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In The News

Power And Fear, Making Sense Of The Russian State Of Mind

-Analysis- During his presidential campaign, Donald Trump had promised to improve U.S. relations with Russia. His supporters said it was just the kind of bold move the world needed as escalating hostilities between the two nations stood in the way of solving major global issues from Syria to cybersecurity. Trump’s opponents, to this day, see […]

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In The News

Why Saudis Swapped Crown Prince: It’s The Economy, Stupid

The latest big news out of the Middle East is that Saudi Arabian King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud has ousted the crown prince and installed his 31-year-old son, Mohammed bin Salman, in that position. While the world waits to see more of the reaction from Saudis and others in the region, a few quick thoughts come to my mind. First, the news feels stunning because of its significance; if MbS (as the new crown prince is known) becomes king, he will be the first monarch who is not a son of King Abdulaziz al Saud, the founder of Saudi […]

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In The News

Protectionism, A False Promise For France’s Future

In France’s presidential campaign, like last year’s race in the United States, protectionism is being used to woo the struggling working class. But workers would be its first victims.

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In The News

Why Brexit May Not Be So Bad After All

As British Prime Minister Theresa May starts the clock on Britain’s departure from the European Union, there’s no real question that the divorce is going to hurt both parties — and Britain, to be sure, much more than the EU. But this isn’t to say there’s no upside. The right kind of deal will recognize these opportunities and try to make the most of them. This whole misadventure began with historic errors of judgment — former Prime Minister David Cameron’s decision to call a referendum on U.K. membership, and Europe’s decision to deny him significant concessions in the talks that […]

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In The News

Hedge Funds v. Silicon Valley, The Battle For Quant Talent

Talent is distributed around the globe, opportunity is not. Visit to a finance-sponsored ‘datathon’ to find the next generation of quantative wizards.

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In The News

Carnaval And Crisis Side-By-Side On Brazilian Front Page

Rio de Janeiro-based O Globo daily’s front page offered a snapshot of the contrasts of today’s Brazil. While top story reported on a troubling new unemployment trend, as an estimated 2.3 million of the country’s jobless now take at least two years to find work, the newspaper also featured a centerpiece photograph of the flurry […]

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In The News

Another Grandma On A Bike? Why It’s Hard To Market To Seniors

The over-50 age group holds enormous purchasing power, yet advertising aimed at older people often looks like cartoons of semi-active people happily going to the pharmacy. What can be done?

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Food / Travel Geopolitics

New Rail ‘Silk Road’ Feeds China’s Love For European Goods

CHONGQING — Every day since 2014, a train leaves from the western German city of Duisburg. It winds its way across Europe and Asia to finally reach Chongqing, a megalopolis of 28 million inhabitants in southwestern China. Huge cranes there extract gigantic matchbox-like containers from the train. BMW cars made in Germany are taken from […]

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Geopolitics True Fiction Trump And The World

True Fiction: When President Trump Meets President Macron

It’s October 2017. The spring’s French presidential elections had been won by a fresh-faced ‘Anti-Trump.’ Now it’s time for the two men to meet.

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In The News

Put All Doubts To Rest, China Is Betting On The Free Market

Xi Jinping’s calls in Davos to protect free trade are not a jab at Donald Trump, but in keeping with China’s march toward a market-led consumer society.

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Economy Ideas

World Economy 2017 Forecast: Lost In The (Bretton) Woods

-Analysis- PARIS — Last year was full of surprises across the world: a spike of protectionist fever in the United States at the instigation of Donald Trump, an anti-globalization wave of populism in developed countries bogged down by mass unemployment, Britain’s planned exit for from the European Union, worries about a widening inequality gap, migration […]

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In The News

Spotlight: Happy Birthday Kim Jong-Un!?

Kim Jong-un will be celebrating his 33rd birthday this Sunday. Wishes and presents are usually in order on this type of occasion, but it’s difficult to see any desire the North Korean dictator hasn’t already seen fulfilled in his five years in power. For starters, the cult of personality has never been bigger in North […]

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In The News

Latin America Will Need China’s Help To Survive Trump

Trade with Asia will be all the more important for Latin American countries once President Obama leaves office.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Gambling In Japan, A Measure Of Shinzo Abe’s Staying Power

-OpEd- TOKYO — On Dec. 2, Japan’s lawmakers voted for a bill that permits casinos. The aim of the legislation was to boost tourism and revitalize the economy. Gambling has been strictly prohibited in Japan ever since Empress Jito in the Seventh Century banned playing games for money. Japanese envoys learned gambling from China. They […]

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Economy Ideas

What’s Really Behind Venezuela’s Vanishing Banknotes

Venezuela is not running out of banknotes due to criminal or speculative hoarding.

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In The News

Spotlight: India’s Big Bet On New Banknotes

India’s startling announcement last month to swap out most banknotes in circulation — possibly the biggest currency change in decades anywhere in the world — went largely unnoticed outside the country. It was Nov. 8 and most people were captivated by a little election taking place on the other side of the planet. But the […]

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In The News

Oil Deal Marks New Era For OPEC

Oil prices surged today to $50 per barrel, after OPEC and Russia reached what the oil producing cartel described as “a historic agreement” in Vienna. Under the deal, their output will be reduced by 1.2 million barrels per day starting in January, the first time since 2008 that OPEC nations have agreed to cut production. […]

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In The News

Why Black Friday Makes No Sense In Britain

Neither Thanksgiving nor the Friday after is a day off for British workers-shoppers. But there are even more reasons that the imported retail ritual is pointless.

