bushy hair campaigned as “Geraldo Wolverine”; an elderly man in army […]

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In The News

The Beauty And Brutality Of Occupied Hebron

Also known as al-Khalil — the friend — the historic, contested city is steeped in enmity and overshadowed by Israel’s commanding military presence.

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Ideas U.S. Election 2020 - Views From Abroad

After Beating Trump, Biden Will Then Have To Beat Trumpism

Trump’s legacy will be profound: his impact as an unconventional politician, the way he turned the Republican Party upside down, the extreme polarization it’s brought to American society. Biden’s hardest work is ahead

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