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Migrant Lives

What's Driving More Venezuelans To Migrate To The U.S.

With dimmed hopes of a transition from the economic crisis and repressive regime of Nicolas Maduro, many Venezuelans increasingly see the United States, rather than Latin America, as the place to rebuild a life.

Photo of a family of Migrants from Venezuela crossing the Rio Grande between Mexico and the U.S. to surrender to the border patrol with the intention of requesting humanitarian asylum​

Migrants from Venezuela crossed the Rio Grande between Mexico and the U.S. to surrender to the border patrol with the intention of requesting humanitarian asylum.

Julio Borges

-Analysis-

Migration has too many elements to count. Beyond the matter of leaving your homeland, the process creates a gaping emptiness inside the migrant — and outside, in their lives. If forced upon someone, it can cause psychological and anthropological harm, as it involves the destruction of roots. That's in fact the case of millions of Venezuelans who have left their country without plans for the future or pleasurable intentions.

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Their experience is comparable to paddling desperately in shark-infested waters. As many Mexicans will concur, it is one thing to take a plane, and another to pay a coyote to smuggle you to some place "safe."

Venezuela's mass emigration of recent years has evolved in time. Initially, it was the middle and upper classes and especially their youth, migrating to escape the socialist regime's socio-political and economic policies. Evidently, they sought countries with better work, study and business opportunities like the United States, Panama or Spain. The process intensified after 2017 when the regime's erosion of democratic structures and unrelenting economic vandalism were harming all Venezuelans.


That is when we began seeing the poor rushing Venezuela's frontiers and migrant numbers ballooning to 7 million. Ours became the world's second biggest exodus. In that phase migrants headed mainly for regional states like Colombia, Peru, Chile, Argentina and Ecuador. These were closer, but far enough from President Nicolás Maduro.

The meaning of "getting sorted"

After 2021, motivated by changes in Latin America and a pandemic-induced recession, they began considering the United States as the only option that could yield a dignified life. Thousands of Venezuelans have risked their lives since, wading through the Darien Gap as a first, harrowing leg of a long journey to the United States. The challenges of this route often are simply unsurmountable, and meant for the truly desperate. Yet Panama's migration office believes more than 250,000 Venezuelans have crossed the Gap in the past two years and in 2022, made up six of every 10 people heading north this way.

The country is supposedly on the cusp of a rebirth.

This intensification of U.S.-bound migration means Venezuela is a long way from recovering or "getting sorted," as Maduro and his cronies like to say. Its crises are on the contrary becoming more intractable and deep-seated, at least for all those without perks or not living off the public purse. Maduro has turned to propaganda, showy projects and displays of luxury to give the impression that economic problems are over and Venezuelans needn't leave anymore. The country is supposedly on the cusp of a rebirth.

But no amount of publicity can hide Venezuela's shortages, even of basic items like food and medicines. A recent National Hospitals Survey taken by an independent medical body, found the principal hospitals to have a shortage rate of 70% in such essential supplies as anaesthesia drugs or pain killers. Imagine needing surgery in Venezuela...

Photo of Hundreds of Venezuelan migrants camping in Juarez, Chihuahua, Mexico.

Hundreds of Venezuelan migrants camping in Juarez, Chihuahua, Mexico.

David Peinado/ZUMA

A desire to leave

Another recent poll taken by Caracas-based consultants Consultores 21found three out of 10 Venezuelans wanting to leave (with a third of those planning to leave in 2023). The firm's annual surveys since 2015 have shown a steady, upward curve in favor of emigration except for a period in the middle of the pandemic. The recent poll shows Colombia to be the first destination at present (for 30% of respondents, followed by 21% planning on Chile) in spite of its increasing restrictions. This means the region is still bearing the brunt of this outflow.

States cannot overlook people's problems nor whitewash — or "redwash" — them with ideological verbiage.

To solve the massive problem of Venezuelan migration, one must tackle its roots. Visas, regulations and militarization of frontiers are palliative measures here, though their effect is to increase the suffering of Venezuelans. What regional countries must do is agree on a working framework to pressure the Maduro regime to allow proper elections in 2024. It is essential for these states to find a common position on Venezuela, and move on from the principle of non-intervention to the principle of non-indifference.

States cannot overlook people's problems nor whitewash — or "redwash" — them with ideological verbiage. There must be a sincere and collective effort to help Venezuelans freely return home.

*Julio Borges, an exiled Venezuelan opponent, was speaker of Parliament in 2017-18.

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FOCUS: Russia-Ukraine War

The Real Purpose Of The Moscow Drone Strike? A Decoy For Ukraine's Counterattack

Putin is hesitant to mobilize troops for political reasons. And the Ukrainian military command is well aware that the key to a successful offensive lies in creating new front lines, where Russia will have to relocate troops from Ukraine and thus weaken the existing front.

The Real Purpose Of The Moscow Drone Strike? A Decoy For Ukraine's Counterattack

Police officers stand in front of an apartment block hit by a drone in Moscow.

Anna Akage

-Analysis-

On the night of May 30, military drones attacked the Russian capital. There were no casualties – just broken windows and minor damage to homes. Ukraine claims it had nothing to do with the attack, and it is instead the frenzied artificial intelligence of military machines that do not understand why they are sent to Kyiv.

While the Ukrainian president’s office jokes that someone in Russia has again been smoking somewhere they shouldn’t, analysts are placing bets on the real reasons for the Moscow strikes. Many believe that Kyiv's real military target can by no means be the capital of Russia itself: it is too far from the front and too well defended – and strikes on Russia, at least with Western weapons, run counter to Ukraine’s agreements with allies, who have said that their weapons cannot be used to attack inside Russia.

If the goal is not directly military, maybe it is psychological: to scare the residents of the capital, who live in a parallel reality and have no idea how life feels for Ukrainian civilians. Forcing people to live with this reality could push the Kremlin to retreat, or at least make concessions and negotiate with Kyiv. If neither sanctions nor the elite could sober Vladimir Putin up, could angry Muscovites?

But neither Russia's military command nor its political leadership depends on the opinion of citizens. And there are enough special forces in Moscow to crush any mass protest.

Laying bare Russian President Vladimir Putin’s inability to guarantee his country's security, in front of Russia’s remaining international partners or among the country’s elites, is also an unlikely goal. The Russian army has already seen such embarrassing failures that a few drone strikes on the Kremlin can’t possibly change how Putin is seen as a leader, or Russia as a state. So why would Kyiv launch attacks on Moscow?

Let's go back to the date of the shelling: May 29 is Kyiv Day, a holiday in the Ukrainian capital. It was also the 16th attack on Kyiv in May alone, unprecedented in its scale, even compared to the winter months when Russia had still hoped to cut off Ukrainian electricity and leave Kyiv residents, or even the whole country, freezing in the dark.

The backdrop: the Ukrainian counter-offensive to liberate the occupied territories, which is in the works, if not already launched.

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