Geopolitics

What Will Define The 25 Years Since The Berlin Wall Fell

Remains of the past, looking toward the future
Remains of the past, looking toward the future
Dominique Moïsi

-OpEd-

PARIS — As Germany celebrates the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall on Sunday, we mark the passage of time. Historically speaking, time is a variable. Much can happen in a quarter century, or very little.

Twenty-five years was how long military service used to last for peasants in Tsarist Russia. In France, it's the number of years between the 1789 fall of the Bastille and the first return of the Bourbons in 1814. It's also the time between the beginning of the World War I in 1914 and the beginning of the World War II in 1939. But 25 years is also what separates 1815 from 1840. The rise of romanticism, of course, but also a chance for Europe to catch its breath after the shocks of the French Revolution and the First French Empire.

Historians often say that the 20th century started with World War I and ended with the fall of the Berlin Wall. Now, as Germany commemorates the fall of the Wall with noticeable discretion — in stark contrast with the 20th anniversary celebrations — how could we sum up the last quarter century?

We could quote Balzac and talk of "lost illusions." We could say that we have entered the "end of the end of history" to mock, in a cruel but justified way, the premature triumphalism of Francis Fukuyama. We could, like others, sadly define the past 25 years as an "interwar period" between the end of the Cold War and a new form of "fresh war" unfolding before our eyes in the Middle East, in Africa, Eastern Europe, and perhaps tomorrow in the China Sea.

The problem in this quest for denomination, and thus for meaning, lies in knowing whether to use as a starting point the beginning or the end of this period. France's Belle Époque (The Beautiful Era) was only later defined as the years that preceded World War I.

Should Ebola become the first great pandemic since the 1918 flu — which thankfully doesn't seem very likely — the past years would be defined as those that preceded the "great global health crisis."

In reality, and in a less apocalyptic way, if we had to keep two expressions to describe the last 25 years, I would rather speak of the "time of fragmentation," on the one hand, or highlight the "end of the American century," on the other. They are two ways to say the same thing, the second helping to explain the first.

Germany's rise amid global chaos

In hindsight, the best bits of news since the fall of the Berlin Wall don't come from the world's evolution. No, it kept breaking up further, from the USSR and the Balkans to, these days, the Middle East.

A wall in Cairo dedicated to "martyrs of the Revolution." Photo: Gigi Ibrahim

Amid global turmoil, borders have lost some of their intangibility. We used to resign ourselves to their artificiality to prevent their redrawing from translating into bloodshed. That is no longer the case. The convergence of empires on the decline and failed states explains most of this dangerous evolution. Everything is happening as if the multiplication of territorial entities should respond to the world's demographic explosion.

On the other hand, the bits of good news since the fall of the Berlin Wall — because there are some — come mostly from the evolution of Germany itself. Let's put aside the frightened caricatures of the early 1990s that portrayed then-Chancellor Helmut Kohl under Bismarck's spiked helmet. Let's move past today's economic disputes, which might one day seem rather ridiculous and of marginal importance. The essential is elsewhere.

Germany's reunification is a success, and the country now looks like a pillar of stability in the middle of a Europe that is otherwise undergoing a self-confidence problem. Until now, the meeting of responsible political leaders, from Helmut Kohl and Angela Merkel to Gerhard Schröder, and a people ready to first make sacrifices and then reforms has been a miracle.

But Germany's unquestionable success has not been enough to take the continent that is more and more marred by doubt to a higher level. It's a strange defeat that comes after a victory, which — it's true — was perhaps more of a triumph by default. The democratic world didn't win against the USSR in 1989. It's the totalitarian world that collapsed, a victim of its own contradictions and, as current Chinese and Russian leaders would say, of Mikhail Gorbachev's suicidal naivety.

It's also a strange victory, that of an America that wasted strategically and politically, if not economically, its unique advantages. It did it systematically, from Bill Clinton's failed chances to Barack Obama's shameful hesitations, not to mention George W. Bush's ideological drifts.

On a geopolitical level, will the last quarter century be remembered as the "the passing of the torch" between an exhausted and replete Western world and an emerging one that is hungry for success? Another 25 years, and we will certainly have the answer to that question.

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Ideas

Saving The Planet Is Really A Question Of Dopamine

Our carelessness toward the environment could be due, in part, to the functioning of a very primitive area of our brain: the striatum.

Ad scuba-diver and brain coral

Stefano Lupieri

PARIS — Almost every week, a new scientific study alerts us to the degradation of the environment. And yet, we continue not to change anything fundamental in our systems of production and habits of consumption. Are we all suffering from blindness, or poisoned by denial?

In his popular books Le Bug humain (The Human Bug) and Où est le sens? (Where is the Sense?), Sébastien Bohler, a journalist in neuroscience and psychology, provides a much more rational explanation: The mechanism responsible for our propensity to destroy our natural environment is in fact a small, very deep and very primitive structure of our brain called the striatum.


This regulator of human motivation seems to have been programmed to favor behaviors that ensure the survival of the species.

Addictions to sex and social media

Since the dawn of humanity, gathering information about our environment, feeding ourselves, ensuring the transmission of our genes through sexual intercourse and asserting our social status have all been rewarded with a shot of dopamine, the 'pleasure hormone.'

Nothing has changed since then; except that, in our society of excess, there is no limit to the satisfaction of these needs. This leads to the overconsumption of food and addictions to everything from sex to social media — which together account for much of the world's destructive agricultural and energy practices.

No matter how much we realize that this is leading to our downfall, we can't help but relapse because we are prisoners of the dopamine pump in the striatum, which cannot be switched off.

Transverse section of striatum from a structural MRI image

Lindsay Hanford and Geoff B Hall via Wikipedia

Tweaking genetics 

According to Bohler, the only way out is to encourage the emergence of new values of sobriety, altruism and slowness. If adopted, these more sustainable notions could be recognized by the striatum as new sources of dopamine reward. But there's the challenge of promoting inspiring stories that infuse them with value.

Take the photo-collage exhibition "J'agis ici... et je m'y colle" ("I'm taking action here... and I'm sticking to it"), a collection of life-size portraits of residents committed to the energy transition, displayed on the walls of the French coastal city of La Rochelle.

Backed by the French National Center for Street Arts, photographer Martin Charpentier may be employing artistic techniques, but he's also tinkering with neuroscience in the process.

Les Echos
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