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Geopolitics Ideas Trump And The World

Trump Victory: We’ll Never Talk About Globalization The Same Way Again

-OpEd- They said he could never win. At best, Donald Trump was seen as a voice for a growing number of desperate Americans. Trump was a symptom of the political and cultural misery of the working classes in the United States — the empire of our time. His strongest critics portrayed him as a monstrous, […]

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In The News

China, From Shrinking Exports To Currency Devaluation

-Analysis- BEIJING — The numbers are decidely mixed. Year-on-year, China’s exports fell in September by 10%, which was a 0.5% further drop over August. Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Statistics showed that third-quarter Chinese GDP growth steadied to a solid 6.7%. But putting aside the short-term trend lines, the longer-term outlook shows alarming signs of […]

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Economy Geopolitics Ideas

No, The West Is Not In Decline

Europe, the United States and other parts of the so-called West may not be booming, but they’re not about to be superseded either. Quite the contrary, in fact.

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Economy Geopolitics Ideas

Why Energy-Rich Bolivia Is Mired In Economic Crisis

Like other Latin American countries, Bolivia has squandered commodity revenue and failed to make the hard reforms necessary to bolster the economy for the long haul.

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Economy Ideas Society

Globalization And Wealth Inequality, The German Counter-Case

There are various reasons the wage and wealth gap is growing, but in Europe’s strongest economy it makes no sense to blame the global marketplace.

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Society

Can Beauty Save The World? The Rise Of “Creative Cities”

Both city officials and business leaders take note of where artsy types, LGBT and creative young people move to live, as these are the new “influencers” who can give the decisive spark to cities.

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Economy Ideas

Cuba Embraces Free Market, China-Style

Whatever the hopes for Cuba, the country’s regime seems keen to follow the profit model for the economy to shore up its political grip. Just like China and Russia.

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Economy

Can Latin America’s Economy Rebound? Keep An Eye On Brazil

Capital flows back into Latin America suggest Brazil’s economic free fall may have stopped.

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Economy

Why The Internet Giants Can’t Crack The Chinese Market

No, it’s mostly not about censorship …

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Geopolitics Society

The Olympics May Just Be The Only Thing That Works In Brazil

Rio de Janeiro may have pulled off its Olympic feat, but Brazil’s everyday problems remain unaddressed.

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blog

One Week Before The Olympics

Correio Braziliense, July 29th Friday’s edition of the Correio Braziliense daily features images of final preparations for the Rio de Janeiro Summer Olympics, which are now just one week away. As the Games near, concerns about security and logistics are rising. The country is still reeling from a series of political and economic crises, and […]

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Society

Why China’s Middle Class Is Suddenly Being Squeezed

BEIJING — Chinese people watching American television series are exposed to an enviable image of an average middle class American family. Bound for a leafy neighborhood in the suburbs, a Chevrolet leaves the bustling city and rolls into the driveway of a wooden home on a quiet street. Two or three kids are playing on […]

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Society

In China, Where 15 Million Graduates Face Poor Job Prospects

BEIJING — China established a policy for increasing university enrollment in 1999 in order to boost the economy and spur employment. By 2002, some 1.45 million students were graduating each year in China. This June, 7.65 million got their college diploma, yet another record high. The growing number of college-educated people is good news for […]

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Economy Future Society

Digital Totalitarianism: How Big Data Is Killing Free Will

Humans are being degraded to the status of objects of an algorithm-based evaluation to be sold on the market. This exploitative form of “hypercapitalism” must quickly be reversed.

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Geopolitics

After Brexit, Europe’s Elite May Now Opt For Germany

Germany and Britain have always competed for top European talents. Now, Europe’s best and brightest may see the UK as too complicated. One of many potential positive side effects of Brexit.

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Geopolitics Ideas

Brexit Would Leave Germany Stranded Against Freeloading South

If the UK leaves the European Union, the members of the free market camp in the EU would be severely outnumbered.

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Economy Geopolitics

A Roadmap For Future Chinese Energy Investments In Africa

BEIJING — China has received a string of recent visits from African government and business officials, including Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari, in April, and Mozambican President Filipe Nyusi, who came in May accompanied by officials from his national petroleum company. The president of the Algerian national oil company also made a trip to China of […]

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Economy Society

These Brazilian Companies Were Ruined By The 2014 World Cup

SÃO PAULO — Daniel Okamoto has bad memories of the 2014 World Cup, but not because of Brazil’s historical and humiliating 7-1 defeat to Germany. “My company went virtually bankrupt because of the World Cup,” the businessman says. The firm, Dahouse Events, won a modest bid for a 300,000-real contract ($83,000) to make costumes for […]

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blog

Xi Jinping, A Stars-And-Stripes Front Page In China

Renmin Ribao, June 7, 2016 Tuesday’s front page of the Chinese state-run daily Renmin Ribao features President Xi Jinping in front of American and Chinese flags as he spoke at China-U.S. bilateral talks in Beijing. The 8th round of China-U.S. Strategic and Economic Development and the 7th round of China-U.S. Cultural Exchanges and High Level […]

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Future Ideas

China’s Robot Industry And The Trap Of State Subsidies

-Analysis- BEIJING — An in-depth report recently published by this newspaper, titled Robot Industry Development, Great Leap Forward-Style depicted the sector’s troubling situation in China. The article, needless to say, triggered plenty of discussion. According to Caixin’s investigative data, China currently has as many as 800 robot enterprises, although this statistic already excludes those which […]

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Economy Smarter Cities

Seoul Aims To Be World Capital Of The Sharing Economy

For the last several years, South Korea’s capital has made the sharing economy a priority, funding a citywide initiative that has enabled dozens of startups to emerge. But they are still struggling to export.

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Food / Travel Geopolitics

Terrorism And Tourism: Red Alerts On World Tourism Map

A heat map from French tourism professionals, forced to rethink where to send eager would-be globetrotters in the face of new and old security threats.

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