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Geopolitics

Bangladesh's Losing Battle Against Climate Change

Trying to make do in the country of cyclones
Trying to make do in the country of cyclones
Julien Bouissou

SATKHIRA - In the district of Padmapukur, a few dozen kilometers from the Bay of Bengal, tin shacks balance delicately on scraps of land coming out of the sea, like makeshift boats lost in the middle of the ocean.

Only children, women, old people and the severly handicapped still live in the homes scattered along these dying rice paddies. In this region, which is subject to floods and cyclones, men have left to seek work elsewhere. There isn’t even enough wood to cook a loaf of bread. Traders on small boats laden with essential commodities come to supply the villagers.

In 2009, cyclone Aila killed a dozen people in the village. The inhabitants had to take refuge on the embankment, and waiting for months for the water to come down so they could rebuild their homes. In Padmapukur, they don’t even bother rebuilding brick houses. They make do with temporary walls made of corrugated iron.

Bangladesh is one of the countries most vulnerable to climate change. Two-thirds of the country is less than five meters above sea level. Rising water levels are already very noticeable in the islands along the Bay of Bengal, such as in Sagar or Kutubdia. Bangladesh accounts for 60% of the world’s cyclone victims in the past 20 years. According to the World Bank, up to eight million Bangladeshis may need to leave their homes by 2050.

For locals, the choice is simple: flee the south of the country or barricade themselves behind higher dikes. The Monwara family left its flood-ravaged village in 2007. They now live dozens of kilometers north of Padmapukur, in a small shack covered in branches, on a roadside. Raised a few meters, the roadsides here are very popular because they increase the chances of survival during flooding.

Begum, the mother, sells small sachets of shampoo to workers who pass by on their way to the brickyard. “I hope we will find my daughter a husband who lives far away from here, far away from the coast. And who will take care of her,” she confides. Around them, the salt water has already begun to eat at the land. Farmers are forced to sell their rice fields to entrepreneurs, who transform them into shrimp farms.

“These shrimp farms bring in money, but they are a curse for the poor. They require much less labor than rice paddies,” explains a man whose hands are damaged from working in the paddies. The men are forced to go further up north to find work in farms, or even to India. To cross the border illegally, all they need is to pay a smuggler five euros to take them across the river in the dark of night.

Just seeds

Southwestern Bangladesh is served by the small Jessore airport. While mechanics repair a twin propeller, the passengers, most of them NGO employees, talk about the fight against poverty, malnutrition and climate change. The region survives on international aid. Along the main roads, there aren’t any other signs than the metal panels nailed to wooden posts advertising the presence of major humanitarian organizations.

What else could advertising signs advertise? The region is so poor that they can’t afford to buy vegetables, only seeds to grow the vegetables themselves. They do not get paid with money, but with flour or rice. The distances are not measured in kilometers but in takas, the local currency. What sells best in the region are the metal trunks used to store personal belongings in case of flooding.

The population, which has been plagued by malnutrition and poverty, now faces the first consequences of climate change. The World Food Programme (WFP), in partnership with the Bangladeshi government, has implemented a program called “Enhanced Resilience,” which trains people – mostly women – to better cope with devastating floods and cyclones, and pays them to strengthen dikes. During two years, they receive a monthly income as well as food rations.

“The program is aimed primarily at women because, unlike their husbands, they cannot migrate,” said Christa Räder, WFP representative in Bangladesh. The third year, they receive aid to buy a goat, some chickens or to start a small business and not depend on agriculture alone. According to UN projections, Bangladesh could loose 40% of its agricultural lands through 2050.

Bangladesh is adapting its agriculture to climate change, working for instance on a variety of rice that is resistant to salt water and flooding. But they must also raise road levels; build dikes along 6000 kilometers of coast, clean the canals where there sediments have accumulated and set up cyclone shelters with food stocks. Alert systems must be developed, using mosques and especially mobile phones, which everyone here has.

Adapting to climate change already has a government fund of $189 million, established in 2009 with the assistance of the EU, Australian and American development agencies. But these funds may be insufficient. In a study published in Dec. 2011, the World Bank estimated that the costs associated with protecting infrastructures against floods could reach $3.3 billion in 2050.

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Economy

Lex Tusk? How Poland’s Controversial "Russian Influence" Law Will Subvert Democracy

The new “lex Tusk” includes language about companies and their management. But is this likely to be a fair investigation into breaking sanctions on Russia, or a political witch-hunt in the business sphere?

Photo of President of the Republic of Poland Andrzej Duda

Polish President Andrzej Duda

Piotr Miaczynski, Leszek Kostrzewski

-Analysis-

WARSAW — Poland’s new Commission for investigating Russian influence, which President Andrzej Duda signed into law on Monday, will be able to summon representatives of any company for inquiry. It has sparked a major controversy in Polish politics, as political opponents of the government warn that the Commission has been given near absolute power to investigate and punish any citizen, business or organization.

And opposition politicians are expected to be high on the list of would-be suspects, starting with Donald Tusk, who is challenging the ruling PiS government to return to the presidency next fall. For that reason, it has been sardonically dubbed: Lex Tusk.

University of Warsaw law professor Michal Romanowski notes that the interests of any firm can be considered favorable to Russia. “These are instruments which the likes of Putin and Orban would not be ashamed of," Romanowski said.

The law on the Commission for examining Russian influences has "atomic" prerogatives sewn into it. Nine members of the Commission with the rank of secretary of state will be able to summon virtually anyone, with the powers of severe punishment.

Under the new law, these Commissioners will become arbiters of nearly absolute power, and will be able to use the resources of nearly any organ of the state, including the secret services, in order to demand access to every available document. They will be able to prosecute people for acts which were not prohibited at the time they were committed.

Their prerogatives are broader than that of the President or the Prime Minister, wider than those of any court. And there is virtually no oversight over their actions.

Nobody can feel safe. This includes companies, their management, lawyers, journalists, and trade unionists.

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