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Geopolitics

Iranian Regime Facing "Unprecedented" Street Attacks Against Clerics

A spate of recent attacks in Iran on clerics, seminarians and even state agents are prompting some to self-defense classes, while others are holing up inside.

Image of a man reading the Qu'uran after praying

Man reading the Qu'uran after praying.

Kayhan-London

Iran's mullahs, or the Shia jurists usually seen in flowing robes and turban, may be in charge of Iran, but they're increasingly hesitant to tread its streets.

Their fears follow a recent spate of attacks on regime supporters including a gun killing, possibly related to public anger with the Islamic regime and its violent suppression of mass protests late in 2022.

On May 1, the judiciary chief Gholam Hussein Mohseni-Ejei urged a swift and firm response, while another cleric, former intelligence minister Ali Fallahian, advised those mullahs preaching at Friday congregational prayers to take self-defense classes.

The incidents include the shooting death on April 26 of a senior cleric, Abbas Ali Suleimani, in a bank in the northern city of Babolsar, one of several attempts to run over clerics or seminarians, a Basiji militiaman killed in Sabzevar in north-eastern Iran and a police commander shot dead in Saravan in the province of Sistan-Baluchestan, on April 30. On May 6, another mullah was reported as stabbed and injured in the district of Ahmadabad in the central Markazi province.


Image of people walking in a street in the city of Qom, Iran.

A street in the city of Qom, Iran.

Ninara

Payback time 

London-based broadcaster Iran International observed that Suleimani, a former member of the Assembly of Experts, a clerical body, was thought to have been involved in mass prison killings in the late 1980s.

We've never seen days like this in Qom.

One senior theologian, Ayatollah Muhammad Javad Alavi-Borujerdi, said the attacks were "unprecedented," deploring a "gap has opened between the people and ourselves ... We've never seen days like this in Qom, with people trying to run over a seminarian and then getting out of the car to complete their work with knives."

He said that in some towns, clerics hadn't left home for two months now.

Assuming the incidents were not private or simply criminal in nature, they indicate a seething anger and hatred of the regime that has far from subsided since the suppression of the 2022 protests. But they are not easily clarified, and the state has little interest in truth-telling.

Image of \u200bIranian Shia cleric Abbas-Ali Soleimani.

Iranian Shia cleric Abbas-Ali Soleimani.

Mohammad Houti For

Eye for an eye

Whatever the details, such incidents are always a pretext for a response. The conservative Tehran paper Kayhan — an informal mouthpiece of the supreme leader — warned they were part of an organized bid to foment "hatred and fear" around public servants.

Another paper, Vatan-e Emruz, blamed the police officer's death in Saravan on followers of a prominent Sunni cleric of Sistan-Baluchestan, Abdul Hamid Ismailzahi, who has bitterly criticized the regime since the protests of 2022. His sermons, it observed, were undermining security forces in the province.

A crackdown was already underway in this part of Iran. The authorities were reported on May 4 to have hanged 19 prisoners in the Sistan-Baluchestan province in the previous five days.


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FOCUS: Russia-Ukraine War

If 3.3 Million Ukrainian Refugees Never Come Home? The Economics Of Post-War Life Choices

The war isn't the only thing that stands in the way of the homecoming of Ukrainian refugees. A lot depends on the efficiency of post-war economic recovery. A new study warns that up to 3.3 million won't be coming back after the fighting stops.

Photograph of a mother and her two children meeting an evacuation train from the Sumy region at the central railway station.​

July 16, 2023, Kyiv, Ukraine: People meet an evacuation train from the Sumy region at the central railway station.

Oleksii Chumachenko/ZUMA
Yaroslav Vinokurov

KYIV — Approximately 6.7 million Ukrainians have left their country since the Russian invasion. The longer the war lasts, the more these refugees will consolidate their new lives in their host countries, resulting in a heavy population drain for Ukraine.

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Earlier this month, the Kyiv-based Center for Economic Strategy (CES) presented a study on the attitudes of Ukrainian refugees that shows a large number of them will likely not return to their homeland even after the end of the war.

According to their calculations, Ukraine may lose 3.3 million citizens. There is also a strong likelihood that a large number of men currently fighting in the war will move abroad in order to reunite with their families that have settled there.

Even in peacetime, counting Ukrainians is not an easy task. A full-fledged census was conducted in the country only once: in 2001. It concluded that Ukraine had a population of 48.5 million.

After the Russian invasion in 2014, Ukraine was unable to compute how the population in the temporarily occupied territories had changed. According to latest calculations, as on February 1, 2022, an estimated 41.13 million people lived in the unoccupied territory.

After February 24, 2022, it became impossible to count the exact number of inhabitants, partly because the state does not have information on the number of Ukrainians who have fled the country as a result of the war.

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