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China 2.0

Macy's And Costco Come To China, But Only Online

ECONOMIC OBSERVER (China), ECONOMIC DAILY (Taiwan), MCKINSEY GLOBAL INSTITUTE

Worldcrunch

BEIJING - While many of the traditional retailing giants have been struggling lately in China, another form of consumer sales is thriving. According to a new report by the McKinsey Global Institute, China’s online retail revolution has exploded, as the country has just become the world’s second-largest e-tail (electronic retail) market with estimates as high as $210 billion for revenues in 2012 and a compound annual growth rate of 120% since 2003.

Betting on this new consumer trend are the American department store Macy's and the largest chain warehouse store Costco. Rather than brick-and-mortar operations, both plan to enter China this year by opening online storefronts. This comes just weeks after German electronics chain Media Markt announced it is shutting all its stores in China, and Walmart shutters operations at three of its Chinese locations, the Economic Observer reported.

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According to the McKinsey report, in 2012, China's year-on-year e-commerce growth was 64.7% with a colossal online shopper population of 247 million people. That figure is expected to reach 310 million by the end of 2013.

If forecasted growth rates continue, China’s e-tailing could generate anywhere from $420 billion to $650 billion in sales by 2020, and the market may equal that of the United States, Japan, the United Kingdom, Germany, and France combined today. A recent Reuters report has said that China's largest e-commerce firm, Alibaba, is already selling merchandise this year worth more than that sold by Amazon and eBay combined.

However, as the Economic Daily pointed out, unlike the other countries where online shopping is largely led by few mega size B2C (business to consumer) websites, nearly 70% of China’s e-tailings are C2C (consumer to consumer). This highlights the important contribution that small and medium-sized enterprises have played in this growth.

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Economy

Lex Tusk? How Poland’s Controversial "Russian Influence" Law Will Subvert Democracy

The new “lex Tusk” includes language about companies and their management. But is this likely to be a fair investigation into breaking sanctions on Russia, or a political witch-hunt in the business sphere?

Photo of President of the Republic of Poland Andrzej Duda

Polish President Andrzej Duda

Piotr Miaczynski, Leszek Kostrzewski

-Analysis-

WARSAW — Poland’s new Commission for investigating Russian influence, which President Andrzej Duda signed into law on Monday, will be able to summon representatives of any company for inquiry. It has sparked a major controversy in Polish politics, as political opponents of the government warn that the Commission has been given near absolute power to investigate and punish any citizen, business or organization.

And opposition politicians are expected to be high on the list of would-be suspects, starting with Donald Tusk, who is challenging the ruling PiS government to return to the presidency next fall. For that reason, it has been sardonically dubbed: Lex Tusk.

University of Warsaw law professor Michal Romanowski notes that the interests of any firm can be considered favorable to Russia. “These are instruments which the likes of Putin and Orban would not be ashamed of," Romanowski said.

The law on the Commission for examining Russian influences has "atomic" prerogatives sewn into it. Nine members of the Commission with the rank of secretary of state will be able to summon virtually anyone, with the powers of severe punishment.

Under the new law, these Commissioners will become arbiters of nearly absolute power, and will be able to use the resources of nearly any organ of the state, including the secret services, in order to demand access to every available document. They will be able to prosecute people for acts which were not prohibited at the time they were committed.

Their prerogatives are broader than that of the President or the Prime Minister, wider than those of any court. And there is virtually no oversight over their actions.

Nobody can feel safe. This includes companies, their management, lawyers, journalists, and trade unionists.

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